Downright-Efficacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

Trades

963

lifetime

Volume

$2.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 06-07 17:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	05-24 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$20	20	18	+2	open	—	05-24 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$17	15	15	+0	open	—	05-24 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	05-24 23:16
btc updown 5m 1776645900	4	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	04-20 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-25 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$15	14	14	+0	open	—	05-24 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$14	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	3	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	05-25 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-27 21:47
btc updown 5m 1780669500	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	06-05 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	4	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 02:27
btc updown 5m 1780830000	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	06-07 11:01
btc updown 5m 1780758000	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	06-06 15:01
btc updown 5m 1780779000	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	06-06 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-27 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	3	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-28 07:16
btc updown 5m 1776798000	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-21 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-29 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	6	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-02 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	3	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-03 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	04-27 19:46
btc updown 5m 1780830300	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	06-07 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	04-28 04:01
btc updown 5m 1780828200	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	06-07 10:31
btc updown 5m 1780747200	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	06-06 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	04-28 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-01 02:08
btc updown 5m 1780780200	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	06-06 21:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 17:21:42	btc updown 5m 1780852800	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x3f3493…
06-07 17:20:45	btc updown 5m 1780852800	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x5f08fd…
06-07 17:16:28	btc updown 5m 1780852500	Up	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x9d2485…
06-07 17:15:40	btc updown 5m 1780852500	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xf2e30b…
06-07 17:15:40	btc updown 5m 1780852500	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8686c1…
06-07 16:47:30	btc updown 5m 1780850700	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x158486…
06-07 16:41:27	btc updown 5m 1780850400	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x9bdeb6…
06-07 16:40:40	btc updown 5m 1780850400	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x400917…
06-07 16:27:15	btc updown 5m 1780849500	Up	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x1ae801…
06-07 16:25:40	btc updown 5m 1780849500	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x95f25c…
06-07 13:07:13	btc updown 5m 1780837500	Up	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x4e9adc…
06-07 13:05:37	btc updown 5m 1780837500	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x52dd11…
06-07 11:06:10	btc updown 5m 1780830300	Up	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x49f473…
06-07 11:05:36	btc updown 5m 1780830300	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x636483…
06-07 11:01:19	btc updown 5m 1780830000	Up	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x4ad663…
06-07 11:00:37	btc updown 5m 1780830000	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xf07f29…
06-07 10:36:06	btc updown 5m 1780828500	Up	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0xc5af5b…
06-07 10:35:37	btc updown 5m 1780828500	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x2938bb…
06-07 10:31:15	btc updown 5m 1780828200	Up	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x63ee7e…
06-07 10:30:43	btc updown 5m 1780828200	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x1805fe…
06-07 10:01:28	btc updown 5m 1780826400	Up	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0xd4bab2…
06-07 10:00:37	btc updown 5m 1780826400	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x926e48…
06-07 10:00:37	btc updown 5m 1780826400	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x88f81a…
06-07 08:55:48	btc updown 5m 1780822500	Up	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xf30545…
06-07 08:55:40	btc updown 5m 1780822500	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xca1901…
06-06 21:10:48	btc updown 5m 1780780200	Up	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xa06a1a…
06-06 21:10:37	btc updown 5m 1780780200	Up	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x390ed8…
06-06 21:06:04	btc updown 5m 1780779900	Up	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xb43f4f…
06-06 21:05:39	btc updown 5m 1780779900	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xddc90d…
06-06 20:51:00	btc updown 5m 1780779000	Up	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0xd2a132…
06-06 20:50:40	btc updown 5m 1780779000	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xb3a5b9…
06-06 18:01:37	btc updown 5m 1780768800	Up	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x5bfcab…
06-06 18:00:45	btc updown 5m 1780768800	Up	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xfde192…
06-06 18:00:43	btc updown 5m 1780768800	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8622ec…
06-06 18:00:43	btc updown 5m 1780768800	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x111229…
06-06 15:01:12	btc updown 5m 1780758000	Up	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0xcf4df9…
06-06 15:00:37	btc updown 5m 1780758000	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xe64c5c…
06-06 12:01:04	btc updown 5m 1780747200	Up	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xc7ee48…
06-06 12:00:37	btc updown 5m 1780747200	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xad76c9…
06-05 14:28:28	btc updown 5m 1780669500	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xef3a9b…
06-05 14:27:34	btc updown 5m 1780669500	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa7914d…
05-30 17:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x9eabbc…
05-30 17:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x284422…
05-25 03:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xb9a714…
05-25 03:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x99b358…
05-25 01:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x16ccf0…
05-25 01:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd1c9a6…
05-25 01:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3ff01d…
05-25 00:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x08b771…
05-25 00:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xefb0ef…
05-24 23:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0xfe6d85…
05-24 23:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xac1502…
05-24 23:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0x2d6868…
05-24 23:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x541989…
05-24 22:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x840e2c…
05-24 22:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xd246fa…
05-24 22:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0xab1f4e…
05-24 22:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x3fac29…
05-24 20:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	18	58¢	$10	0x41a1dd…
05-24 20:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9fb6ec…
05-24 06:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xe8b311…
05-24 06:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe8a62d…
05-12 19:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0x718ec8…
05-12 19:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x065725…
05-12 19:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x303eff…
05-12 19:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0xa2c317…
05-12 19:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x4b4d72…
05-12 19:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x65f739…
05-12 18:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xb5e3d2…
05-12 18:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc27a5a…
05-12 18:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x13a807…
05-12 18:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0x735c41…
05-12 18:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x10aa8f…
05-12 18:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x1e5ced…
05-12 18:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf0746b…
05-12 18:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xd85471…
05-12 18:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x4e47e3…
05-12 17:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x138932…
05-12 17:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x46c7bb…
05-11 22:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x0a682d…
05-03 07:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0x0192a7…
05-03 07:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x7d7206…
05-03 07:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x036e38…
05-03 05:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x46a7e5…
05-03 05:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xbc08f2…
05-03 05:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x3a6949…
05-03 05:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2cf5ee…
05-02 20:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x77017e…
05-02 20:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x95b315…
05-02 20:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xecef84…
05-02 18:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x20f09e…
05-02 18:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x1489d6…
05-02 16:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xf47823…
05-02 16:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xa0c814…
05-02 16:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0x21b400…
05-02 14:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0x135e99…
05-02 14:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xef64f3…
05-02 14:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0xf747e3…
05-02 14:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xff64b7…
05-02 14:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xef1e66…