Merry-Discipline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

184

lifetime

Volume

$8.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 07-14 23:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 50% $-0

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$420	433	0	+433	open	—	04-28 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$400	476	0	+476	open	—	04-28 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$400	408	0	+408	open	—	04-28 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$399	422	0	+422	open	—	04-28 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$380	396	0	+396	open	—	04-28 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$360	402	0	+402	open	—	04-28 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$350	370	0	+370	open	—	04-27 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$350	382	0	+382	open	—	04-28 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$335	349	0	+349	open	—	04-26 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$330	403	0	+403	open	—	04-27 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$319	336	0	+336	open	—	04-26 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$300	350	0	+350	open	—	04-29 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$300	312	0	+312	open	—	04-29 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	17	$218	606	0	+606	open	—	04-29 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$201	314	314	+0	open	—	04-29 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	open	—	04-29 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$180	419	0	+419	open	—	04-29 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$180	199	0	+199	open	—	04-29 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$120	131	0	+131	open	—	05-03 07:43
btc updown 5m 1772899800	2	$118	77	76	+1	open	—	03-07 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$113	125	0	+125	open	—	04-29 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$100	263	0	+263	open	—	04-26 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$100	164	0	+164	open	—	04-28 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	04-24 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	05-01 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$100	122	0	+122	open	—	04-28 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$100	120	0	+120	open	—	05-03 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$100	112	0	+112	open	—	04-28 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	05-01 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$100	110	0	+110	open	—	05-01 09:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 23:31:32	btc updown 5m 1784071800	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9a6de2…
07-14 23:21:22	btc updown 5m 1784071200	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xc64121…
07-14 23:12:38	btc updown 5m 1784070600	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc3fcd2…
07-14 22:44:25	btc updown 15m 1784068200	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x1a155d…
07-14 22:43:29	btc updown 15m 1784068200	Down	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xfe6d88…
07-14 22:33:14	btc updown 15m 1784068200	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0xcf5304…
07-14 22:29:44	btc updown 5m 1784067900	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe7f31a…
07-14 22:09:55	btc updown 5m 1784066700	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6b9b66…
07-14 21:58:22	btc updown 5m 1784066100	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x7b1c88…
07-14 21:47:34	btc updown 5m 1784065500	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x0217e7…
07-14 21:44:49	btc updown 5m 1784065200	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xcba621…
07-14 21:31:14	btc updown 5m 1784064600	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x27b19c…
07-14 21:29:19	btc updown 5m 1784064300	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x10774c…
07-14 21:28:41	btc updown 5m 1784064300	Down	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x5b33cb…
07-14 21:25:59	btc updown 5m 1784064300	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe4ad1b…
07-14 21:19:43	btc updown 5m 1784063700	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x613491…
07-14 20:19:46	btc updown 5m 1784060100	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x8f77cd…
07-14 20:14:05	btc updown 5m 1784059800	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x0ab0da…
07-14 20:00:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	SELL	42	20¢	$8	0xd25755…
07-14 19:05:47	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	42	27¢	$11	0x13d0d2…
07-14 17:49:13	btc updown 5m 1784051100	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x45ec68…
07-14 06:13:38	btc updown 5m 1784009400	Up	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0xff54ff…
07-14 06:06:47	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x7109b3…
07-14 05:57:41	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	31	92¢	$28	0x2d763f…
07-14 05:57:14	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x301ac8…
07-14 00:19:37	btc updown 5m 1783988100	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x7a3e28…
07-13 23:44:11	btc updown 5m 1783986000	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x9bae18…
07-13 23:39:50	btc updown 5m 1783985700	Down	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xbb1e23…
07-12 14:19:07	eth updown 5m 1783865700	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xfbd3a8…
07-12 14:14:34	eth updown 5m 1783865400	Down	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0xeebcdf…
07-12 12:48:32	eth updown 5m 1783860300	Up	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x5bf908…
07-12 12:39:59	eth updown 5m 1783859700	Down	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xafa05f…
07-12 12:28:41	btc updown 5m 1783859100	Up	BUY	34	87¢	$29	0xc529fe…
07-12 12:09:41	btc updown 5m 1783857900	Up	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x8bd044…
07-11 21:28:35	btc updown 5m 1783805100	Down	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xe5c331…
07-11 17:08:02	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xa8a204…
07-11 17:03:46	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x5ec821…
07-04 21:47:14	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	110	26¢	$29	0x9e8c43…
07-03 23:03:53	btc updown 5m 1783119600	Up	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x76aa80…
07-03 22:59:31	btc updown 5m 1783119300	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x516a8f…
07-03 22:44:37	btc updown 5m 1783118400	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x2c68a4…
05-24 02:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x687ed0…
05-23 07:13:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0x1649f9…
05-23 06:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x4c70ac…
05-19 08:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb0292b…
05-19 07:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xae1b7f…
05-09 10:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xbc7229…
05-08 10:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x36f684…
05-04 11:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$4	0x56f537…
05-04 11:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xe84859…
05-04 11:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x2451aa…
05-04 11:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x4c453d…
05-04 11:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x8e3d3e…
05-04 11:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x6f7db6…
05-04 11:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xcdfa46…
05-04 11:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xb2b24a…
05-04 11:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd78091…
05-04 11:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x4e948d…
05-04 11:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x073a40…
05-03 07:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	131	92¢	$120	0xf412d3…
05-03 07:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	120	84¢	$100	0x9d357e…
05-01 09:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xf19d07…
05-01 09:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x37082b…
05-01 09:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0xfb6edf…
05-01 02:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x007d41…
05-01 02:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x7088a6…
05-01 02:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x42af4a…
04-30 22:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x644d8d…
04-30 22:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x2b9f4a…
04-30 22:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xb9563e…
04-30 22:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x7062cf…
04-30 22:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x342c25…
04-29 20:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xf51b4d…
04-29 20:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xcd09e7…
04-29 20:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x561ee2…
04-29 20:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x03487f…
04-29 20:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x6e1f7b…
04-29 20:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x211765…
04-29 20:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	62	79¢	$49	0x92e046…
04-29 19:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xae2d43…
04-29 19:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	41	69¢	$28	0xc8923d…
04-29 19:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	28¢	$7	0x2b7120…
04-29 16:13:38	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	191	21¢	$40	0x58a06c…
04-29 11:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	125	90¢	$113	0x595a96…
04-29 11:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	136	66¢	$90	0x8f93c0…
04-29 11:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	314	32¢	$101	0x051014…
04-29 11:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	314	32¢	$100	0xf2e6c3…
04-29 06:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x76427c…
04-29 06:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xe63ff3…
04-29 06:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xabf602…
04-29 06:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x994ade…
04-29 06:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x6bfdf0…
04-29 06:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xe291a8…
04-29 06:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xcd0221…
04-29 06:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xc42c98…
04-29 06:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	186	36¢	$67	0xacd76b…
04-29 06:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	39	36¢	$14	0xa076bd…
04-29 06:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	44	36¢	$16	0x9aaf32…
04-29 06:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	36¢	$6	0x8b46bd…
04-29 06:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x6f2e3b…