Villainous-Pug 0x86dd52…d41af2
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
37.7%
Resolved
12
Trades
27,818
lifetime
Volume
$127.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$244
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-12 00:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
65% 50% $-1
Other
27% 25% $-18
Crypto
4% — —
Tech
3% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1036 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -20 $-19 86¢ $-17 +$2 06-11 17:33
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +17 $13 73¢ $13 $-0 06-05 11:37
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +13 $12 86¢ $12 $-0 06-04 04:48
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -12 $-11 82¢ $-10 +$1 06-02 08:30
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No -10 $-9 95¢ $-9 +$0 06-01 00:00
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -10 $-9 95¢ $-9 $-0 06-06 08:55
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -12 $-9 79¢ $-9 $-1 06-05 17:47
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 06-05 16:21
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +39 $15 23¢ $9 $-6 06-11 18:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 $-10 44¢ $-9 +$1 06-04 20:40
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No -12 $-9 72¢ $-9 $-0 06-06 22:33
WHOOP IPO before 2027? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 06-11 16:49
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -17 $-7 49¢ $-8 $-2 06-04 13:34
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -18 $-8 44¢ $-8 +$0 06-10 19:34
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-6 84¢ $-8 $-2 05-28 00:58
SHEIN IPO before 2027? No -10 $-11 79¢ $-8 +$3 06-08 23:08
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +10 $8 74¢ $7 $-0 06-10 02:51
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? No +8 $6 92¢ $7 +$1 06-10 06:04
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +11 $6 65¢ $7 +$1 06-11 18:58
Discord IPO before 2027? No -19 $-9 35¢ $-7 +$2 06-08 08:42
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -10 $-7 66¢ $-7 +$1 05-30 01:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $6 58¢ $6 +$0 06-05 05:59
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No +20 $4 32¢ $6 +$2 06-11 22:14
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -9 $2 68¢ $-6 $-8 05-30 22:28
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -18 $-5 32¢ $-6 $-1 06-08 08:24
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +10 $5 59¢ $6 +$1 06-11 19:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes -9 $-3 64¢ $-6 $-3 06-09 17:42
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -10 $-6 56¢ $-6 +$0 05-31 22:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +5 $2 96¢ $5 +$3 06-11 12:26
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +7 $5 68¢ $5 $-0 06-11 04:32