Immaterial-Limitation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.0%

Resolved

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$2.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 05-18 16:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 25% $-5

Other

27% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 1pm et	10	$715	1,225	585	+640	open	—	03-23 17:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	10	$686	5,190	5,190	+0	open	—	05-07 17:15
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 11am et	4	$439	498	146	+352	open	—	03-26 15:52
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$178	135	135	+0	open	—	03-19 14:04
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 12pm et	2	$102	258	0	+258	open	—	03-26 16:54
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1pm et	7	$69	67	38	+29	open	—	03-25 17:38
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$60	4,619	0	+4,619	open	—	05-15 07:43
btc updown 5m 1773735900	4	$46	24	24	+0	open	—	03-17 08:31
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$42	50	0	+50	Thunder	+$8	05-08 03:26
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 11am et	2	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	03-24 16:21
btc updown 5m 1774285200	2	$30	20	19	+0	open	—	03-23 17:05
btc updown 5m 1774100700	2	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	03-21 13:49
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$16	417	417	+0	open	—	03-17 07:55
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 1pm et	1	$15	33	0	+33	open	—	03-24 17:02
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 12pm et	3	$13	145	0	+145	open	—	03-24 16:51
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$11	55	0	+55	open	—	03-18 17:21
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 3am et	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-24 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	+$9	05-12 16:35
btc updown 5m 1774459800	4	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	03-25 17:33
btc updown 5m 1773738900	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	03-17 09:19
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$6	50	0	+50	open	—	03-20 18:29
btc updown 5m 1773681900	1	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	03-16 17:26
btc updown 5m 1774285500	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	03-23 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-12 16:41
btc updown 5m 1774538100	1	$5	23	0	+23	open	—	03-26 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-12 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$4	30	0	+30	Down	$-4	05-08 17:22
btc updown 5m 1774337400	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-24 07:36
btc updown 5m 1773682200	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	03-16 17:34
btc updown 5m 1773681600	3	$4	10	6	+4	open	—	03-16 17:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 16:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x87a6ea…
05-15 07:43:16	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,200	0¢	$4	0x387e14…
05-15 07:28:21	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	819	2¢	$17	0x5d0710…
05-15 07:24:01	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,600	2¢	$38	0x3fc257…
05-12 16:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa9e237…
05-12 16:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xab4571…
05-12 16:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5e2817…
05-08 17:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0xa54cf8…
05-08 17:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x59084c…
05-08 03:26:19	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x613271…
05-07 17:15:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	SELL	3,900	1¢	$43	0x3895bb…
05-07 17:15:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	3,900	1¢	$47	0x820d32…
05-07 17:11:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$11	0xe454d9…
05-07 17:10:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$12	0xdd05be…
05-06 17:06:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	180	99¢	$178	0x62f9a8…
05-06 17:06:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0xd92ff3…
05-06 17:05:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x8f3023…
05-06 17:03:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe28659…
05-06 17:02:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x29429d…
05-06 17:01:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xde964b…
03-26 16:54:33	bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x4ad20b…
03-26 16:06:29	bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x8fbb2b…
03-26 15:52:19	bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 11am et	Down	SELL	146	99¢	$144	0xd9b020…
03-26 15:51:21	bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	146	99¢	$145	0xa5cee0…
03-26 15:17:53	btc updown 5m 1774538100	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x10545a…
03-26 15:05:11	bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x4381c4…
03-26 15:04:13	bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x00e4c7…
03-25 17:38:05	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xae280f…
03-25 17:36:43	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x3da64e…
03-25 17:36:37	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xb2cacf…
03-25 17:33:25	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x4e2dbe…
03-25 17:33:17	btc updown 5m 1774459800	Up	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x6fc6ce…
03-25 17:33:11	btc updown 5m 1774459800	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x274984…
03-25 17:31:43	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0xf33b3d…
03-25 17:30:29	btc updown 5m 1774459800	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x02a8ef…
03-25 17:30:15	btc updown 5m 1774459800	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x513fe0…
