Esteemed-Invite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$144

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.5%

Resolved

Trades

101

lifetime

Volume

$599

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-09 20:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 35% $-144

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	5	$45	382	0	+382	Up	$-45	05-09 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	4	$40	134	0	+134	Down	$-40	05-09 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$30	85	0	+85	Down	+$29	05-08 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	3	$30	64	0	+64	Down	$-30	05-09 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	6	$26	96	0	+96	Down	$-26	05-08 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	5	$25	53	0	+53	Down	$-10	05-08 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$22	51	0	+51	Up	$-22	05-08 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$20	39	0	+39	Down	$-20	05-09 00:26
btc updown 5m 1776882600	4	$20	62	0	+62	open	—	04-22 18:34
btc updown 5m 1776883200	4	$20	72	0	+72	open	—	04-22 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	4	$20	55	0	+55	Down	$-20	05-08 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$19	52	0	+52	Down	+$33	05-09 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$19	55	0	+55	Down	$-19	05-08 17:42
btc updown 5m 1776881700	4	$18	36	0	+36	open	—	04-22 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$16	23	15	+8	Up	+$4	05-08 19:54
btc updown 5m 1776784500	2	$15	41	0	+41	open	—	04-21 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$15	85	0	+85	Up	$-15	05-08 21:03
btc updown 5m 1776783900	3	$15	48	0	+48	open	—	04-21 15:09
btc updown 5m 1776883500	2	$15	52	0	+52	open	—	04-22 18:46
btc updown 5m 1776785100	2	$14	36	0	+36	open	—	04-21 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$10	32	0	+32	Down	+$22	05-09 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$10	53	0	+53	Down	$-10	05-09 20:19
btc updown 5m 1776882900	2	$10	523	0	+523	open	—	04-22 18:39
btc updown 5m 1776882300	2	$10	536	0	+536	open	—	04-22 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$10	23	0	+23	Down	+$13	05-08 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$10	27	0	+27	Down	+$17	05-08 23:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$4	05-09 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	Down	+$6	05-09 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$8	16	0	+16	Down	$-8	05-09 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$7	13	13	+0	open	—	04-30 11:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 20:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xbee8f0…
05-09 20:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xcb318e…
05-09 01:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x176023…
05-09 01:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	237	2¢	$5	0x172f44…
05-09 01:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x8243e1…
05-09 01:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd9dfe0…
05-09 01:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x25a213…
05-09 01:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xefc3ae…
05-09 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x58ea09…
05-09 01:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x523975…
05-09 01:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb4e5e6…
05-09 01:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xf1c7d4…
05-09 01:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xb45dfb…
05-09 01:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xa4dd7e…
05-09 01:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xa7ebe8…
05-09 01:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x3a1cbe…
05-09 00:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x9f7efe…
05-09 00:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x97c767…
05-09 00:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x4b4fc7…
05-09 00:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x34be38…
05-09 00:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc4a331…
05-09 00:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x141612…
05-09 00:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x56037d…
05-08 23:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x5bc6b6…
05-08 23:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x433bea…
05-08 23:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x861495…
05-08 23:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xe5f03e…
05-08 23:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x72852e…
05-08 23:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb8efcf…
05-08 23:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x2dd211…
05-08 23:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x7d5a14…
05-08 23:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6b3b78…
05-08 23:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x81be9d…
05-08 23:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb19da1…
05-08 23:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xab8f41…
05-08 23:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x94a9e6…
05-08 23:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb2f767…
05-08 21:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x7836c5…
05-08 21:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc3f694…
05-08 21:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x380270…
05-08 21:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x937db4…
05-08 21:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd9522f…
05-08 20:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xd7947f…
05-08 20:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xc73715…
05-08 20:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x0d9984…
05-08 20:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd913a1…
05-08 20:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x6f8ba7…
05-08 20:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xc6e415…
05-08 20:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x09e7a7…
05-08 20:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x13ea5a…
05-08 19:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd712b4…
05-08 19:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x94aad9…
05-08 19:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0xae662b…
05-08 19:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x6bd1b7…
05-08 19:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0xb23d62…
05-08 19:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x344687…
05-08 19:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x6f1103…
05-08 19:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xa55228…
05-08 17:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	33¢	$10	0x78be19…
05-08 17:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x6fd1fe…
05-08 17:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xff12f1…
05-08 17:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xcb3af3…
04-30 13:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x022ccd…
04-30 13:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x498065…
04-30 12:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd096bd…
04-30 12:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x68a0bc…
04-30 12:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x30141c…
04-30 11:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x398363…
04-30 11:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x83bbd7…
04-30 11:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x0ac557…
04-30 11:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb4c827…
04-30 11:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x800c56…
04-22 18:46:52	btc updown 5m 1776883500	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x35fe09…
04-22 18:46:30	btc updown 5m 1776883500	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x581bee…
04-22 18:43:04	btc updown 5m 1776883200	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x18be09…
04-22 18:42:36	btc updown 5m 1776883200	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x65a344…
04-22 18:42:10	btc updown 5m 1776883200	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x24b8f1…
04-22 18:40:28	btc updown 5m 1776883200	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x89bfd6…
04-22 18:39:44	btc updown 5m 1776882900	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x223a0e…
04-22 18:38:30	btc updown 5m 1776882900	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x3603fa…
04-22 18:34:26	btc updown 5m 1776882600	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x36fcea…
04-22 18:33:08	btc updown 5m 1776882600	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf3c48d…
04-22 18:30:48	btc updown 5m 1776882600	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7b58ee…
04-22 18:30:30	btc updown 5m 1776882600	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb7b546…
04-22 18:29:48	btc updown 5m 1776882300	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd54551…
04-22 18:27:34	btc updown 5m 1776882300	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa4bf89…
04-22 18:17:16	btc updown 5m 1776881700	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb6e64a…
04-22 18:16:56	btc updown 5m 1776881700	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x21fb2b…
04-22 18:16:42	btc updown 5m 1776881700	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb5f8aa…
04-22 18:16:00	btc updown 5m 1776881700	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5820df…
04-21 15:40:48	btc updown 5m 1776786000	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xad34bc…
04-21 15:33:36	btc updown 5m 1776785400	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x3805d4…
04-21 15:33:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x4ec8fa…
04-21 15:26:10	btc updown 5m 1776785100	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xc1844f…
04-21 15:25:56	btc updown 5m 1776785100	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xb168f7…
04-21 15:17:02	btc updown 5m 1776784500	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xad6417…
04-21 15:16:14	btc updown 5m 1776784500	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xf53cc3…
04-21 15:09:08	btc updown 5m 1776783900	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xa2655e…
04-21 15:06:52	btc updown 5m 1776783900	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xb851df…
04-21 15:06:40	btc updown 5m 1776783900	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x308b51…