Extraneous-Decadence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$146

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 08-06 07:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

56% 100% +$1

Other

32% — —

Sports

9% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will butterfly win best animated short film at the 98th academy awards	1	$9	22	+22	open	—	03-15 10:18
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 90 114	1	$9	12	+12	open	—	03-21 06:41
nhl ana ott 2026 03 14	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	03-14 07:49
lol fn bombat 2026 03 13	1	$7	12	+12	open	—	03-13 11:51
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$6	9	+9	open	—	03-25 08:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-22 06:27
elc wat she 2026 04 18 wat	1	$6	9	+9	open	—	04-18 07:15
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	06-20 08:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	05-06 07:04
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	04-11 06:04
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	04-23 04:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-14 05:58
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	06-27 03:51
highest temperature in paris on march 29 2026 13c	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-28 10:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	06-02 07:27
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	06-13 05:36
btc updown 5m 1773673800	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	03-16 09:39
iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	07-02 04:03
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	07-06 07:06
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	07-17 03:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	05-02 10:50
chi ron qin 2026 04 03 draw	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	04-03 04:11
nba lal det 2026 03 23	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	03-23 09:24
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	07-23 06:02
israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	1	$5	25	+25	open	—	08-06 07:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 07:09:50	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xd4827b…
07-23 06:02:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x770c0f…
07-17 03:34:09	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x423aba…
07-06 07:06:28	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3e8fc9…
07-02 04:03:13	iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x98f61b…
06-27 03:51:49	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xecf276…
06-20 08:56:46	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xe52a34…
06-13 05:36:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xae62d5…
06-02 07:27:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x45ffb9…
05-22 06:27:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xfdac5d…
05-14 05:58:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbe55b1…
05-06 07:04:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x52e687…
05-02 10:50:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x026831…
04-23 04:04:52	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xf0fd73…
04-18 07:15:40	elc wat she 2026 04 18 wat	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x13fbc5…
04-11 06:04:23	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	No	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0xc89b15…
04-03 04:11:29	chi ron qin 2026 04 03 draw	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x15fe48…
03-28 10:59:53	highest temperature in paris on march 29 2026 13c	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x871c49…
03-25 08:36:03	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x3af5e1…
03-23 09:24:49	nba lal det 2026 03 23	Lakers	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x137d22…
03-21 06:41:31	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 90 114	No	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x7f2449…
03-16 09:39:59	btc updown 5m 1773673800	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x84c536…
03-15 10:18:39	will butterfly win best animated short film at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	22	39¢	$9	0x17a910…
03-14 07:49:49	nhl ana ott 2026 03 14	Senators	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x609d4e…
03-13 11:51:05	lol fn bombat 2026 03 13	BOMBA Team	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x100b5b…