Obedient-Trick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$125

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

114

lifetime

Volume

$9.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-12 16:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

83% 0% $-125

Tech

17% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Databricks IPO before 2027?	Yes		-30	$-6	23¢	$-7	$-1	06-02 11:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	61	$5.3K	8,182	8,327	-145	open	—	06-12 16:21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	3	$1.3K	0	3,060	-3,060	open	—	05-31 18:33
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	11	$732	8,570	8,378	+192	open	—	06-12 16:05
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	9	$677	15,721	270	+15,451	open	—	06-12 16:13
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	3	$378	189	1,807	-1,618	open	—	06-12 15:51
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	3	$239	266	266	+0	open	—	06-12 15:55
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$218	2,339	2,339	+0	open	—	03-17 07:56
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$135	80	80	+0	open	—	04-12 19:02
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	3	$105	10,300	0	+10,300	Yes	$-105	05-11 15:39
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 exact score 1 3	2	$55	73	0	+73	open	—	04-14 20:42
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	1	$22	0	224	-224	open	—	06-02 06:28
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$20	100	0	+100	Yes	$-20	05-12 21:17
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	2	$10	100	100	+0	open	—	05-13 11:40
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	7	$8	590	590	+0	open	—	04-17 17:38
Databricks IPO before 2027?	3	$6	0	30	-30	open	—	06-02 11:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 16:21:15	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	3,946	16¢	$630	0x20a78b…
06-12 16:17:58	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x7aa958…
06-12 16:13:25	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	270	2¢	$5	0x193707…
06-12 16:09:30	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	271	26¢	$70	0x9f37a1…
06-12 16:09:13	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	10,000	4¢	$400	0x284120…
06-12 16:08:43	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x821019…
06-12 16:08:42	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xc5eea0…
06-12 16:08:25	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	3,838	5¢	$192	0xe1f2fb…
06-12 16:08:24	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	70	5¢	$4	0x19cab4…
06-12 16:07:25	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0xd82927…
06-12 16:05:16	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	1,580	26¢	$411	0x6b2787…
06-12 16:05:01	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	2,239	4¢	$90	0xc4995b…
06-12 16:04:52	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	1,000	4¢	$40	0x306d7b…
06-12 16:03:42	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	518	27¢	$141	0x411498…
06-12 16:01:18	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	721	3¢	$22	0xee648d…
06-12 15:57:37	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	271	30¢	$81	0xda522a…
06-12 15:55:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	66	40¢	$26	0x6b1184…
06-12 15:55:00	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	208	32¢	$67	0xc0681c…
06-12 15:54:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0xdebc32…
06-12 15:52:49	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	739	5¢	$38	0xe73c16…
06-12 15:52:13	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xdab342…
06-12 15:52:10	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	4,285	6¢	$258	0x8c20ea…
06-12 15:52:09	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x08df2f…
06-12 15:51:49	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	1,807	20¢	$353	0x949c48…
06-12 15:51:22	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	400	35¢	$140	0xe422b7…
06-12 15:50:37	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	348	35¢	$122	0x81d0e5…
06-12 15:50:18	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	266	35¢	$93	0x694bab…
06-12 15:43:39	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	114	7¢	$8	0x7c527c…
06-12 15:41:31	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	200	41¢	$82	0xdb800f…
06-12 15:41:22	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	256	44¢	$113	0xcf39c0…
06-12 15:34:18	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	48	55¢	$26	0x82849d…
06-11 15:40:43	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	770	39¢	$300	0xd4bbf3…
06-05 13:46:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	266	50¢	$133	0x8a17ce…
06-05 08:34:21	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,000	44¢	$436	0xc7ac1a…
06-03 14:35:51	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0xacb058…
06-03 05:12:34	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	47¢	$8	0x6e7bda…
06-03 05:12:27	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	94	47¢	$44	0xfe394d…
06-03 05:12:22	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	390	46¢	$181	0xcfc254…
06-03 05:10:10	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xdd0cff…
06-03 05:10:10	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	705	44¢	$308	0xb4967d…
06-02 11:33:05	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x77a77d…
06-02 11:32:48	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	150	48¢	$73	0xa425a0…
06-02 11:32:25	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	210	48¢	$101	0x62d368…
06-02 11:18:41	Databricks IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x5678c1…
06-02 11:17:31	Databricks IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x5ee8b4…
06-02 11:17:29	Databricks IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x277bc7…
06-02 11:15:09	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	42	44¢	$18	0xcbef16…
06-02 08:06:54	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x284bbd…
06-02 07:48:07	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	167	40¢	$67	0xfd8e58…
06-02 06:28:39	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	Yes	SELL	224	10¢	$22	0x0779ae…
06-02 01:32:54	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	72	40¢	$29	0xaf0679…
06-01 20:20:14	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	480	5¢	$22	0xd7e92b…
06-01 19:38:50	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	890	4¢	$32	0x1eba13…
06-01 19:38:14	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0x51105c…
06-01 19:37:58	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,165	3¢	$40	0xdfa875…
06-01 19:37:39	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,000	3¢	$102	0x17e751…
06-01 19:36:09	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,000	3¢	$102	0xaf4a5d…
06-01 19:31:00	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xbafb63…
06-01 19:29:02	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	620	46¢	$285	0x41075b…
06-01 18:40:06	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	120	14¢	$16	0x52eb0c…
06-01 18:39:24	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x48700a…
06-01 18:39:12	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xd3a817…
06-01 18:39:06	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x6e774a…
06-01 18:38:56	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x2a468a…
06-01 18:26:44	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	69	12¢	$8	0xac462c…
06-01 18:25:29	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	220	41¢	$90	0x80705f…
06-01 15:39:14	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	480	40¢	$192	0xee8210…
06-01 15:27:08	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	92	40¢	$37	0x0b2cf6…
06-01 15:25:56	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	400	43¢	$172	0xa353cf…
06-01 13:13:08	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xb0ba03…
06-01 13:12:26	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x7fd0b6…
06-01 11:29:41	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x46f0bd…
06-01 10:45:14	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa5346d…
06-01 09:09:59	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0xbc4b10…
06-01 09:01:24	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x19481f…
06-01 09:01:24	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	295	44¢	$129	0x015c85…
06-01 07:44:57	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xd0cc71…
06-01 06:32:57	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x6a1e3d…
06-01 06:09:10	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9958aa…
05-31 18:37:01	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	372	36¢	$134	0x06e7ed…
05-31 18:33:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	887	41¢	$367	0x1d3b43…
05-31 18:29:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	643	43¢	$276	0x00a06f…
05-31 18:28:48	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	34¢	$338	0xdb67a9…
05-31 18:26:56	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	1,530	43¢	$662	0x668fa0…
05-28 21:40:22	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xc2c6b0…
05-28 19:10:57	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	49	35¢	$17	0xc62da3…
05-28 18:55:59	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x4026d3…
05-28 18:54:37	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x2ba99f…
05-28 18:54:33	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf12489…
05-28 18:54:12	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	49	35¢	$17	0x0d9bfa…
05-28 18:53:44	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	46	35¢	$16	0xa3ae67…
05-28 17:44:18	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	192	33¢	$64	0xffc1da…
05-28 13:40:42	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	221	31¢	$69	0xcab83d…
05-13 11:40:04	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xfc4d4c…
05-12 21:17:41	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x5a236e…
05-12 21:12:07	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0xf21687…
05-11 15:39:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x8d5e36…
05-11 14:24:16	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x5af4f9…
05-07 19:31:31	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x552305…
05-06 11:13:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	No	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xe00315…