Robust-Collision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.7%

Resolved

302

Trades

434

lifetime

Volume

$771

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-06 13:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% $-16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 270 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$6	7	2	+5	Up	$-2	05-06 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 04:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 09:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 07:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 13:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xaf4115…
05-06 13:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xb0eef2…
05-06 13:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x41b051…
05-06 13:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x742203…
05-06 13:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x2348ec…
05-06 13:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x08bd0e…
05-06 13:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x89b778…
05-06 13:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xed5bae…
05-06 13:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x0b2281…
05-06 13:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x4c328c…
05-06 13:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xccf6db…
05-06 12:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x7cd036…
05-06 12:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x3b6955…
05-06 12:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x983b60…
05-06 12:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd72aaa…
05-06 12:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xffa963…
05-06 12:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xf3afc0…
05-06 12:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x9c59ee…
05-06 12:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x4b86d7…
05-06 12:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x2c1ab5…
05-06 12:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xdf96d6…
05-06 12:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x3d919a…
05-06 12:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x71e442…
05-06 12:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x0d77f9…
05-06 12:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x317517…
05-06 12:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x84e9b5…
05-06 12:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xb89984…
05-06 12:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x0fa44c…
05-06 12:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x495298…
05-06 12:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x230844…
05-06 12:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x0a41a7…
05-06 12:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xc56e9f…
05-06 12:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xd9c1de…
05-06 12:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xe53d39…
05-06 12:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xf03107…
05-06 12:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x7d2f7d…
05-06 11:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x08a47f…
05-06 11:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x80b69c…
05-06 11:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x6c6ee2…
05-06 11:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xe2096a…
05-06 11:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xcdcfa4…
05-06 11:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xfbea14…
05-06 11:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xbe4f3d…
05-06 11:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x2f0cc1…
05-06 11:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xe1ee17…
05-06 11:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd5a539…
05-06 11:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x94943a…
05-06 11:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x07c312…
05-06 11:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x9dccf3…
05-06 11:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x786cb3…
05-06 11:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x3bd5f9…
05-06 11:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x4d7500…
05-06 11:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x9a0282…
05-06 11:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x917e34…
05-06 11:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xbd66f8…
05-06 11:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x098379…
05-06 11:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x382dcd…
05-06 11:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xb29998…
05-06 11:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x673388…
05-06 10:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x652601…
05-06 10:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc90c54…
05-06 10:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x8dfc99…
05-06 10:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x4048da…
05-06 10:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x119f22…
05-06 10:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd0e682…
05-06 10:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x388754…
05-06 10:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xea7a19…
05-06 10:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x355cc5…
05-06 10:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0x62c2c9…
05-06 10:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xd29ef5…
05-06 10:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xdc6742…
05-06 10:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x58fc58…
05-06 10:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xa17e57…
05-06 10:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xba0b87…
05-06 10:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x6271d6…
05-06 10:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x2e0c3a…
05-06 10:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x7f92ea…
05-06 10:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x8f6ea3…
05-06 10:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x2627ce…
05-06 10:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x89ed21…
05-06 10:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x4b076f…
05-06 10:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x102369…
05-06 10:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5ba8b3…
05-06 09:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x9b94bd…
05-06 09:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x0e2cfa…
05-06 09:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x07888f…
05-06 09:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x80d33f…
05-06 09:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xd80ffc…
05-06 09:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x58b6ed…
05-06 09:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xc7ce36…
05-06 09:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9e5a31…
05-06 09:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb820be…
05-06 09:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x67774c…
05-06 09:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8f62c5…
05-06 09:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xcedc08…
05-06 09:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x01aac7…
05-06 09:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x2f1450…
05-06 09:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0xe4d996…
05-06 09:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xe7465d…
05-06 09:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xb55756…