Abandoned-Ark — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$460

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 05-10 08:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

50% — —

Crypto

33% 0% $-2

Other

16% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$222	321	321	+0	open	—	03-18 06:34
ethereum above 2100 on march 20	1	$54	200	0	+200	open	—	03-19 23:25
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	03-18 06:57
will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	2	$19	77	77	+0	open	—	03-19 12:04
ethereum above 2200 on march 18	3	$19	100	100	+0	open	—	03-18 13:38
will nvda reach 200 in march	8	$18	100	0	+100	open	—	03-16 19:26
ethereum above 2000 on march 22	1	$13	100	0	+100	open	—	03-19 23:28
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	1	$10	167	0	+167	open	—	04-29 11:50
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$10	43	0	+43	open	—	03-19 05:28
bitcoin above 70k on march 19	1	$10	42	0	+42	open	—	03-19 06:15
ethereum above 2100 on march 19	1	$10	161	0	+161	open	—	03-19 06:14
bitcoin above 72k on march 18	1	$6	100	0	+100	open	—	03-18 06:55
ethereum above 1900 on march 22	2	$5	185	185	+0	open	—	03-22 10:59
bitcoin above 68k on march 19	3	$3	100	0	+100	open	—	03-19 13:55
ethereum above 2100 on march 16	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	03-15 17:52
bitcoin above 72k on march 21	2	$2	103	0	+103	open	—	03-21 12:33
ethereum above 2200 on march 21	2	$2	99	0	+99	open	—	03-21 13:21
will bitcoin reach 74k on april 11	2	$1	10	9	+1	open	—	04-12 01:46
ethereum above 2500 on march 17	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	03-17 06:01
will larry ellison be 2nd richest person on march 31	1	$1	85	0	+85	open	—	03-19 12:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-03 13:09
nba det was 2026 03 17	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	03-16 22:22
will silver si hit low 80 by end of march	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-18 07:09
bitcoin above 72k on april 14	1	$1	125	0	+125	open	—	04-14 12:21
bitcoin above 74k on march 21	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-21 12:33
ethereum above 2100 on april 13	1	$1	62	0	+62	open	—	04-13 12:06
ethereum above 2100 on march 21	1	$1	125	0	+125	open	—	03-21 12:30
bitcoin above 70k on march 21	1	$1	46	0	+46	open	—	03-21 12:32
ethereum above 2200 on march 26	1	$1	125	0	+125	open	—	03-26 11:14
bitcoin above 72k on march 26	1	$1	111	0	+111	open	—	03-26 11:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 08:22:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb15d3f…
05-10 08:19:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x0eb5fc…
05-06 00:15:54	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd39af6…
05-03 13:46:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x173308…
05-03 13:09:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x933ca0…
04-29 11:50:44	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xbdaa81…
04-24 12:36:44	ethereum above 2200 on april 24	No	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x8fb80c…
04-24 12:35:06	bitcoin above 76k on april 24	No	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0x3412d7…
04-14 12:35:41	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 14	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x7b301c…
04-14 12:34:45	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 14	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd3fa21…
04-14 12:22:21	ethereum above 2200 on april 14	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x8bd9d7…
04-14 12:21:55	bitcoin above 72k on april 14	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x3b2418…
04-13 12:06:35	ethereum above 2100 on april 13	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x2ae9bf…
04-13 12:05:55	bitcoin above 68k on april 13	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x1edfc3…
04-12 01:46:43	will bitcoin reach 74k on april 11	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x8b7f17…
04-11 23:54:45	will bitcoin reach 74k on april 11	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x301a37…
04-07 03:37:27	ethereum above 2000 on april 7	No	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x02c7f1…
03-29 13:00:56	bitcoin above 68k on march 29	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x4581ac…
03-29 12:59:22	ethereum above 2100 on march 29	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xefff4e…
03-26 11:14:25	ethereum above 2200 on march 26	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x0f2602…
03-26 11:13:57	bitcoin above 72k on march 26	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xd061f9…
03-24 12:28:47	bitcoin above 74k on march 24	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xd24413…
03-24 12:25:57	ethereum above 2100 on march 24	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd08044…
03-22 10:59:59	ethereum above 1900 on march 22	No	SELL	185	0¢	$0	0x243838…
