Lucky-Church — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$64

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-16 22:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

97% 16% $-17

Politics

3% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	5	$6	8	11	-3	Team Falcons	+$2	05-12 10:44
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	05-12 21:26
Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$4	362	362	+0	open	—	05-16 22:52
Counter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$3	8	8	+0	Monte	+$1	05-12 09:48
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 21:17
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$2	10	43	-33	magic	+$0	05-12 07:39
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$2	8	8	+0	open	—	05-16 22:45
Will Portugal be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$2	226	0	+226	No	$-2	05-12 10:51
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$2	24	0	+24	open	—	05-13 06:47
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$2	25	0	+25	open	—	05-13 10:19
Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$2	63	63	+0	open	—	05-16 22:43
Will Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$2	19	19	+0	open	—	05-16 22:43
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	$-2	05-12 09:31
Will Portugal be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$1	105	105	+0	No	$-1	05-12 21:21
Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$1	17	17	+0	open	—	05-16 22:44
Will Georgia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$1	175	175	+0	No	$-1	05-12 21:21
Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$1	38	38	+0	open	—	05-16 22:43
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	$-1	05-12 09:30
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	25	0	+25	open	—	05-12 09:38
Will Azerbaijan be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	140	0	+140	open	—	05-12 14:19
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	$-1	05-12 09:30
Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	40	0	+40	Yes	$-1	05-12 09:29
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	30	0	+30	open	—	05-12 09:38
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	67	0	+67	Yes	$-1	05-12 09:29
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	1	$1	4	0	+4	fnatic	$-1	05-12 08:11
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	143	0	+143	Yes	$-1	05-12 09:29
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	$-1	05-12 09:29
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$1	5	0	+5	FURIA	$-1	05-12 08:12
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	500	0	+500	Yes	$-1	05-12 09:29
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	200	0	+200	open	—	05-12 09:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 22:52:49	Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	362	0¢	$2	0x65c7fe…
05-16 22:45:05	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x731632…
05-16 22:44:05	Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xb9bc00…
05-16 22:43:57	Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	1¢	$1	0x0f1a2d…
05-16 22:43:37	Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x60c68c…
05-16 22:43:29	Will Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x4cfcf6…
05-15 07:44:08	Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	337	0¢	$1	0xda23a5…
05-14 21:31:36	Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0xab8641…
05-14 21:17:54	Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb5c311…
05-13 10:19:53	Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x190f1b…
05-13 10:19:21	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6a1056…
05-13 06:49:25	Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x785e33…
05-13 06:47:49	Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0xe85898…
05-12 21:26:53	Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc7b879…
05-12 21:21:36	Will Georgia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	175	0¢	$0	0x7bf24f…
05-12 21:21:27	Will Portugal be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0x82ae41…
05-12 14:57:58	Will Portugal be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0xe1c20a…
05-12 14:53:06	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x38e496…
05-12 14:20:42	Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x312c22…
05-12 14:19:42	Will Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x6a31ff…
05-12 14:19:02	Will Azerbaijan be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0xdafe9c…
05-12 14:17:57	Will Georgia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xc55d0f…
05-12 14:17:34	Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xdc3d03…
05-12 14:15:42	Will Switzerland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x4b3013…
05-12 10:51:46	Will Portugal be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xf10a5f…
05-12 10:48:18	Will Portugal be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	1¢	$1	0x29e2c7…
05-12 10:46:28	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x44d614…
05-12 10:44:59	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	TheMongolz	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0xcffe9d…
05-12 10:43:21	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd06dcc…
05-12 09:48:29	Counter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	The Huns Esports	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xb1845d…
05-12 09:47:07	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	TheMongolz	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xa8a3be…
05-12 09:38:51	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0a44fd…
05-12 09:38:46	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x3bbb1c…
05-12 09:38:39	Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf0032a…
05-12 09:38:36	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x97dbb1…
05-12 09:37:13	Will Georgia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	175	1¢	$1	0xcaeb48…
05-12 09:31:04	Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0xfca375…
05-12 09:30:40	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe5edd0…
05-12 09:30:36	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5484e8…
05-12 09:30:31	Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9f27b8…
05-12 09:30:26	Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x54662a…
05-12 09:30:20	Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x795d8f…
05-12 09:30:01	Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2cf134…
05-12 09:29:56	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa7a026…
05-12 09:29:40	Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x439936…
05-12 09:29:31	Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x253645…
05-12 09:29:24	Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x8f3a81…
05-12 09:29:17	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x61d349…
05-12 09:29:12	Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xb60bd4…
05-12 09:29:07	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xeb8626…
05-12 09:29:00	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x38efd4…
05-12 09:05:14	Counter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	The Huns Esports	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb7d48e…
05-12 09:03:30	LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	BNK FEARX	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbbbb63…
05-12 08:47:26	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x13fcb8…
05-12 08:44:36	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	TheMongolz	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0xb972be…
05-12 08:13:13	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd40017…
05-12 08:12:23	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Gentle Mates	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6f3c86…
05-12 08:11:56	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	HAVU	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x440465…
05-12 07:39:55	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Heroic	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0x072722…
05-12 07:33:14	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Heroic	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4bb528…