Bleak-Fallingout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$127

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-23 02:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

45% 100% +$1

Politics

39% 0% $-42

Crypto

13% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	2	$850	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-15 10:56
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	2	$830	790	790	+0	open	—	06-19 15:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	4	$638	800	800	+0	open	—	05-02 15:37
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$420	500	0	+500	open	—	05-21 15:08
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	1	$403	790	0	+790	open	—	06-19 15:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	05-15 10:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$295	300	0	+300	open	—	04-27 16:06
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	1	$292	400	0	+400	open	—	05-03 08:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	5	$238	221	221	+0	open	—	05-24 03:08
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$180	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-26 17:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$166	200	0	+200	open	—	05-10 16:36
ng up or down on june 10 2026	7	$110	122	122	+0	open	—	06-10 12:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	1	$106	200	0	+200	open	—	05-10 15:56
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	2	$87	100	100	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 02:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$69	300	0	+300	open	—	05-11 14:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$42	200	0	+200	No	$-42	05-03 22:22
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$40	50	0	+50	open	—	05-15 10:45
fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 goals riyad mahrez gte1	1	$34	100	0	+100	open	—	06-23 02:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 02:10:13	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 goals riyad mahrez gte1	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xbb6bc2…
06-19 15:29:50	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	790	51¢	$403	0xf4ea81…
06-19 15:28:28	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	SELL	790	52¢	$411	0x1ce573…
06-19 15:23:56	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	790	53¢	$419	0xc5a0cc…
06-10 12:03:24	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Down	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x2db33f…
06-10 11:30:13	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Down	SELL	37	12¢	$4	0x11bfe2…
06-10 11:28:51	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	SELL	22	85¢	$19	0xe424b8…
06-10 10:35:34	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xbc341d…
06-10 09:57:36	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	22	57¢	$13	0x27df81…
06-10 09:45:28	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0xc0ce2c…
06-10 09:20:21	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x61b20d…
05-24 03:08:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0x7a0cc8…
05-24 03:07:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xfb520d…
05-24 02:56:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	161	53¢	$85	0xedd772…
05-24 02:52:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	39	53¢	$21	0xd35d98…
05-24 02:40:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x551147…
05-21 15:08:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xd8bd6b…
05-21 15:06:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	300	84¢	$252	0x2b1e9f…
05-15 10:51:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xe847ab…
05-15 10:45:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x0ca2dd…
05-11 14:40:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	23¢	$69	0x46d612…
05-10 16:36:17	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xd18401…
05-10 15:56:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x1dad49…
05-04 02:11:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x37c702…
05-04 01:30:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xb183be…
05-03 22:22:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	174	21¢	$37	0x7adaa7…
05-03 22:22:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0x9be64a…
05-03 22:22:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x1aa3a6…
05-03 08:31:18	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	LNG Esports	BUY	400	73¢	$292	0xe28da7…
05-02 15:37:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x567263…
05-02 12:28:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x80991a…
05-02 12:26:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	No	SELL	600	19¢	$114	0x4f0ad3…
05-02 12:24:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	600	27¢	$162	0x789a78…
04-27 16:06:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$295	0x2df50c…
04-26 17:28:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	964	9¢	$87	0x0167e2…
04-26 17:26:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x214429…
04-26 17:22:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	940	9¢	$85	0x910071…
04-26 17:20:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	95	9¢	$9	0x47ce8a…
04-15 10:56:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	SELL	1,000	43¢	$430	0x800515…
04-15 10:46:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	BUY	1,000	42¢	$420	0x92ba63…