Critical-Ideal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$204

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 04-19 22:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

42% — —

Other

39% 0% $-1

Crypto

13% — —

Politics

5% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	6	$1.4K	719	719	+0	No	$-1	03-28 09:58
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$1.4K	704	704	+0	No	$-1	04-19 22:31
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$1.1K	571	571	+0	open	—	03-15 22:57
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$572	287	287	+0	open	—	04-02 21:41
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$566	283	283	+0	open	—	02-25 12:30
will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	2	$558	279	279	+0	open	—	03-27 05:36
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$538	269	269	+0	open	—	02-17 23:46
will taylor pendrith win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$526	264	264	+0	open	—	03-26 16:55
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$524	263	263	+0	open	—	03-27 18:10
will rasmus hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$512	257	257	+0	open	—	03-22 23:55
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$512	256	256	+0	open	—	04-18 03:35
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$510	256	256	+0	open	—	02-24 12:08
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$504	252	252	+0	open	—	03-28 23:09
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$502	251	251	+0	open	—	03-15 09:41
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$500	250	250	+0	open	—	02-21 21:23
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$498	249	249	+0	open	—	02-26 05:03
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$492	246	246	+0	No	$-0	04-10 13:06
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$490	246	246	+0	open	—	04-12 04:17
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$484	243	243	+0	open	—	03-02 06:09
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$480	240	240	+0	open	—	03-17 08:04
Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$478	239	239	+0	open	—	02-27 22:16
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	2	$448	224	224	+0	open	—	03-16 18:47
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$442	221	221	+0	open	—	02-14 10:43
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$438	219	219	+0	open	—	03-03 22:21
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$436	219	219	+0	open	—	03-14 20:21
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$432	216	216	+0	open	—	03-22 17:35
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$418	210	210	+0	open	—	04-06 14:24
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$410	205	205	+0	open	—	04-06 08:06
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$408	205	205	+0	open	—	03-21 06:40
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$394	197	197	+0	open	—	02-11 21:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-19 22:31:32	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	277	100¢	$276	0xfac4f7…
04-19 17:18:44	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	277	100¢	$276	0x22b698…
04-18 03:35:38	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	256	100¢	$256	0xd7b78c…
04-17 23:08:02	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	256	100¢	$256	0x66d386…
04-17 20:10:48	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	197	100¢	$197	0x8e3d8d…
04-17 14:39:02	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0x339fb7…
04-16 06:02:48	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0x247032…
04-16 01:24:04	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x137760…
04-12 04:17:23	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	246	100¢	$245	0x723cff…
04-12 02:38:29	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	246	100¢	$245	0x4d821d…
04-10 13:06:25	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	246	100¢	$246	0x5b4913…
04-10 09:29:23	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0xb23670…
04-06 14:24:27	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$209	0x0c18c1…
04-06 10:59:59	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0xa06d53…
04-06 08:06:33	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0x27ae67…
04-06 04:50:53	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0x382732…
04-02 21:41:07	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	287	100¢	$286	0x4bc544…
04-02 17:24:09	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	287	100¢	$286	0xa0adfc…
04-01 03:29:21	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	156	100¢	$155	0xce0b51…
03-31 23:26:29	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$155	0x994dac…
03-31 12:30:55	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x12a1f4…
03-31 08:16:25	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$179	0xcb469d…
03-31 05:03:15	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0x99736b…
03-30 18:04:29	will solana reach 110 in march 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x62530f…
03-28 23:09:44	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	252	100¢	$252	0x3ddc86…
03-28 13:54:07	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	252	100¢	$252	0xf9224e…
03-28 09:58:37	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	218	100¢	$217	0xfe0940…
03-27 23:46:05	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	218	100¢	$217	0x0b9012…
03-27 18:10:39	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	263	100¢	$262	0x2b2d31…
03-27 11:55:57	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	263	100¢	$262	0x64d3c4…
