Worried-Contention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$81

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.4%

Resolved

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$12.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-14 21:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

58% 0% $-142

Politics

22% — —

Crypto

13% 25% +$61

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nfl la chi 2026 01 18	14	$2.1K	2,343	2,760	-417	open	—	01-19 03:03
nfl lac ne 2026 01 11	3	$705	571	271	+301	open	—	01-12 03:47
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	3	$644	1,026	1,026	+0	open	—	04-03 18:02
mlb laa nyy 2026 04 16	4	$491	393	389	+4	open	—	04-16 20:33
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	4	$459	971	971	+0	open	—	01-27 15:14
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	2	$411	775	775	+0	open	—	02-09 00:52
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$406	256	256	+0	open	—	04-28 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$368	270	270	+0	Up	+$168	05-13 04:31
nfl la car 2026 01 10	6	$365	412	412	+0	open	—	01-11 00:42
will the state of the union be 130 minutes or longer 839	2	$365	213	213	+0	open	—	02-25 05:25
will tarique rahman be the next prime minister of bangladesh after the parliamentary election	2	$340	188	188	+0	open	—	02-16 07:01
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$328	265	265	+0	open	—	02-24 08:51
nfl hou ne 2026 01 18	4	$311	192	192	+0	open	—	01-19 01:15
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	2	$302	200	200	+0	open	—	02-18 23:48
will the patriots win the afc championship 1	2	$289	264	264	+0	open	—	01-22 17:36
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	2	$279	160	160	+0	open	—	01-25 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$277	179	179	+0	Up	+$77	05-12 04:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$276	178	178	+0	Up	+$76	05-13 19:40
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$239	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-07 23:37
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	3	$225	196	196	+0	open	—	01-18 00:20
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	2	$200	270	270	+0	Baltimore Orioles	$-130	05-13 18:31
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros	2	$198	157	157	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	$-12	05-06 18:38
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	2	$190	500	500	+0	open	—	01-26 02:44
ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	2	$158	150	150	+0	open	—	01-25 05:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$155	106	106	+0	Down	+$55	05-13 22:05
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers	2	$152	208	208	+0	open	—	04-29 01:49
nfl buf jax 2026 01 11	2	$145	100	100	+0	open	—	01-11 21:05
mlb kc det 2026 04 16	1	$141	179	0	+179	open	—	04-16 20:35
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	3	$140	702	702	+0	open	—	01-26 02:44
will trump say fake news during the 2026 state of the union address	2	$100	104	104	+0	open	—	02-24 19:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 21:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3a2834…
05-14 21:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb7f694…
05-14 21:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb5c60e…
05-14 21:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd57ba6…
05-14 21:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfff6ac…
05-13 23:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe8b4d5…
05-13 23:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x15406e…
05-13 23:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x31cc8e…
05-13 23:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x66a3e3…
05-13 23:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x337e5d…
05-13 23:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5d7d3e…
05-13 23:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x514158…
05-13 23:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc9a8a6…
05-13 23:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf5e51c…
05-13 23:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb00d3c…
05-13 23:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x224e81…
05-13 23:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0ad087…
05-13 23:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc733d5…
05-13 22:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x96d567…
05-13 22:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x599d0c…
05-13 22:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	329	8¢	$25	0x8226fc…
05-13 22:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0x10894b…
05-13 22:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x1203b1…
05-13 21:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xc82a60…
05-13 21:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xf243f4…
05-13 21:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x002861…
05-13 21:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	34	41¢	$14	0x27bdaf…
05-13 21:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x6cf5a2…
05-13 20:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	203	25¢	$50	0x94954e…
05-13 20:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	80	31¢	$25	0x102638…
05-13 20:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	165	6¢	$10	0xf08cab…
05-13 19:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	178	99¢	$176	0x2dbf9b…
05-13 19:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0xfae680…
05-13 19:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	195	39¢	$76	0xf46208…
05-13 18:31:10	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	New York Yankees	SELL	270	13¢	$35	0x9ad350…
05-13 16:27:21	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	New York Yankees	BUY	270	61¢	$165	0xe6f986…
05-13 06:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x907eb7…
05-13 05:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x65ae13…
05-13 04:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x0d3e5a…