03-25 17:28:23	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xfd926d…
03-25 17:28:07	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7614f6…
03-25 17:27:47	btc updown 15m 1774458900	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xfe85c7…
03-25 17:27:33	btc updown 15m 1774458900	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3e4fb1…
03-24 17:02:39	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xabf41a…
03-24 16:51:21	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa45b1a…
03-24 16:39:19	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xb743ff…
03-24 16:25:57	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x82be5c…
03-24 16:21:35	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xacc119…
03-24 15:19:05	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x3fab61…
03-24 07:36:33	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x143b45…
03-24 07:36:21	btc updown 5m 1774337400	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb674c9…
03-24 07:36:05	eth updown 5m 1774337400	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7d6586…
03-24 07:32:15	eth updown 5m 1774337400	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x570859…
03-24 07:31:45	btc updown 5m 1774337400	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xeced8c…
03-24 07:28:51	doge updown 5m 1774337100	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x16d70e…
03-24 07:27:53	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3ca73b…
03-24 07:26:37	btc updown 5m 1774336800	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x194a4f…
03-24 07:23:25	eth updown 5m 1774336800	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd2007f…
03-24 07:20:25	btc updown 5m 1774336800	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x92a415…
03-24 07:15:29	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x9b9b5e…
03-23 17:52:23	bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	433	0¢	$1	0xa82735…
03-23 17:51:13	bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x7467c8…
03-23 17:48:33	bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	133	98¢	$130	0x8b6918…
03-23 17:42:37	bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0x56865f…
03-23 17:27:15	bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	211	50¢	$107	0x452563…
03-23 17:27:01	bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	44	48¢	$21	0xf42c39…
03-23 17:22:23	btc updown 5m 1774286400	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x56ad4c…
03-23 17:21:11	bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	192	35¢	$67	0x24078d…
03-23 17:19:59	bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	67	47¢	$31	0xc41a4d…
03-23 17:17:49	bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	197	59¢	$116	0x945620…
03-23 17:16:27	bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x579c9f…
03-23 17:15:19	btc updown 5m 1774286100	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd3ac64…
03-23 17:07:31	btc updown 5m 1774285500	Up	SELL	6	56¢	$4	0x4af3a6…
03-23 17:06:49	btc updown 5m 1774285500	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x923ecc…
03-23 17:05:19	btc updown 5m 1774285200	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x568714…
03-23 17:00:29	btc updown 5m 1774285200	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xb66284…
03-23 16:59:49	btc updown 5m 1774284900	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4ba6bc…
03-21 13:54:05	btc updown 5m 1774101000	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xed6332…
03-21 13:53:09	btc updown 5m 1774101000	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xeb5634…
03-21 13:49:41	btc updown 5m 1774100700	Up	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x3fcb10…
03-21 13:46:01	btc updown 5m 1774100700	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xafd91b…
03-20 18:29:33	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x246711…
03-20 18:22:21	btc updown 5m 1774030800	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xaef03e…
03-20 18:16:17	btc updown 5m 1774030500	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfa36ce…
03-20 18:14:51	btc updown 5m 1774030200	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xa6f1a2…
03-20 18:14:09	btc updown 5m 1774030200	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x688e42…
03-19 14:15:57	eth updown 5m 1773929700	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x732771…
03-19 14:15:41	btc updown 5m 1773929700	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x94bc5d…
03-19 14:04:59	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	135	80¢	$108	0xef9901…
03-18 17:23:49	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x59d741…
03-18 17:21:11	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	55	20¢	$11	0xc10403…
03-18 17:19:01	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	135	52¢	$70	0x1b4271…
03-18 16:58:59	bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0987e4…
03-17 09:19:53	btc updown 5m 1773738900	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x4ed313…
03-17 09:18:45	btc updown 5m 1773738900	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xee13b9…
03-17 09:11:15	btc updown 5m 1773738600	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb6688e…
03-17 08:31:37	btc updown 5m 1773735900	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x0d3617…
03-17 08:29:37	btc updown 5m 1773735900	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x514df6…
03-17 08:28:01	btc updown 5m 1773735900	Up	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0xb32fc9…
03-17 08:25:33	btc updown 5m 1773735900	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x29f865…
03-17 07:56:15	btc updown 5m 1773734100	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe6e266…
03-17 07:55:19	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	SELL	417	1¢	$6	0xf3c8fc…
03-16 17:41:13	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	417	2¢	$10	0x9981c8…