Apt-Snug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.5%

Resolved

Trades

220

lifetime

Volume

$547

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 05-08 00:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 20% $-5

Politics

12% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$43	534	34	+500	open	—	03-08 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	7	$40	45	34	+11	Up	$-0	05-04 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	5	$26	38	34	+3	Up	+$4	05-04 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$25	23	23	+0	open	—	04-30 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$24	47	47	+0	open	—	04-30 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$24	26	26	+0	open	—	04-30 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$18	26	14	+12	open	—	04-30 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$17	36	15	+21	open	—	04-30 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	4	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	04-30 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	04-30 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	3	$15	75	50	+25	open	—	04-30 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$13	41	8	+33	open	—	04-30 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$11	13	13	+0	open	—	04-30 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 12:13
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	2	$10	93	93	+0	open	—	03-06 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-30 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-30 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	05-02 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	6	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	04-30 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-28 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	7	$6	20	5	+14	open	—	04-30 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	04-30 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	5	$5	16	3	+13	Up	$-1	05-08 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$5	33	17	+17	open	—	05-02 00:43
btc updown 5m 1774650300	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-27 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-30 12:35
btc updown 5m 1775262900	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-04 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	05-02 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	3	$5	7	4	+3	Down	+$1	05-06 22:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 00:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7be892…
05-08 00:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x1aba6c…
05-08 00:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8d88ce…
05-08 00:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xb9047e…
05-08 00:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6840b6…
05-07 23:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4228b6…
05-07 23:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x6ad873…
05-07 23:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4d0950…
05-07 23:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdf8c63…
05-06 23:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd835f5…
05-06 23:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x5f11f8…
05-06 23:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd95ad4…
05-06 23:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc05c05…
05-06 23:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xd7ba18…
05-06 22:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0dbc97…
05-06 22:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x911af0…
05-06 22:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc3e4a0…
05-06 22:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfec32d…
05-06 22:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$3	0x216517…
05-06 22:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb19ca5…
05-06 22:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x71ecd6…
05-06 22:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd9a984…
05-04 23:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1f4f47…
05-04 23:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	24	33¢	$8	0xd8988d…
05-04 23:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xd338d1…
05-04 23:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	70¢	$7	0xcd421f…
05-04 23:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x32d6a2…
05-04 23:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x9807a4…
05-04 23:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	67¢	$6	0x46f23b…
05-04 23:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xeaf7de…
05-04 23:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x303947…
05-04 23:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9240c9…
05-04 23:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0x33a523…
05-04 23:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x01c2ca…
05-04 23:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0e2a0e…
05-04 23:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0xbfcef5…
05-04 23:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x012655…
05-04 23:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3409e9…
05-04 23:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x180076…
05-04 23:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x2bc694…
05-04 23:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe660bf…
05-04 23:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb70aab…
05-02 00:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x810132…
05-02 00:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0xe9d4cc…
05-02 00:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x12c09c…
05-02 00:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x13b430…
05-02 00:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8af0af…
05-02 00:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x598f68…
05-02 00:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xaa65ba…
05-02 00:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0c0a42…
05-02 00:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	43¢	$4	0x35ac19…
05-02 00:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa674f7…
05-02 00:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xfdb903…
05-02 00:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbddfb6…
05-02 00:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x0eb503…
05-02 00:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6b4ded…
05-02 00:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2ef51c…
05-02 00:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x29a133…
05-02 00:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4309dd…
04-30 23:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8f505e…
04-30 23:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x0ef8e2…
04-30 23:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x87f91a…
04-30 23:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x3511c6…
04-30 23:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	15	50¢	$7	0xc63dd2…
04-30 23:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x98e82a…
04-30 23:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5bf09d…
04-30 23:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x2fc5b9…
04-30 23:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc48eb8…
04-30 23:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x591dba…
04-30 23:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x08316b…
04-30 23:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xe99be5…
04-30 23:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x869604…
04-30 23:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x971a2f…
04-30 23:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x8efc46…
04-30 23:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3dd095…
04-30 23:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x2a83cb…
04-30 23:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf5dd55…
04-30 23:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6e4d06…
04-30 23:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xd0a7be…
04-30 23:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x97f449…
04-30 23:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x1dcf00…
04-30 23:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x3404e0…
04-30 23:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x4f6796…
04-30 23:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x46fc11…
04-30 23:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6b34a7…
04-30 23:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x037855…
04-30 23:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x32ca3d…
04-30 23:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa6857b…
04-30 23:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x195851…
04-30 23:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc2b803…
04-30 23:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x3e5d58…
04-30 23:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0f0eec…
04-30 23:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x8d3563…
04-30 23:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc35ea1…
04-30 22:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1598f7…
04-30 13:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x218d55…
04-30 13:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x23f928…
04-30 13:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x894f16…
04-30 12:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb3ed51…
04-30 12:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x165aab…