Mean-Historian — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$358

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.4%

Resolved

219

Trades

999

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-27 11:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 81% +$358

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 634 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	5	$334	406	159	+247	Down	$-166	05-07 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	14	$310	337	0	+337	Up	+$27	05-07 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	13	$305	315	0	+315	Down	+$9	05-07 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	6	$300	348	0	+348	open	—	05-27 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	21	$280	324	0	+324	Up	+$44	05-07 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	13	$265	278	0	+278	Down	+$13	05-07 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	11	$240	268	0	+268	Down	$-240	05-07 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	9	$225	255	0	+255	Up	+$30	05-07 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	10	$225	260	0	+260	Up	+$35	05-07 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	9	$225	241	0	+241	Up	+$16	05-07 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	9	$225	232	0	+232	Up	+$7	05-07 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	14	$210	228	0	+228	Down	+$18	05-07 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	8	$200	221	0	+221	Up	+$21	05-07 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	12	$200	223	0	+223	Down	+$23	05-07 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	9	$190	201	0	+201	Up	+$11	05-07 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	9	$183	204	0	+204	Up	+$21	05-07 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	6	$180	188	0	+188	Up	+$8	05-07 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	7	$179	181	0	+181	Up	+$2	05-07 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	13	$165	191	0	+191	Up	+$26	05-07 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	7	$155	196	0	+196	Down	+$41	05-07 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	3	$150	191	0	+191	Down	+$41	05-07 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	9	$145	193	0	+193	Down	+$48	05-07 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	13	$145	158	0	+158	Up	+$13	05-07 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	7	$135	154	0	+154	Down	+$19	05-07 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	7	$135	147	0	+147	Down	+$12	05-07 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	5	$125	164	0	+164	Down	+$39	05-07 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	5	$125	167	0	+167	Up	$-41	05-11 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	5	$125	135	0	+135	Down	+$10	05-08 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	5	$125	126	0	+126	Down	+$1	05-12 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	17	$125	141	0	+141	Up	+$16	05-07 14:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 11:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x114ad7…
05-27 11:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xb03c5b…
05-27 11:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x903ac4…
05-27 11:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x17867e…
05-27 11:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x9481ee…
05-27 11:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x82ddda…
05-27 10:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe2e678…
05-27 10:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb3f83d…
05-27 10:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8723d4…
05-27 10:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x5b3e58…
05-13 07:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xd2090d…
05-13 07:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x84b7bb…
05-13 07:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x5a1f39…
05-13 07:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x51047f…
05-13 07:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x22882a…
05-13 07:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	118	21¢	$25	0x1c89ab…
05-13 07:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	39	65¢	$25	0x63fef7…
05-13 07:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xda2257…
05-13 07:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x06c7ca…
05-13 07:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x2ac0d7…
05-13 07:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe2786f…
05-13 07:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xda5a36…
05-13 07:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xaeef17…
05-13 07:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x882a93…
05-13 07:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xbeb191…
05-13 07:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x576a34…
05-13 07:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xa51965…
05-13 07:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x32f28d…
05-13 07:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0aafbe…
05-13 07:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x2ef009…
05-13 07:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x6f11cd…
05-13 07:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x60ec81…
05-12 13:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x3d27bf…
05-12 13:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x5b9e6b…
05-12 12:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x13fc34…
05-12 12:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x91d5ef…
05-12 12:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x8b812c…
05-12 12:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5e049e…
05-12 12:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x503f37…
05-12 12:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7b2da4…
05-12 12:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x43c302…
05-12 12:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x0865f3…
05-12 12:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x3984c9…
05-12 12:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x03972f…
05-12 12:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x35b1b2…
05-12 12:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x8d882d…
05-12 12:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x7bf2be…
05-12 12:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xc721d6…
05-12 12:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x4a4993…
05-12 12:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x0cff48…
05-12 12:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x9b7958…
05-12 11:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x8d8645…
05-12 11:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xe07452…
05-12 10:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xad44a1…
05-12 10:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x88eada…
05-12 10:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xa04356…
05-12 09:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xfec690…
05-12 09:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xfd80a2…
05-12 09:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xf3a713…
05-12 09:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x90f081…
05-12 09:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x17ddce…
05-12 09:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x265a8f…
05-12 09:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x7bd0a0…
05-12 09:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc3e51b…
05-12 09:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x930706…
05-12 09:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x32ce5a…
05-12 09:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x927d9f…
05-12 09:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xffddeb…
05-12 09:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8a5cb3…
05-12 09:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe6176d…
05-12 09:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x501222…
05-12 09:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x005b31…
05-12 09:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf5f24b…
05-12 09:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xcda4d6…
05-12 09:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4a8b57…
05-12 09:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x712af1…
05-12 09:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x02eca7…
05-12 09:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x80df89…
05-12 09:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xe1ae0d…
05-12 08:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x95a475…
05-12 08:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xaffa99…
05-12 08:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x1c9183…
05-12 08:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x0611f0…
05-12 08:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa117af…
05-12 08:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x21fd73…
05-12 08:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x04c91c…
05-12 08:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xb9e730…
05-12 08:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x2aae9a…
05-11 15:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xaafb87…
05-11 15:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x24cd42…
05-11 15:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x18aa51…
05-11 15:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x8e9539…
05-11 15:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x532bee…
05-11 14:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa746b1…
05-11 14:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xefb752…
05-11 14:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe9a4cb…
05-11 14:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4edebc…
05-11 14:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6a04d2…
05-11 14:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x02e57a…
05-11 14:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xaba2d0…