Sudden-Forgery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

581

Trades

5,956

lifetime

Volume

$29.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 05-26 20:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 66% $-34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 727 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773156000	2	$60	37	37	+0	open	—	03-10 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	7	$56	59	59	+0	open	—	05-15 19:53
btc updown 5m 1773150900	4	$55	36	36	+0	open	—	03-10 13:57
btc updown 5m 1773153900	5	$52	28	28	+0	open	—	03-10 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	10	$50	34	33	+1	open	—	05-15 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	7	$50	47	33	+14	open	—	05-15 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	7	$48	34	33	+1	Up	$-2	05-11 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	8	$48	34	33	+1	open	—	05-15 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	10	$47	34	32	+2	Up	$-2	05-12 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	8	$47	35	34	+1	open	—	05-15 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	8	$47	35	35	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	8	$47	35	33	+2	Down	+$4	05-12 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	7	$46	35	33	+2	Down	$-7	05-11 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	9	$46	34	33	+1	Up	$-1	05-12 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	8	$46	35	34	+1	Up	$-1	05-14 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	8	$46	34	33	+1	Down	$-1	05-12 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	7	$46	35	33	+2	Down	$-4	05-10 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	10	$46	35	28	+7	Down	$-2	05-14 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	8	$46	34	33	+1	open	—	05-14 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	7	$45	35	33	+2	Down	$-1	05-12 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	8	$45	34	33	+1	open	—	05-14 16:14
btc updown 5m 1773149100	3	$45	42	42	+1	open	—	03-10 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	7	$45	37	36	+1	Down	$-3	05-14 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	8	$45	34	28	+6	Down	+$2	05-12 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	7	$45	35	29	+6	Up	+$0	05-13 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	10	$45	34	28	+6	Down	+$1	05-13 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	7	$45	35	34	+1	Up	$-2	05-12 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	7	$44	34	33	+1	Up	$-11	05-12 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	7	$44	34	28	+6	open	—	05-15 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	7	$44	36	36	+0	Up	$-3	05-12 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 20:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0xee4de2…
05-26 20:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xe4e228…
05-26 20:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x07265c…
05-26 20:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xa126c4…
05-26 20:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xe5c3fc…
05-24 20:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x93ab77…
05-24 20:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x253542…
05-24 20:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0xe7cab2…
05-24 20:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf6dbc3…
05-24 20:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0xa8559b…
05-24 20:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x96b3a1…
05-15 20:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0xfcb783…
05-15 20:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xecf400…
05-15 20:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x28d257…
05-15 20:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x70862f…
05-15 20:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0xeb18cf…
05-15 20:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x2fb013…
05-15 20:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	72¢	$8	0x25e394…
05-15 20:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x35d084…
05-15 20:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0xc4c7b3…
05-15 20:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x46555f…
05-15 19:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xea962b…
05-15 19:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x5a65a5…
05-15 19:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x28ba3e…
05-15 19:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x0d62fd…
05-15 19:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xe7dced…
05-15 19:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x8cdea0…
05-15 19:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	34	35¢	$12	0x170343…
05-15 19:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0x2626f7…
05-15 19:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	14	32¢	$4	0x954453…
05-15 19:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x026b6e…
05-15 19:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0xcc0e3b…
05-15 19:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0x474458…
05-15 19:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x6a4479…
05-15 19:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xdbe488…
05-15 19:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x73c7ab…
05-15 19:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x00405a…
05-15 19:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0xeb2c85…
05-15 19:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x632bd0…
05-15 19:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x379384…
05-15 19:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x99c62d…
05-15 19:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xad8d39…
05-15 19:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$7	0x96dc46…
05-15 19:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0xdc2cdc…
05-15 19:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0x031c82…
05-15 19:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xb911c8…
05-15 19:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x206e54…
05-15 19:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x5d2d7f…
05-15 19:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x397495…
05-15 19:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	71¢	$8	0xa64ead…
05-15 19:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x629af3…
05-15 19:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xeb20a6…
05-15 19:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	71¢	$8	0x7ae7d7…
05-15 19:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x53c32e…
05-15 19:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x583ad8…
05-15 19:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0xa6d50a…
05-15 19:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x555317…
05-15 19:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x257b53…
05-15 19:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x61b6fe…
05-15 19:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x408919…
05-15 19:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x3c55e2…
05-15 19:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x524043…
05-15 19:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0x344e54…
05-15 19:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9ae4ac…
05-15 19:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x266fb7…
05-15 18:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xf9cd37…
05-15 18:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xb49123…
05-15 18:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0x452b43…
05-15 18:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x32b54a…
05-15 18:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x5ef926…
05-15 18:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0xcd2fc1…
05-15 18:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x9794c6…
05-15 18:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x986e41…
05-15 18:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x3d86c7…
05-15 18:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xbd5fc7…
05-15 18:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0xa09849…
05-15 18:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x90ab90…
05-15 18:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0xc72903…
05-15 18:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x5ad712…
05-15 18:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x1d3d7b…
05-15 18:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x0f2383…
05-15 18:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xf59ab3…
05-15 18:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x00bfd4…
05-15 18:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$11	0xf85dcb…
05-15 18:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x3dfc91…
05-15 18:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xc92e33…
05-15 18:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xf4b617…
05-15 18:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0xadba10…
05-15 18:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xc816d0…
05-15 18:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xf71ad9…
05-15 18:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xda7018…
05-15 18:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x0560e0…
05-15 18:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$11	0xd76226…
05-15 18:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xad9a36…
05-15 18:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x2345b6…
05-15 18:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x9a557b…
05-15 18:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xdb17da…
05-15 18:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x48c98e…
05-15 18:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x0be88c…
05-15 18:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x6e3a36…