Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.57K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$335

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 08-05 02:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

83% 31% +$4,061

Other

17% 50% +$3,521

Sports

0% 33% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	4	$7.7K	4,772	4,772	+0	Yes	+$308	04-04 04:02
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	3	$1.0K	3,544	0	+3,544	Yes	+$2,543	07-11 23:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$861	821	821	+0	Yes	+$701	03-01 00:01
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	1	$700	2,367	0	+2,367	Yes	+$1,667	07-15 03:49
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	3	$643	1,763	1,763	+0	Yes	$-457	07-28 01:16
nothing ever happens khamenei	1	$570	2,581	0	+2,581	No	+$2,011	02-22 18:56
will israel or the us target tehran 812	1	$530	3,031	0	+3,031	Yes	+$2,501	02-22 18:57
cbb miss ark 2026 03 14	2	$452	253	252	+1	Arkansas Razorbacks	+$53	03-14 23:21
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	2	$342	813	813	+0	No	$-284	07-28 01:17
cbb miss ark 2026 03 14 total 158pt5	2	$328	215	214	+1	Over	+$101	03-14 23:21
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$300	455	0	+455	Yes	+$155	02-28 06:24
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	2	$257	742	742	+0	No	$-203	07-28 01:18
israel closes its airspace by august 15	2	$238	765	765	+0	No	$-162	08-05 02:56
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	2	$218	725	725	+0	No	$-202	07-28 01:21
iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	1	$210	717	0	+717	No	$-210	07-15 03:38
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	1	$200	473	0	+473	Yes	$-200	07-31 21:29
iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	1	$200	256	0	+256	No	$-200	07-13 23:32
iran full airspace closure by august 15	2	$155	346	1,104	-758	No	$-45	08-05 02:55
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	2	$130	645	645	+0	No	$-70	07-28 01:19
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	2	$125	717	717	+0	No	$-75	07-28 01:19
will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	2	$125	1,227	1,227	+0	No	$-115	07-28 01:21
will wti reach 115 in august 2026	1	$120	1,181	0	+1,181	open	—	07-31 21:32
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	2	$116	722	722	+0	No	$-84	07-15 03:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$100	622	0	+622	No	$-100	03-29 20:12
will wti reach 105 in july 2026	1	$50	591	0	+591	No	$-50	07-22 00:11
nba bos gsw 2026 02 19 total 223pt5	1	$40	64	0	+64	Over	+$24	02-20 04:14
nba den gsw 2026 02 22 spread away 6pt5	1	$20	40	0	+40	Warriors	$-20	02-22 18:58
nba cle okc 2026 02 22 total 226pt5	1	$14	31	0	+31	Over	$-14	02-22 18:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 02:56:11	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	765	5¢	$38	0xd053eb…
08-05 02:55:57	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	1,104	5¢	$55	0x3906fa…
07-31 21:34:17	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	346	29¢	$100	0x4cc841…
07-31 21:32:30	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,181	10¢	$120	0x503499…
07-31 21:30:21	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	765	26¢	$200	0xe75069…
07-31 21:29:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	473	42¢	$200	0xca8a3e…
07-28 01:21:49	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	Yes	SELL	1,227	0¢	$5	0xe7b42b…
07-28 01:21:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	725	1¢	$8	0x549f10…
07-28 01:19:49	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	645	5¢	$30	0xbb8d5f…
07-28 01:19:33	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	717	3¢	$25	0x4dbbac…
07-28 01:18:22	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	742	4¢	$27	0xcef400…
07-28 01:17:16	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	813	4¢	$29	0x216142…
07-28 01:16:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	1,763	5¢	$93	0xe7cc58…
07-25 13:01:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	909	22¢	$200	0x885e3d…
07-23 10:14:51	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	742	31¢	$230	0x28b112…
07-23 10:13:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	854	41¢	$350	0x8efd03…
07-23 10:11:01	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	Yes	BUY	1,227	10¢	$120	0x7f1776…
07-22 00:11:30	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	591	8¢	$50	0x871ac0…
07-20 02:27:31	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	717	14¢	$100	0x838b4a…
07-15 03:50:38	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	645	15¢	$100	0x47694f…
07-15 03:49:41	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	2,367	30¢	$700	0x2be84a…
07-15 03:38:53	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	Yes	BUY	717	29¢	$210	0xb0ddba…
07-15 03:34:16	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	722	2¢	$16	0xbf336e…
07-13 23:32:47	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x708847…
07-13 21:24:28	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	813	38¢	$313	0x158283…
07-13 21:23:56	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	722	14¢	$100	0x01a01f…
07-11 23:15:25	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	1,041	48¢	$500	0x0d180c…
07-10 12:46:26	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	1,202	17¢	$201	0xf606dd…
07-08 20:58:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	Yes	BUY	725	29¢	$210	0x99b848…
07-08 20:56:34	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	1,302	23¢	$300	0x87f05c…
04-04 04:02:15	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,564	90¢	$2,308	0xc8359a…
03-29 20:16:32	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,564	78¢	$2,000	0x794163…
03-29 20:12:30	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	622	16¢	$100	0x66b485…
03-29 20:10:04	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,208	77¢	$1,700	0xf7879c…
03-29 19:48:36	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,208	77¢	$1,700	0xe9d76c…
03-14 23:21:55	cbb miss ark 2026 03 14	Arkansas Razorbacks	SELL	252	100¢	$252	0x135849…
03-14 23:21:49	cbb miss ark 2026 03 14 total 158pt5	Over	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0x201747…
03-14 19:32:37	cbb miss ark 2026 03 14 total 158pt5	Over	BUY	215	53¢	$114	0x16a5bc…
03-14 19:32:21	cbb miss ark 2026 03 14	Arkansas Razorbacks	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xc8702b…
03-01 00:01:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	821	95¢	$781	0x23e289…
02-28 06:32:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	821	10¢	$80	0x74b25f…
02-28 06:24:07	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	455	66¢	$300	0x4e39bb…
02-22 18:58:58	nba den gsw 2026 02 22 spread away 6pt5	Nuggets	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x631111…
02-22 18:57:50	will israel or the us target tehran 812	Yes	BUY	3,031	17¢	$530	0x14caa5…
02-22 18:56:50	nothing ever happens khamenei	No	BUY	2,581	22¢	$570	0xef83f9…
02-22 18:30:02	nba cle okc 2026 02 22 total 226pt5	Under	BUY	31	45¢	$14	0x643421…
02-20 04:14:48	nba bos gsw 2026 02 19 total 223pt5	Over	BUY	64	62¢	$40	0x4fdc7b…