Likely-Aunt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$130

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 05-22 22:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

86% — —

Other

12% 50% $-2

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	2	$23	22	22	+0	open	—	05-15 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$6	12	12	+0	open	—	05-15 17:03
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina	2	$4	2	2	+0	Elina Svitolina	+$0	05-13 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$4	41	0	+41	open	—	05-16 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$3	7	7	+0	open	—	05-15 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$3	7	7	+0	open	—	05-15 16:08
wta samsono frech 2026 02 08	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	02-08 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-17 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$3	11	11	+0	open	—	05-16 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	05-22 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-22 22:06
nba uta orl 2026 02 07	2	$2	9	0	+9	open	—	02-08 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 14:21
sea lec udi 2026 02 08 lec	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	02-08 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-17 16:31
Oeiras 4: Petr Brunclik vs Jaime Faria	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 14:28
bitcoin up or down february 7 6pm et	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-07 23:45
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$2	22	0	+22	open	—	05-15 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	05-22 21:45
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	1	$2	3	0	+3	Over	$-2	05-13 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-15 21:19
xrp updown 15m 1770507000	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	02-07 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$2	7	7	+0	open	—	05-15 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$2	7	7	+0	open	—	05-15 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 18:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 22:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x02df05…
05-22 22:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$2	0xb8727d…
05-22 22:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb0c3a1…
05-22 22:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xc11a30…
05-22 22:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc38aaa…
05-22 21:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x69947f…
05-22 21:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x40345a…
05-17 16:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2e8bd1…
05-17 16:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x86095d…
05-17 16:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x886508…
05-17 16:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xed6020…
05-17 16:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x67f1ee…
05-17 16:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x5c5eff…
05-17 16:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5763da…
05-16 14:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa61791…
05-16 14:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xd5413f…
05-16 14:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb72742…
05-16 14:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xeb9036…
05-16 14:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x6982ef…
05-16 14:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x560bed…
05-16 14:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x524fd8…
05-16 14:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x454cb8…
05-16 14:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x74ea41…
05-16 09:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x9db73b…
05-16 09:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x33d6b6…
05-16 09:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8f96d2…
05-16 09:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x22e0f4…
05-16 09:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x69199b…
05-16 09:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xa065d3…
05-16 09:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6aef45…
05-16 08:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9d6881…
05-16 08:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xc8cb78…
05-16 08:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7c3192…
05-15 21:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xb34965…
05-15 21:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1b3ba0…
05-15 21:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc045b2…
05-15 21:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x31084e…
05-15 21:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x037b0d…
05-15 18:52:59	Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xa5da88…
05-15 18:52:26	Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x52bfab…
05-15 18:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xebcdbc…
05-15 18:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe16f0c…
05-15 18:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xbe4fee…
05-15 18:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x692142…
05-15 18:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x94142a…
05-15 18:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x1f11e5…
05-15 18:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x40150b…
05-15 18:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x637b89…
05-15 17:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xee7e46…
05-15 17:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x65206d…
05-15 17:29:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x426c10…
05-15 17:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2348c5…
05-15 17:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x142809…
05-15 17:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x3907e7…
05-15 17:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0xab4a32…
05-15 17:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x383464…
05-15 16:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcfa232…
05-15 16:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x611d9a…
05-15 16:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0eb7aa…
05-15 16:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x08192c…
05-15 16:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xa741b2…
05-15 16:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x74b18d…
05-15 16:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xf785be…
05-15 15:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x4875a6…
05-15 15:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe39981…
05-15 15:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc91da3…
05-15 15:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe59d4a…
05-15 15:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf6ac5e…
05-15 15:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x0b9b0e…
05-15 15:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x09cd44…
05-14 14:28:13	Oeiras 4: Petr Brunclik vs Jaime Faria	Petr Brunclik	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x633bf8…
05-14 14:18:59	Oeiras 4: Petr Brunclik vs Jaime Faria	Petr Brunclik	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x32b344…
05-13 20:50:44	Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xcbd1c7…
05-13 20:22:33	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina	Elina Svitolina	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x03040b…
05-13 20:13:41	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x046cd0…
02-08 13:08:13	sea lec udi 2026 02 08 lec	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x2df27f…
02-08 12:19:03	wta samsono frech 2026 02 08	Samsonova	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x26426b…
02-08 12:03:13	wta samsono frech 2026 02 08	Samsonova	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x50ce31…
02-08 11:26:23	sea lec udi 2026 02 08 lec	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x0d4062…
02-08 10:59:47	btc updown 15m 1770547500	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd2021b…
02-08 10:39:57	xrp updown 15m 1770546600	Down	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xb06f2e…
02-08 10:33:21	xrp updown 15m 1770546600	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe8d6f9…
02-08 00:17:35	nba uta orl 2026 02 07	Jazz	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9fd899…
02-07 23:55:49	nba uta orl 2026 02 07	Jazz	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe4a3f2…
02-07 23:45:07	bitcoin up or down february 7 6pm et	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x939d22…
02-07 23:41:11	bitcoin up or down february 7 6pm et	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3c8c21…
02-07 23:40:17	xrp updown 15m 1770507000	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xcee6cd…
02-07 23:38:53	xrp updown 15m 1770507000	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x94e62f…
02-07 23:06:11	btc updown 15m 1770505200	Up	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0xeef4fc…
02-07 23:01:49	btc updown 15m 1770505200	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x252516…
02-07 22:56:49	btc updown 15m 1770504300	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x99bc70…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	49	$45.8K	1,992	05-22 22:45
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	48	$8.57K	433	05-22 22:44
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	47	$137.4K	5,687	05-22 22:44
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	47	$9.88K	2,982	05-22 22:44
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	47	$9.41K	2,868	05-22 22:44
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	47	$8.42K	1,584	05-22 22:44
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	47	$7.35K	1,378	05-22 22:44
Tender-Idea 0xbb20…1f06	47	$6.41K	407	05-22 22:44