Hoarse-Significance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.5%

Resolved

Trades

6,040

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-21 16:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

72% — —

Sports

17% 33% +$72

Other

11% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 1008 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?	2	$1.2K	645	643	+2	open	—	04-26 21:15
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$890	582	582	+0	Timberwolves	$-6	05-04 21:23
Lakers vs. Thunder	2	$525	603	0	+603	Thunder	+$78	05-05 11:34
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$286	354	85	+269	open	—	05-14 22:19
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$168	271	0	+271	open	—	05-14 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	39	$67	100	0	+100	open	—	04-26 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	40	$62	84	82	+2	open	—	04-25 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	32	$60	86	84	+2	open	—	04-26 14:44
btc updown 15m 1776994200	38	$58	103	11	+92	open	—	04-24 01:37
btc updown 15m 1776986100	38	$56	92	0	+92	open	—	04-23 23:22
btc updown 15m 1776948300	40	$55	97	0	+97	open	—	04-23 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	30	$53	87	85	+3	open	—	04-26 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	35	$53	75	75	+0	open	—	04-28 23:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	36	$52	103	0	+103	open	—	04-27 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	40	$52	99	0	+99	open	—	04-25 12:32
btc updown 15m 1776805200	45	$52	90	0	+90	open	—	04-21 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	37	$52	105	0	+105	open	—	04-27 14:10
btc updown 15m 1776881700	34	$52	93	0	+93	open	—	04-22 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	38	$51	82	0	+82	open	—	04-25 11:03
btc updown 15m 1776798900	42	$51	97	0	+97	open	—	04-21 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	38	$50	78	0	+78	open	—	04-26 09:06
btc updown 15m 1776978000	36	$50	81	0	+81	open	—	04-23 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	37	$50	83	0	+83	open	—	04-29 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	26	$49	98	98	+0	open	—	04-30 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	39	$49	96	0	+96	open	—	04-27 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	27	$49	79	76	+3	open	—	04-25 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	39	$49	81	0	+81	open	—	04-25 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	32	$49	90	0	+90	open	—	04-27 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	34	$48	79	0	+79	open	—	04-25 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	29	$48	72	70	+2	open	—	04-26 09:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 16:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb004fe…
05-14 22:21:27	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	271	62¢	$168	0x6e575b…
05-14 22:19:18	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	85	65¢	$55	0xd913e8…
05-13 18:21:18	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	354	65¢	$230	0xae4a35…
05-09 15:54:46	UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)	Jared Gordon	BUY	16	71¢	$12	0xd8e115…
05-09 15:46:59	UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)	Jared Gordon	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0xca1283…
05-05 11:34:58	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xba3c4d…
05-05 11:16:58	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	593	87¢	$516	0xa2dafa…
05-04 21:23:12	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	582	76¢	$442	0xa1ed55…
05-04 21:18:58	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	582	77¢	$448	0xed6f65…
05-01 03:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc5e96c…
05-01 03:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xf7fa13…
05-01 03:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd33ec4…
05-01 03:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc2532d…
05-01 03:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x1b26bd…
05-01 03:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xa7a339…
05-01 03:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x5972ea…
05-01 03:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x631742…
05-01 03:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x14e72e…
05-01 03:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x9c84a0…
05-01 03:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x2e01a3…
05-01 03:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xa4a371…
05-01 03:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0044a8…
05-01 03:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6e7d6f…
05-01 03:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf5425b…
05-01 03:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x86e91d…
05-01 03:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3b862b…
05-01 03:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf8b258…
05-01 03:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xc7c577…
05-01 03:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xc61e5f…
05-01 03:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x5d85e1…
05-01 03:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x427a8d…
05-01 03:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x6eca9f…
05-01 03:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x62337d…
05-01 02:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb6b444…
05-01 02:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa94c3b…
05-01 02:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1f2379…
05-01 02:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfb982b…
05-01 02:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf41f3f…
05-01 02:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd5ec1f…
05-01 02:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc1485a…
05-01 02:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xba9438…
05-01 02:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x762d6f…
05-01 02:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd4200d…
05-01 02:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf3669c…
05-01 02:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfaeaeb…
05-01 02:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xf15154…
05-01 02:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xbc0a43…
05-01 02:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x135d98…
05-01 02:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xb352e0…
05-01 02:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0da300…
05-01 02:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x336070…
05-01 02:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xfa512d…
05-01 02:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xade3e5…
05-01 02:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xccc4a5…
05-01 02:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xaa3554…
05-01 02:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x292540…
05-01 02:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd63c38…
05-01 02:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9038b6…
05-01 02:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x586d51…
05-01 02:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xad4935…
05-01 02:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc1423a…
05-01 02:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x7b1b6e…
05-01 01:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xd7b240…
05-01 01:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xe8a137…
05-01 01:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x452580…
05-01 01:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x132297…
05-01 01:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xc170a4…
05-01 01:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x5a5585…
05-01 01:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x095f02…
05-01 01:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xdb464e…
05-01 01:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x1c3c72…
05-01 01:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xbcc922…
05-01 01:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xdbf586…
05-01 01:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x73fb86…
05-01 01:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x97d1e3…
05-01 00:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xd3132b…
05-01 00:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x55d4fe…
05-01 00:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xdeb33f…
05-01 00:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xaacb79…
05-01 00:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x25518e…
05-01 00:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7fda29…
05-01 00:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x42bffa…
05-01 00:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xaec206…
05-01 00:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x83f3a9…
05-01 00:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7e696f…
05-01 00:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9fc2f0…
05-01 00:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4b25c8…
05-01 00:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5ae97f…
05-01 00:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4fddce…
05-01 00:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa88796…
05-01 00:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0f67e4…
05-01 00:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x81f2d5…
05-01 00:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x7b9979…
05-01 00:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xeb8929…
05-01 00:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xd4d4ff…
05-01 00:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xc30b27…
05-01 00:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x81585e…
05-01 00:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xaafae1…
05-01 00:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x3b7ac8…