Villainous-Pug 0x86dd52…d41af2
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
-$25
Hit rate
37.7%
Resolved
12
Trades
32,389
lifetime
Volume
$144.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$256
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 07-23 06:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
63% 50% $-1
Other
28% 25% $-18
Crypto
4% — —
Tech
4% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 699 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -20 $-15 99¢ $-19 $-4 07-01 22:17
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -23 $-18 78¢ $-18 $-0 07-03 12:05
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -14 $-11 99¢ $-14 $-3 07-01 12:06
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -20 $-12 62¢ $-12 $-1 06-25 23:17
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -17 $-7 72¢ $-12 $-5 06-04 13:34
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 07-04 10:02
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No -12 $-9 86¢ $-10 $-1 07-02 17:03
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -13 $-9 80¢ $-10 $-1 07-04 10:06
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No -10 $-9 98¢ $-10 $-0 06-01 00:00
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -10 $-9 97¢ $-10 $-0 06-06 08:55
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-6 90¢ $-9 $-2 05-28 00:58
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -9 $2 97¢ $-9 $-10 05-30 22:28
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -12 $-9 64¢ $-8 +$1 07-20 21:25
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +9 $4 88¢ $8 +$4 06-30 14:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -10 $-8 78¢ $-8 +$0 07-09 09:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -13 $-4 56¢ $-7 $-3 07-09 08:23
Databricks IPO before 2027? No -8 $-6 90¢ $-7 $-1 07-12 22:10
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -16 $-13 42¢ $-7 +$7 07-10 12:30
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? No -25 $-7 26¢ $-7 +$0 06-25 20:05
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -10 $-4 66¢ $-7 $-2 07-14 16:22
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -18 $-5 33¢ $-6 $-1 06-08 08:24
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No -18 $-4 34¢ $-6 $-2 06-14 23:43
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes -10 $1 60¢ $-6 $-7 06-01 13:26
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -9 $-4 64¢ $-6 $-2 06-12 18:51
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes -15 $-8 38¢ $-6 +$2 06-18 09:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10 $4 50¢ $5 +$1 07-21 15:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 $-0 07-22 18:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5 $-1 99¢ $5 +$6 06-25 12:31
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No -5 $-5 90¢ $-5 +$0 07-21 17:00
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -20 $-5 22¢ $-4 +$0 07-04 10:07