Realistic-Shoat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$54

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-16 10:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

46% 0% $-20

Crypto

44% 0% $-14

Sports

9% 100% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$20	20,000	+20,000	Yes	$-20	05-09 10:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	1	$10	57	+57	open	—	05-16 10:33
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$5	625	+625	open	—	05-11 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$5	500	+500	Down	$-5	05-11 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$5	83	+83	Up	$-5	05-11 09:43
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$5	26	+26	Sean Strickland	+$21	05-09 10:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 10?	1	$4	4,000	+4,000	Yes	$-4	05-09 10:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 10:33:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0xd62f88…
05-11 09:44:51	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0xd3d8cb…
05-11 09:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x169fed…
05-11 09:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x2a5754…
05-09 10:52:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0xc38b52…
05-09 10:50:40	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x2efc82…
05-09 10:48:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x7df6ea…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	5	$6.84K	210	05-18 17:40
Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a	5	$1.40K	25	05-18 02:54
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	4	$53.9K	758	05-18 12:01
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	4	$44.6K	209	05-13 14:57
(anonymous) 0x4247…91c4	4	$25.6K	190	05-18 16:29
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	4	$6.46K	793	05-18 15:50
Submissive-Communist 0x8f7a…db40	3	$462.0K	75	05-10 18:17
Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35	3	$180.9K	630	05-11 02:56