Plush-Fondue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

Trades

330

lifetime

Volume

$424

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 05-23 11:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	5	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	05-22 23:46
xrp updown 15m 1775803500	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	04-10 06:57
btc updown 15m 1775802600	2	$8	12	11	+1	open	—	04-10 06:40
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	4	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	05-23 10:53
btc updown 15m 1775858400	5	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-10 22:16
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-22 23:37
btc updown 15m 1775778300	2	$7	6	5	+0	open	—	04-09 23:56
xrp updown 15m 1773533700	4	$7	15	15	+0	open	—	03-15 00:27
sol updown 15m 1775804400	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-10 07:12
eth updown 15m 1776586500	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-19 08:29
xrp updown 15m 1776563100	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-19 01:54
btc updown 5m 1772604300	5	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	03-04 06:09
sol updown 15m 1776560400	2	$6	5	4	+0	open	—	04-19 01:08
sol updown 15m 1776564000	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-19 02:10
sol updown 15m 1776585600	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-19 08:08
sol updown 15m 1776583800	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-19 07:39
btc updown 15m 1776565800	2	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	04-19 02:38
btc updown 15m 1776562200	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-19 01:38
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-23 11:02
sol updown 15m 1776551400	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-18 22:40
eth updown 15m 1776415500	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-17 08:55
btc updown 15m 1776564900	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-19 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	4	$4	6	2	+4	Down	+$2	05-08 22:48
btc updown 15m 1773661500	3	$4	9	9	+0	open	—	03-16 11:55
sol updown 5m 1775025000	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-01 06:33
sol updown 5m 1773721200	3	$4	20	20	+0	open	—	03-17 04:24
xrp updown 15m 1776404700	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-17 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 00:44
sol updown 5m 1773834600	2	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	03-18 11:52
xrp updown 5m 1773831900	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 11:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 11:02:01	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x74532d…
05-23 11:00:27	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x87b652…
05-23 10:53:49	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x81445a…
05-23 10:53:21	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb2ea0a…
05-23 10:46:02	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x1f689a…
05-23 10:45:06	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4e3bf9…
05-22 23:46:15	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x70e853…
05-22 23:45:05	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf270c6…
05-22 23:45:02	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xd42208…
05-22 23:37:02	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xe64085…
05-22 23:35:31	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x2bf61b…
05-22 23:34:37	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4cd811…
05-22 23:30:16	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x10c67d…
05-22 23:23:02	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x80a422…
05-22 23:20:21	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa28b6e…
05-19 16:01:07	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7309b3…
05-19 15:58:42	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xd912ef…
05-19 15:46:28	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb6d667…
05-19 15:28:23	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9bcc1b…
05-19 15:14:09	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8585ef…
05-19 13:43:46	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9bc8c4…
05-19 13:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x47353e…
05-19 13:14:41	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x709392…
05-19 13:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf263e4…
05-18 17:15:18	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5802ce…
05-18 17:08:13	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x8544b6…
05-18 17:03:43	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x72bb55…
05-18 17:03:33	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x05e757…
05-18 16:42:13	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x731135…
05-18 16:30:47	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x261a74…
05-11 08:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x589fa0…
05-10 10:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8cbb3c…
05-10 10:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb44a5b…
05-09 23:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x89a81e…
05-09 23:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd91d23…
05-09 16:32:20	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4f01f3…
05-09 16:29:30	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x1cc3eb…
05-09 08:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x359aff…
05-09 08:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x0e30cd…
05-09 08:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb3f053…
05-09 08:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x263e7b…
05-08 22:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9cf25c…
05-08 22:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xf202c4…
05-08 22:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xff31d7…
05-08 22:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x851b04…
05-08 22:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdd526b…
05-08 14:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x3b70ba…
05-08 11:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x502569…
05-08 11:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4c36b2…
05-08 10:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x9d3354…
05-08 10:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x195adf…
05-08 09:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb4670a…
05-07 16:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3dac02…
05-07 16:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x90e826…
05-07 15:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4978b0…
05-07 15:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5a94c0…
05-07 14:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xdb363b…
05-07 14:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe64d75…
05-07 14:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x168c61…
05-07 14:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xac0ac3…
05-07 13:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0e0e02…
05-07 13:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x53c9d2…
05-07 13:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x9ed8b4…
05-07 13:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x51fec0…
05-07 13:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2d4b7f…
05-06 23:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4af6a1…
05-06 23:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2fbfb7…
05-06 10:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2c48f1…
05-06 10:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5421d4…
05-06 00:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0xb83bb1…
05-06 00:40:36	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe2f556…
05-06 00:39:48	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3240a3…
05-06 00:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x1fd165…
05-06 00:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x25f521…
05-05 23:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x97cf2b…
05-05 23:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x29f727…
05-05 23:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1a898b…
05-05 23:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x7cc148…
05-05 23:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xeb2d8f…
04-29 07:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaaed6c…
04-29 07:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2e255e…
04-21 15:57:36	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xdcb5c2…
04-21 15:38:24	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x763b9c…
04-19 19:26:02	eth updown 15m 1776626100	Up	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x19522d…
04-19 19:22:40	eth updown 15m 1776626100	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1173c8…
04-19 08:29:22	eth updown 15m 1776586500	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x30c795…
04-19 08:25:06	eth updown 15m 1776586500	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xe01945…
04-19 08:08:36	sol updown 15m 1776585600	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x6137f3…
04-19 08:07:18	sol updown 15m 1776585600	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x572e6a…
04-19 07:55:06	sol updown 15m 1776584700	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xb01736…
04-19 07:39:32	sol updown 15m 1776583800	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xfbf5a5…
04-19 07:38:06	sol updown 15m 1776583800	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x946e6f…
04-19 02:38:46	btc updown 15m 1776565800	Down	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xf32e1c…
04-19 02:38:06	btc updown 15m 1776565800	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x818ed5…
04-19 02:23:58	btc updown 15m 1776564900	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x460ad4…
04-19 02:23:20	btc updown 15m 1776564900	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x3d6e6e…
04-19 02:10:36	sol updown 15m 1776564000	Down	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x6cc543…
04-19 02:07:16	sol updown 15m 1776564000	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x947066…
04-19 01:54:10	xrp updown 15m 1776563100	Up	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x525e91…
04-19 01:53:06	xrp updown 15m 1776563100	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x3637d4…