05-13 04:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	270	99¢	$268	0x988e6e…
05-13 04:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x696d11…
05-12 22:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9bacd3…
05-12 22:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xda5ba8…
05-12 22:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xe398bb…
05-12 04:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	179	99¢	$177	0xd856ca…
05-12 04:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xe14228…
05-12 04:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x73557d…
05-12 04:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xba7617…
05-12 04:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x06bf8a…
05-06 18:38:37	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	157	59¢	$93	0xb7d10a…
05-06 16:53:56	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	157	67¢	$105	0x7d005c…
04-29 06:23:00	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	577	13¢	$75	0xe649c0…
04-29 01:49:56	New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	SELL	208	25¢	$52	0x5ef9f6…
04-28 15:56:42	New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xf8dc68…
04-28 00:02:22	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	256	97¢	$250	0x1eff61…
04-16 20:35:56	mlb kc det 2026 04 16	Kansas City Royals	BUY	179	79¢	$141	0xd1d87f…
04-16 20:33:56	mlb laa nyy 2026 04 16	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	142	100¢	$141	0xecd504…
04-16 19:37:08	mlb laa nyy 2026 04 16	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	143	76¢	$109	0x045535…
04-16 19:27:40	mlb laa nyy 2026 04 16	New York Yankees	SELL	247	37¢	$91	0xbcfb72…
04-16 17:47:50	mlb laa nyy 2026 04 16	New York Yankees	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0x6afd48…
04-15 23:38:58	mlb laa nyy 2026 04 15	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x794a46…
04-15 23:04:00	mlb laa nyy 2026 04 15	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xc8abe0…
04-15 21:50:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	256	61¢	$156	0x146905…
04-07 23:37:41	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	SELL	1,000	8¢	$79	0x8a6b92…
04-06 17:39:45	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	16¢	$160	0x205805…
04-03 18:02:07	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	SELL	1,026	42¢	$431	0xec8311…
03-03 02:37:23	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	103	25¢	$26	0x0c4a43…
03-03 00:50:21	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	923	20¢	$187	0xcf20b3…
02-25 05:25:50	will the state of the union be 130 minutes or longer 839	No	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0xd4b716…
02-25 02:59:24	will the state of the union be 130 minutes or longer 839	No	BUY	213	71¢	$152	0x65ac8a…
02-25 02:57:32	will trump say black or hispanic during the 2026 state of the union address 716	Yes	SELL	69	40¢	$28	0xd4e791…
02-25 02:57:12	will trump say maga or make america great again during the 2026 state of the union address 742	Yes	SELL	34	81¢	$28	0x819b2f…
02-24 19:09:36	will trump say nobel or peace prize during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0xbc40ec…
02-24 19:09:18	will trump say fake news during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	SELL	104	48¢	$50	0x627eed…
02-24 19:09:04	will trump say iq during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	SELL	101	20¢	$20	0x08cc99…
02-24 09:10:48	will trump say maga or make america great again during the 2026 state of the union address 742	Yes	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x19d64d…
02-24 09:06:50	will trump say black or hispanic during the 2026 state of the union address 716	Yes	BUY	69	71¢	$49	0x5a4ccd…
02-24 09:04:34	will trump say nobel or peace prize during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x6fbbd8…
02-24 09:03:58	will trump say fake news during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x492ec2…
02-24 09:03:28	will trump say iq during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	101	28¢	$28	0x5d33e6…
02-24 08:51:38	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	265	62¢	$164	0x57b57a…
02-20 20:01:24	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	265	62¢	$164	0xf25bed…
02-20 19:37:32	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	128	24¢	$31	0x10da78…
02-18 23:48:34	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0xa87ed2…
02-18 23:48:22	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	128	22¢	$28	0x3cb2ce…
02-17 21:44:05	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$151	0x379acf…
02-16 07:01:57	will tarique rahman be the next prime minister of bangladesh after the parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	188	99¢	$185	0xe9ab07…
02-09 16:13:53	will tarique rahman be the next prime minister of bangladesh after the parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	188	82¢	$155	0x8c3f5c…
02-09 00:52:03	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	SELL	775	20¢	$155	0xa12d0c…
01-27 15:14:23	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	775	33¢	$256	0x472696…
01-27 15:14:01	will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	Yes	SELL	671	32¢	$217	0xee7209…
01-26 02:44:44	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	SELL	702	1¢	$5	0x90f160…
01-26 02:44:10	nfl la sea 2026 01 25	Rams	SELL	500	1¢	$5	0xd65a60…
01-26 00:30:54	nfl la sea 2026 01 25	Rams	BUY	500	37¢	$185	0xa9d52e…
01-26 00:23:52	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	175	20¢	$35	0xb062c5…
01-26 00:14:28	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	527	19¢	$100	0x1d9e44…
01-25 23:16:14	nfl ne den 2026 01 25	Patriots	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x969048…
01-25 22:51:16	nfl ne den 2026 01 25	Patriots	BUY	160	75¢	$120	0x6bdcfb…
01-25 05:12:12	ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	Gaethje	SELL	150	74¢	$111	0x1da66e…
01-25 04:55:12	ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	Gaethje	BUY	150	31¢	$46	0x5363b0…