Fearless-Velvet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$100

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-26 15:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 57% $-2

Politics

8% — —

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$5	7	6	+1	open	—	05-01 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	5	$5	6	4	+2	open	—	05-02 09:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	3	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-01 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 11:24
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-01 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	4	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	05-02 09:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-01 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	05-01 17:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$3	4	3	+1	open	—	05-01 17:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 11:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$2	6	2	+5	open	—	05-01 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-01 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 11:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-01 16:38
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-01 16:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-01 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-01 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-06 08:32
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-01 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$2	7	7	+0	open	—	05-26 15:17
Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	2	$2	9	9	+0	open	—	04-30 13:32
Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	2	$1	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 13:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$1	1	1	+0	open	—	05-01 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	05-01 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-14 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-14 11:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 15:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbe6464…
05-26 15:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x3d7b45…
05-26 15:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x007899…
05-26 15:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x265048…
05-14 14:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb810b7…
05-14 11:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa25954…
05-14 11:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x71ce2d…
05-14 11:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x42a503…
05-14 11:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x872a3e…
05-14 11:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0e5bee…
05-14 11:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x724348…
05-14 11:18:35	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x6805e6…
05-09 22:42:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9e60e0…
05-09 22:42:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x957c67…
05-07 11:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x0ce5fc…
05-07 11:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3f1a42…
05-07 11:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x40fa15…
05-07 11:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe0ee39…
05-07 11:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4cccbc…
05-07 10:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x014569…
05-06 08:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x85d1e5…
05-06 08:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1f4c2b…
05-06 08:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x241995…
05-06 08:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xca80e0…
05-06 08:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x76439c…
05-03 20:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2e70ec…
05-03 20:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x71f40f…
05-02 09:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7a297b…
05-02 09:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xba9ef7…
05-02 09:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xd154ac…
05-02 09:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb4c5a9…
05-02 09:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x54504a…
05-02 09:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xa2f45f…
05-02 09:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x323cf7…
05-02 09:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x125c86…
05-02 09:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x42c711…
05-01 18:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc93859…
05-01 17:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xcf1bf4…
05-01 17:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x785683…
05-01 17:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x145468…
05-01 17:34:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7bc2c1…
05-01 17:33:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x6d56a2…
05-01 17:32:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x54fe32…
05-01 17:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf3c2f4…
05-01 17:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1adc0a…
05-01 17:23:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8177fb…
05-01 17:23:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x892f93…
05-01 17:22:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xabd2bc…
05-01 17:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x159874…
05-01 17:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x190cda…
05-01 17:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x714091…
05-01 17:15:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd87b45…
05-01 17:04:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x5ebf55…
05-01 17:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x22dbda…
05-01 17:01:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xfb2f06…
05-01 16:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2751f8…
05-01 16:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x550442…
05-01 16:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x0cd7aa…
05-01 16:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbe0561…
05-01 16:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x205a16…
05-01 16:38:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x37d94e…
05-01 16:36:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8f5cfe…
05-01 16:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7c93b8…
05-01 16:33:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xae18b9…
05-01 16:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xd4695d…
05-01 16:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x580475…
05-01 16:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xdbb0e3…
05-01 16:31:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xb70966…
05-01 16:31:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb01de8…
05-01 16:29:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x36cbd3…
05-01 16:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xaf07cb…
05-01 16:27:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x399ad7…
05-01 16:27:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x04e423…
05-01 16:27:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x141041…
05-01 16:27:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf11428…
05-01 16:19:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$0	0x804161…
05-01 16:19:10	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9c9490…
05-01 16:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd38913…
05-01 16:17:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x7c18fb…
05-01 16:16:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdbe094…
05-01 16:15:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc1e70a…
05-01 16:14:58	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x08df1c…
05-01 16:14:20	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7d6900…
05-01 16:14:02	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x912f36…
05-01 16:13:46	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x589eee…
05-01 16:13:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc0652a…
05-01 16:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xef9441…
05-01 16:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6455b2…
05-01 16:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6c2173…
05-01 16:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfbc6d8…
05-01 16:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1978b0…
05-01 16:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1de229…
04-30 13:32:04	Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x1fab8b…
04-30 13:32:00	Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$0	0x70dcd1…
04-30 13:28:52	Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x097c3f…
04-30 13:28:48	Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa0d4df…
04-28 15:11:00	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xe90c24…
04-28 14:47:18	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x360a71…