Attentive-Dance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

4.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$43

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-10

last 07-05 15:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 33% $-4

Politics

23% — —

Other

14% — —

Sports

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes		+41	$1	4¢	$2	+$1	07-05 15:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	2	$19	550	550	+0	Yes	$-3	05-11 03:26
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	06-29 03:43
fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	1	$6	15	0	+15	open	—	06-20 23:26
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	06-20 23:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	1	$1	40	0	+40	No	$-1	05-10 02:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	05-10 02:22
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$1	41	0	+41	open	—	07-05 15:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 15:14:53	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2e5f8f…
07-05 07:19:50	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0x8774eb…
06-29 03:43:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xe991b7…
06-20 23:26:26	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	Ecuador	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x0bb109…
06-20 23:25:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x46d56b…
05-11 03:26:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	550	1¢	$8	0x72fc4c…
05-11 03:24:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	550	2¢	$11	0x1af7a8…
05-10 02:22:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xca31af…
05-10 02:21:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x906cf8…