Villainous-Pug 0x86dd52…d41af2
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
37.7%
Resolved
12
Trades
29,836
lifetime
Volume
$134.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$234
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 07-02 06:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
64% 50% $-1
Other
28% 25% $-18
Crypto
4% — —
Tech
4% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 699 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -20 $-15 82¢ $-16 $-1 07-01 22:17
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +20 $15 66¢ $13 $-2 06-25 19:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -20 $-11 63¢ $-13 $-2 07-01 20:23
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -14 $-11 86¢ $-12 $-1 07-01 12:06
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -20 $-12 58¢ $-12 +$0 06-25 23:17
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -10 $-9 96¢ $-10 $-0 06-06 08:55
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No -10 $-9 95¢ $-10 $-0 06-01 00:00
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -12 $-11 76¢ $-9 +$2 06-15 20:27
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -17 $-7 54¢ $-9 $-2 06-04 13:34
WHOOP IPO before 2027? No -10 $-8 88¢ $-9 $-1 06-18 19:02
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$0 06-13 08:13
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-6 90¢ $-9 $-2 05-28 00:58
SHEIN IPO before 2027? No +10 $5 76¢ $8 +$3 06-29 12:42
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No -12 $-9 62¢ $-7 +$1 06-06 22:33
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -18 $-5 40¢ $-7 $-3 06-08 08:24
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? No -25 $-7 28¢ $-7 +$0 06-25 20:05
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +9 $4 72¢ $7 +$3 06-30 14:55
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes -15 $-8 43¢ $-6 +$1 06-18 09:37
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -9 $2 69¢ $-6 $-8 05-30 22:28
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -11 $-4 54¢ $-6 $-2 06-15 21:21
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +10 $6 57¢ $6 $-0 06-29 13:18
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +8 $5 71¢ $6 +$0 07-02 08:04
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +8 $5 72¢ $5 $-0 06-25 22:59
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -9 $-4 58¢ $-5 $-1 06-12 18:51
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -9 $-3 55¢ $-5 $-2 06-03 20:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes -20 $-7 24¢ $-5 +$2 06-29 19:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 76¢ $-5 +$0 06-29 11:22
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 +$0 07-01 18:20
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +5 $4 92¢ $4 +$1 06-18 06:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-5 42¢ $-4 +$1 06-28 08:39