Perky-Arithmetic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$99

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-05 12:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	6	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-04 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Up	$-1	05-05 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Up	$-1	05-04 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$3	2	1	+1	Up	$-1	05-05 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$2	4	3	+1	Down	$-2	05-05 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	Up	$-2	05-04 22:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 10:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-04 10:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-2	05-04 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$1	12	0	+12	Up	$-1	05-04 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 13:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 12:35:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x273c3c…
05-05 11:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x021b6b…
05-05 11:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x47d6b5…
05-05 11:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3a60b0…
05-05 10:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x836ada…
05-05 10:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x3d7346…
05-05 10:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9b21c6…
05-05 10:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x89395b…
05-05 10:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xaf67fa…
05-05 10:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x208356…
05-05 10:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2602a8…
05-05 10:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5e7c9a…
05-05 10:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7c652a…
05-05 09:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0xdb4d32…
05-05 09:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xea897e…
05-05 09:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x14dc28…
05-05 09:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x280f75…
05-05 09:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0a4451…
05-05 09:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x54c09f…
05-05 09:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x2f4107…
05-05 09:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2a7404…
05-04 23:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2ed446…
05-04 23:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xebf55e…
05-04 23:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x9d90d1…
05-04 23:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7dea79…
05-04 22:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x2986f9…
05-04 22:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x13b218…
05-04 22:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x713707…
05-04 22:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x25fdc2…
05-04 22:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2fb3d2…
05-04 22:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7d47f5…
05-04 22:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0x89d57c…
05-04 22:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x731851…
05-04 22:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x67e0b6…
05-04 22:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc27611…
05-04 22:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x53d04d…
05-04 22:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xb97626…
05-04 22:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x14a203…
05-04 22:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x1297a9…
05-04 21:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc47ac4…
05-04 21:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x2fa2dc…
05-04 21:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd82dc0…
05-04 21:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xd47d49…
05-04 21:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe42807…
05-04 21:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa5de76…
05-04 21:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8ee8cb…
05-04 21:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x8b79d8…
05-04 21:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc4ac22…
05-04 21:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8d7b05…
05-04 21:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdd3e71…
05-04 16:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x38abcc…
05-04 16:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2682a8…
05-04 16:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xc40e4b…
05-04 16:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x723688…
05-04 13:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x845f76…
05-04 13:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x648813…
05-04 13:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xaa0957…
05-04 13:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9ebfa3…
05-04 13:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x4bfc4d…
05-04 13:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc9d217…
05-04 13:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf9db9a…
05-04 13:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8605d6…
05-04 13:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x50a058…
05-04 13:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x107ae4…
05-04 13:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x2be372…
05-04 13:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x66dfe7…
05-04 12:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x51d75d…
05-04 12:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x8dcccd…
05-04 12:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2b9613…
05-04 11:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x672013…
05-04 11:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2f85a1…
05-04 11:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xf89d0f…
05-04 11:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4c0501…
05-04 10:22:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x5d2f12…
05-04 10:20:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x38d3ac…
05-04 10:17:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x8a676e…
05-04 10:15:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x511296…
05-04 09:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa1e5b8…
05-03 23:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x459cf4…
05-03 23:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xdc5b0c…
05-03 23:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd5cc2e…
05-03 22:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd64fdb…
05-03 22:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6b56ab…