Insidious-Living — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$833

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-11 16:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Sports

59% 17% $-27

Crypto

36% 50% $-2

Other

3% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	4	$290	315	315	+0	Cavaliers	$-30	05-14 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$111	65	65	+0	open	—	05-14 23:42
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$100	286	0	+286	open	—	05-14 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	05-15 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$50	303	0	+303	open	—	05-15 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$25	142	0	+142	open	—	05-15 02:06
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	3	$23	39	9	+30	Spurs	$-5	05-13 03:11
Sabres vs. Canadiens	3	$21	20	11	+9	Sabres	+$1	05-13 03:10
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	2	$20	40	0	+40	Cleveland Guardians	$-2	05-12 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$13	56	56	+0	Down	+$3	05-14 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$12	29	29	+0	open	—	05-15 03:44
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	3	$12	50	43	+7	open	—	04-30 06:22
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	2	$12	0	26	-26	open	—	06-11 16:40
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	2	$12	24	0	+24	Cavaliers	$-0	05-11 15:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$11	189	189	+0	open	—	05-09 01:35
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$6	15	0	+15	Timberwolves	+$8	05-10 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	05-15 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$5	26	0	+26	Up	$-5	05-06 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	05-15 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 03:50
Knicks vs. 76ers	2	$2	4	0	+4	Knicks	$-0	05-10 16:47
Thunder vs. Lakers	2	$2	7	0	+7	Thunder	$-1	05-12 01:39
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$2	13	0	+13	Timberwolves	+$11	05-03 19:03
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	2	$2	4	0	+4	Cavaliers	$-2	05-06 14:59
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?	2	$2	0	4	-4	open	—	06-11 16:41
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	2	$1	0	3	-3	open	—	06-11 16:41
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$1	4	0	+4	Thunder	$-1	05-06 14:59
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	04-30 06:19
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$1	2	0	+2	Spurs	$-1	05-06 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 16:41:30	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xc44370…
06-11 16:41:22	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xd1ba61…
06-11 16:41:16	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xf1163e…
06-11 16:41:03	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$0	0xfe75cf…
06-11 16:40:16	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x8192c9…
06-11 16:35:46	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x36ddb4…
05-15 03:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3c92b4…
05-15 03:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x44c06a…
05-15 03:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	29	25¢	$7	0x0e9cc9…
05-15 03:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x75b48b…
05-15 02:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x625431…
05-15 02:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	265	9¢	$25	0x10adb4…
05-15 02:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xce66b5…
05-15 02:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xbc662f…
05-15 02:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x39dbd5…
05-15 02:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	142	18¢	$25	0x366f75…
05-14 23:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	65	93¢	$61	0x929f48…
05-14 23:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	77¢	$25	0xff2e1e…
05-14 23:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xc47143…
05-14 23:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0xc18fc2…
05-14 23:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xcb80df…
05-14 10:43:59	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x6e619c…
05-14 02:12:07	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	161	57¢	$92	0x2fac67…
05-14 01:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	56	15¢	$8	0x73c0d4…
05-14 01:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xe57c3d…
05-14 01:05:53	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	154	25¢	$38	0xf4ca75…
05-13 03:37:14	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	154	39¢	$60	0xb4fa26…
05-13 03:36:39	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xc61b43…
05-13 03:11:34	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x80dc4c…
05-13 03:10:56	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x608af2…
05-12 12:37:18	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x546c7a…
05-12 12:36:52	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xa1870a…
05-12 01:39:20	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x291189…
05-12 00:11:57	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8dcf54…
05-12 00:11:34	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x0cc874…
05-12 00:09:51	Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x88c447…
05-12 00:09:40	Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x6224dc…
05-11 15:32:26	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3a1952…
05-11 15:31:19	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xe0ba1f…
05-11 15:30:56	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x1b9306…
05-10 23:06:32	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x89aa06…
05-10 16:47:59	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3ee6b2…
05-10 16:46:02	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xcc7c60…
05-10 16:45:46	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7e77b1…
05-09 01:35:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	189	2¢	$5	0x35016f…
05-06 16:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x46bcaf…
05-06 15:00:08	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdb0ed5…
05-06 14:59:48	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe33799…
05-06 14:59:48	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4a2606…
05-06 14:59:22	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd59ff3…
05-06 14:58:58	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x906bb2…
05-06 14:58:47	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x26ec6f…
05-06 14:58:17	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfa3625…
05-06 14:58:00	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x24a4d4…
05-03 19:03:48	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe4547b…
05-03 19:03:18	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc2dce5…
05-03 19:02:48	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6a790b…
05-03 02:25:06	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x393dbd…
05-03 02:24:40	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xadf98f…
04-30 06:22:02	Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9c0b98…
04-30 06:21:36	Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	Yes	SELL	43	12¢	$5	0x2c77e8…
04-30 06:21:14	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x08ebe7…
04-30 06:20:32	Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x86720f…
04-30 06:20:24	Will Trump talk to Ahmed al-Sharaa in April?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6a9d42…
04-30 06:19:58	Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x23c8ff…
04-30 06:19:48	Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	Yes	BUY	43	14¢	$6	0xf39803…
04-30 06:15:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	189	3¢	$6	0xd7d8a1…
04-30 06:05:30	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3eee80…