03-27 05:36:09	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	SELL	279	100¢	$279	0x88f1a0…
03-26 23:16:13	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	279	100¢	$279	0x807b06…
03-26 16:55:53	will taylor pendrith win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	264	100¢	$263	0xf35cf0…
03-26 10:38:57	will taylor pendrith win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	264	100¢	$263	0xd8f646…
03-24 20:21:09	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	267	100¢	$266	0xfd260a…
03-24 13:54:31	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	267	100¢	$266	0x907d8b…
03-22 23:55:01	will rasmus hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	257	100¢	$256	0xb70f80…
03-22 17:36:05	will rasmus hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	257	100¢	$256	0x81a867…
03-22 17:35:49	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	216	100¢	$216	0xbbbe74…
03-22 11:19:11	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0xb2ae86…
03-22 05:03:59	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	234	100¢	$234	0x781216…
03-21 22:24:13	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0x65d456…
03-21 06:40:17	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	205	100¢	$204	0xa69b0c…
03-20 23:55:59	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	205	100¢	$204	0x3d350d…
03-17 08:04:51	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	240	100¢	$240	0x7e384f…
03-17 01:24:35	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x20132d…
03-16 18:47:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	224	100¢	$224	0x2aaaf8…
03-16 12:07:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$224	0xbec856…
03-15 22:57:41	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	287	100¢	$287	0x8f99fa…
03-15 16:11:17	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	287	100¢	$287	0xa3b94f…
03-15 09:41:29	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	251	100¢	$251	0x926176…
03-15 03:02:45	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$251	0x340a47…
03-14 20:21:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	219	100¢	$218	0x667df7…
03-14 13:45:29	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	219	100¢	$218	0x73e37e…
03-14 00:27:49	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	283	100¢	$283	0xef33e1…
03-13 17:49:17	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	283	100¢	$283	0x8ecf74…
03-12 23:26:51	nba den sas 2026 03 12	Nuggets	BUY	33	37¢	$12	0x2f8e95…
03-12 23:26:25	nba dal mem 2026 03 12	Mavericks	BUY	36	67¢	$24	0xe602f7…
03-12 23:25:53	nba bos okc 2026 03 12	Thunder	BUY	29	73¢	$21	0x29b42e…
03-10 19:38:47	nba bos sas 2026 03 10	Celtics	BUY	37	42¢	$15	0xc1736a…
03-10 19:38:25	nba cha por 2026 03 10	Hornets	BUY	44	59¢	$26	0x64c8a6…
03-10 19:37:53	nba dal atl 2026 03 10	Mavericks	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0xb4c903…
03-08 20:58:01	will bitcoin dip to 61500 on march 8	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xa11ff3…
03-03 22:23:13	nba dal cha 2026 03 03	Mavericks	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x242d58…
03-03 22:22:23	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Grizzlies	BUY	52	13¢	$7	0x533023…
03-03 22:21:59	Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	219	100¢	$219	0x50d826…
03-03 07:11:15	Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0xe3233d…
03-02 06:09:17	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	243	100¢	$242	0x86da70…
03-01 15:52:15	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	243	100¢	$242	0x9b37a1…
03-01 03:56:27	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	191	99¢	$190	0x774dad…
02-28 17:56:19	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	191	100¢	$190	0x92a8ed…
02-27 22:16:11	Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	239	100¢	$239	0x0bfc68…
02-27 20:09:59	Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0xe948b5…
02-26 05:03:48	Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	249	100¢	$249	0xb7fbc3…
02-25 12:50:20	Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xad890d…
02-25 12:30:24	Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$249	0xed5fa4…
02-25 12:30:06	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	283	100¢	$283	0x5131f8…
02-25 00:17:40	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	283	100¢	$283	0xe4a294…
02-24 12:08:34	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	256	100¢	$255	0x66bee9…
02-23 17:35:12	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	256	100¢	$255	0xa1e33c…
02-22 22:00:34	ethereum above 2300 on february 23	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x52c179…
02-21 21:23:04	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x21d032…
02-21 05:26:42	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x4b1733…
02-20 23:36:56	nba ind was 2026 02 20	Wizards	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xa1bd84…
02-17 23:46:51	Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	269	100¢	$269	0xb6c3ed…
02-15 03:18:21	Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	269	100¢	$269	0x1339c8…
02-14 10:43:13	Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	221	100¢	$221	0xd07b74…
02-13 18:35:41	Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	221	100¢	$221	0x8ca6b8…
02-13 18:35:23	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0x8f7b72…
02-13 06:49:33	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0xa13805…
02-11 21:06:59	Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	197	100¢	$197	0x8f1f3f…
02-11 13:14:53	Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0x6a876d…