03-21 13:21:09	ethereum above 2200 on march 21	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x75f41f…
03-21 12:33:39	bitcoin above 72k on march 21	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe99978…
03-21 12:33:05	bitcoin above 74k on march 21	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe70134…
03-21 12:32:09	bitcoin above 70k on march 21	No	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x30c05a…
03-21 12:31:53	bitcoin above 72k on march 21	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xf7c1c3…
03-21 12:30:21	ethereum above 2100 on march 21	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x34d0e1…
03-21 12:29:57	ethereum above 2200 on march 21	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xbb0bfd…
03-19 23:28:07	ethereum above 2000 on march 22	No	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x5a5c7d…
03-19 23:25:35	ethereum above 2100 on march 20	No	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0xe907df…
03-19 13:55:03	bitcoin above 68k on march 19	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x93ec38…
03-19 13:50:11	bitcoin above 68k on march 19	No	BUY	97	3¢	$3	0xb4b2da…
03-19 13:50:07	bitcoin above 68k on march 19	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x373f7d…
03-19 12:04:01	will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	No	SELL	77	12¢	$9	0xa33607…
03-19 12:00:29	will larry ellison be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x457909…
03-19 11:47:21	will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	No	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x98081c…
03-19 06:20:17	ethereum above 1900 on march 22	No	BUY	185	3¢	$5	0x110864…
03-19 06:15:45	bitcoin above 70k on march 19	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xc58056…
03-19 06:14:45	ethereum above 2100 on march 19	No	BUY	161	6¢	$10	0x42ffdb…
03-19 05:28:13	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xb7d60e…
03-18 13:38:37	ethereum above 2200 on march 18	No	SELL	88	16¢	$14	0x68a14f…
03-18 13:38:15	ethereum above 2200 on march 18	No	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0xec6fe4…
03-18 07:09:09	will silver si hit low 80 by end of march	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x296519…
03-18 06:57:05	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	16	78¢	$12	0xd9f279…
03-18 06:56:37	ethereum above 2200 on march 18	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x2bcd1a…
03-18 06:55:07	bitcoin above 72k on march 18	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x2a0f00…
03-18 06:34:15	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	321	38¢	$122	0x0fe701…
03-17 06:04:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 17	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xdbff8e…
03-17 06:02:49	ethereum above 2200 on march 17	No	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xb61d5e…
03-17 06:01:51	ethereum above 2500 on march 17	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1272c6…
03-17 05:34:51	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	321	31¢	$100	0xb647d6…
03-17 01:42:09	nba ind nyk 2026 03 17	Pacers	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb92c77…
03-16 22:22:05	nba det was 2026 03 17	Wizards	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd914f0…
03-16 19:26:05	will nvda reach 200 in march	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xaded56…
03-16 14:42:55	will nvda reach 200 in march	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x087f7f…
03-16 13:42:43	will nvda reach 200 in march	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x5bad74…
03-16 10:49:01	will nvda reach 200 in march	Yes	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0xd7d4fa…
03-16 09:03:17	will nvda reach 200 in march	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$0	0x39c9ba…
03-16 08:21:11	will nvda reach 200 in march	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x96e127…
03-16 01:36:25	will nvda reach 200 in march	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x8f3b57…
03-15 20:58:53	will nvda reach 200 in march	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa73c95…
03-15 20:41:05	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x65d87e…
03-15 17:52:33	ethereum above 2100 on march 16	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6011cb…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	36	$367.0K	3,895	05-10 14:35
(anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394	33	$192.3K	2,553	04-28 06:18
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	33	$65.2K	781	05-10 14:35
(anonymous) 0x997c…251e	32	$334.7K	11,276	05-03 13:24
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	32	$82.5K	1,617	05-30 10:34
Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316	32	$20.1K	1,213	05-10 15:13
(anonymous) 0x2f69…acb6	32	$2.99K	1,094	04-24 12:04
(anonymous) 0x21c6…927b	32	$2.13K	737	04-24 12:04