Distant-Emission — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.7%

Resolved

Trades

246

lifetime

Volume

$2.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-30 21:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

63% — —

Other

33% — —

Sports

4% 50% +$9

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$344	198	198	+0	open	—	05-23 00:04
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	9	$180	185	65	+120	open	—	06-12 00:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$178	100	100	+0	open	—	03-28 16:20
will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	30	$139	849	839	+10	open	—	06-13 12:42
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	16	$112	226	227	-0	open	—	01-31 14:06
internet access restored in iran by friday	2	$101	53	53	+0	open	—	01-16 03:55
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	12	$101	206	187	+20	open	—	01-18 00:52
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$87	100	0	+100	Thunder	+$13	05-06 00:10
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	11	$80	233	200	+33	open	—	03-28 22:41
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$77	90	0	+90	open	—	04-12 14:23
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	3	$72	50	50	+0	open	—	03-27 01:57
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	9	$70	232	0	+232	open	—	02-02 23:48
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	2	$64	50	25	+25	open	—	06-14 22:09
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	12	$59	187	166	+21	open	—	03-14 01:33
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	7	$56	139	139	+0	open	—	01-17 00:23
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	3	$54	40	40	+0	open	—	04-14 07:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	7	$53	83	83	+0	open	—	03-01 12:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$48	130	130	+0	open	—	04-10 15:22
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	11	$44	762	698	+64	open	—	01-26 08:50
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	2	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	03-01 12:23
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$41	89	78	+12	open	—	02-27 12:36
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	7	$38	58	58	+0	open	—	04-12 21:29
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	4	$38	43	26	+17	open	—	03-19 19:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	8	$37	60	70	-10	open	—	06-27 11:23
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	3	$36	40	40	+0	open	—	06-16 18:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	7	$33	152	135	+17	open	—	01-23 12:52
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	4	$31	21	21	+0	open	—	03-06 21:42
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	1	$30	55	0	+55	open	—	03-01 12:49
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$25	40	0	+40	open	—	06-19 21:49
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$24	40	0	+40	open	—	02-19 23:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 21:41:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7bb3a5…
06-27 11:23:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x23a762…
06-27 11:23:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x6f5dde…
06-21 01:53:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0xa582d8…
06-19 21:49:47	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xe6f000…
06-18 19:32:38	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	35	39¢	$14	0xf0f008…
06-18 18:22:46	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xb2395f…
06-18 18:19:47	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x787c49…
06-18 07:16:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0xc5f9c1…
06-18 07:16:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xaa8783…
06-16 18:15:10	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	40	54¢	$22	0xa8ad67…
06-16 05:28:16	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x8243f4…
06-15 19:43:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xf6b29d…
06-15 07:37:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xdedc22…
06-14 22:31:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x831973…
06-14 22:29:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0x329724…
06-14 22:22:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xeae087…
06-14 22:22:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	24	32¢	$8	0xd4aef7…
06-14 22:09:07	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0x7d251e…
06-14 22:09:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x740aa9…
06-14 22:04:21	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x03ce14…
06-14 21:50:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x2255d7…
06-13 18:58:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x562ef7…
06-13 12:42:12	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x0fd48a…
06-12 00:50:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfb9d1b…
06-11 20:12:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xcfd404…
06-11 20:07:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0x39c8d9…
06-11 20:07:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa26bab…
06-11 19:42:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xfe4b18…
06-11 19:07:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xe87561…
06-11 18:44:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	65	67¢	$44	0xd29d86…
06-11 18:36:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xcab069…
06-10 22:09:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xde6bf5…
06-10 21:59:30	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xbbe860…
06-10 17:59:07	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	SELL	703	4¢	$26	0xd49001…
06-10 17:44:34	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	SELL	80	3¢	$3	0xa7e664…
06-10 15:26:21	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0xcd96fc…
06-07 20:42:13	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xe7fb2e…
06-07 20:41:48	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x5639b7…
06-07 20:41:18	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xe42cfe…
06-07 13:46:54	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x26e9a3…
06-07 13:45:36	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0xcd10f4…
06-07 10:33:19	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf9dff9…
06-07 09:52:19	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	BUY	188	11¢	$20	0xbeca51…
06-07 09:46:21	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x62a8d0…
06-07 09:45:30	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x2f9e15…
06-07 09:44:49	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xe33a11…
06-07 09:33:01	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x7b8a55…
06-07 09:32:18	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x03fa62…
06-07 09:31:04	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x1b4e30…
06-07 09:30:03	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0xbee947…
06-07 09:21:54	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xda1d94…
06-07 03:03:33	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x79f8ca…
06-07 01:17:43	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0xe05a68…
06-07 01:17:43	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x5605c4…
06-07 01:17:19	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	BUY	78	17¢	$13	0x85b1e6…
06-07 01:02:13	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe12d01…
06-07 01:02:01	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x4739b5…
06-07 00:45:51	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x4441b9…
06-07 00:45:25	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xde6925…
06-07 00:43:37	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x825df9…
06-07 00:41:09	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x4c188c…
06-07 00:18:24	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xdbd396…
06-01 22:10:46	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?	No	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x773ec1…
06-01 22:07:46	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x316190…
05-29 21:10:36	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?	No	BUY	69	10¢	$7	0x92369f…
05-29 20:57:39	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x696b60…
05-29 20:57:27	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x364356…
05-29 20:38:21	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xd1d562…
05-29 19:03:47	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x09f20e…
05-29 13:36:43	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x868112…
05-25 19:41:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x8daaac…
05-23 00:04:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	74	98¢	$72	0xa8195c…
05-22 23:16:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	74	98¢	$72	0xca9b77…
05-22 22:42:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x571457…
05-12 23:07:55	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0xcef660…
05-12 23:05:45	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xd9b129…
05-12 22:49:32	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x135f0b…
05-09 22:43:16	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xbccc92…
05-09 22:06:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	198	76¢	$150	0x70430a…
05-09 11:04:33	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x6621c9…
05-06 00:10:58	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x3aa2a1…
04-27 22:44:06	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xdbbc56…
04-14 07:58:11	Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Yes	SELL	24	68¢	$17	0xd42c67…
04-14 07:36:59	Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Yes	SELL	16	68¢	$11	0x0bcfa8…
04-12 21:29:57	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x646030…
04-12 21:26:01	Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Yes	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0xbeb86e…
04-12 20:21:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xebc0c7…
04-12 18:58:35	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x5dc4e9…
04-12 14:25:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x30bc4f…
04-12 14:23:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	90	86¢	$77	0x5f7309…
04-11 13:59:49	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x354dc3…
04-11 13:59:15	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xfa3fdc…
04-10 15:22:45	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	130	21¢	$27	0x05be22…
04-02 12:58:23	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	130	16¢	$21	0x060d5c…
03-28 22:41:18	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$5	0xc93566…
03-28 16:20:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xcc9c56…
03-27 01:57:21	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0xddf215…
03-27 01:56:07	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0xcd5a07…
03-19 23:28:33	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xbb1bbd…