Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.98K

Unrealized P&L

-$61

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$291

Open exposure

$39

1 position

First seen

2026-02-01

last 09-04 19:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

77% 20% -$1,926

Crypto

12% 25% -$894

Other

11% 0% -$1,156

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+2,428	$100	2¢	$39	-$61	09-04 19:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$4.2K	2,317	2,317	+0	No	+$194	04-22 22:34
will bernie sanders say epstein during the fighting oligarchy rally	1	$1000	2,448	0	+2,448	No	-$1,000	02-13 18:35
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	2	$970	3,768	0	+3,768	Yes	-$970	04-06 22:39
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$535	769	769	+0	Yes	+$451	04-07 22:36
will trump say joe or biden 3 times at fort bragg on friday	1	$500	666	0	+666	Yes	-$500	02-13 18:32
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$477	13,472	11,044	+2,428	open	—	09-04 19:58
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$450	958	0	+958	Yes	-$450	04-06 03:26
Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?	1	$440	882	0	+882	Yes	-$440	02-13 18:37
will solana dip to 60 in february 2026	1	$375	2,570	0	+2,570	No	-$375	02-13 18:30
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	1	$285	1,018	0	+1,018	No	-$285	02-13 18:24
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$222	242	242	+0	$80k	+$0	04-07 22:35
solana up or down on february 13	2	$140	140,000	0	+140,000	Up	-$140	02-13 18:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 09:40 UTC	1	$110	111	0	+111	Up	+$1	02-14 09:44
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	1	$100	417	0	+417	Yes	-$100	04-14 18:02
cs2 navi ts7 2026 02 01	2	$67	172	172	+0	Spirit	-$67	02-01 21:29
will solana reach 120 in february 2026	1	$52	153	0	+153	No	-$52	02-01 21:24
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$50	50,000	0	+50,000	No	-$50	05-22 15:15
spx up or down on february 13 2026	1	$40	444	0	+444	Up	-$40	02-13 18:31
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1	$36	150	0	+150	Yes	-$36	04-14 18:02
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	1	$25	25,000	0	+25,000	Yes	-$25	04-14 18:01
bitcoin above 70k on february 13	2	$24	24,000	0	+24,000	No	-$24	02-13 18:22
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	1	$20	748	0	+748	No	-$20	02-13 18:24
will bernie sanders say zuckerberg or bezos 8 times during the fighting oligarchy rally	1	$20	143	0	+143	No	-$20	02-13 18:34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$19	3,167	0	+3,167	No	-$19	04-14 17:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	714	0	+714	Yes	-$10	04-14 18:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 19:58:09	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,597	2¢	$38	0x3807c3…
06-24 21:35:44	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	5,106	2¢	$89	0xc4be53…
06-02 18:39:28	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	5,938	2¢	$99	0x82b47b…
05-22 15:15:36	Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$50	0xd2eb22…
05-22 13:29:39	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	11,875	2¢	$250	0x6ff0ed…
04-22 22:34:40	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	2,317	95¢	$2,202	0x2c6582…
04-22 15:18:30	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	2,317	87¢	$2,007	0x46bb40…
04-14 18:02:50	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	150	24¢	$36	0x93f01f…
04-14 18:02:42	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x546980…
04-14 18:01:28	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	25,000	0¢	$25	0xc0b4f4…
04-14 18:00:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0x51b1cc…
04-14 17:59:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,167	1¢	$19	0x3a8b71…
04-07 22:36:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	769	64¢	$493	0x6d251f…
04-07 22:35:37	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	242	46¢	$111	0x6683f8…
04-06 22:39:51	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	3,200	25¢	$800	0x549792…
04-06 03:27:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	769	6¢	$42	0xf1f178…
04-06 03:26:37	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	958	47¢	$450	0x248a55…
04-02 22:34:21	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	568	30¢	$170	0xef5b25…
02-14 09:44:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x972d90…
02-13 18:37:25	Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?	No	BUY	882	50¢	$440	0xfb2975…
02-13 18:35:03	will bernie sanders say epstein during the fighting oligarchy rally	Yes	BUY	2,448	41¢	$1,000	0x8d097a…
02-13 18:34:27	will bernie sanders say zuckerberg or bezos 8 times during the fighting oligarchy rally	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x66e8d0…
02-13 18:32:33	will trump say joe or biden 3 times at fort bragg on friday	No	BUY	666	75¢	$500	0x3212dd…
02-13 18:31:29	spx up or down on february 13 2026	Down	BUY	444	9¢	$40	0x6c2cb4…
02-13 18:30:59	will solana dip to 60 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,570	15¢	$375	0x85a317…
02-13 18:27:41	solana up or down on february 13	Down	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x9ced21…
02-13 18:27:17	solana up or down on february 13	Down	BUY	40,000	0¢	$40	0x060720…
02-13 18:26:17	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	242	46¢	$111	0xa95e4e…
02-13 18:24:57	will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	Yes	BUY	748	3¢	$20	0xb4c36c…
02-13 18:24:31	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	Yes	BUY	1,018	28¢	$285	0xd1c174…
02-13 18:22:53	bitcoin above 70k on february 13	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x47bcc0…
02-13 18:22:31	bitcoin above 70k on february 13	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0xcdce36…
02-01 21:29:22	cs2 navi ts7 2026 02 01	Natus Vincere	SELL	172	0¢	$0	0x4f1c94…
02-01 21:24:40	will solana reach 120 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	153	34¢	$52	0x3ef2b4…
02-01 17:30:28	cs2 navi ts7 2026 02 01	Natus Vincere	BUY	172	39¢	$67	0x2c27f2…