Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$555

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 10-15 13:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

39% 0% -$75

Tech

30% 23% -$125

Other

16% 0% -$170

Crypto

15% 0% -$185

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$522	6,536	6,536	+0	Yes	-$70	06-15 18:00
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	2	$109	98	98	+0	No	+$31	06-19 13:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:05 UTC	2	$105	157	0	+157	Down	-$80	06-15 18:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:00 UTC	1	$100	222	0	+222	Down	-$100	06-15 18:01
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$88	4,397	0	+4,397	No	-$88	09-19 09:43
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	2	$81	248	248	+0	Yes	-$48	07-01 14:19
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	3	$57	750	465	+285	Yes	-$22	10-13 16:10
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$54	5,019	0	+5,019	No	-$54	06-26 19:24
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	2	$34	40	40	+0	Yes	-$6	07-23 20:28
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$27	1,732	0	+1,732	No	-$27	07-12 16:03
will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	1	$20	222	0	+222	No	-$20	08-04 04:43
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$20	2,857	0	+2,857	No	-$20	07-17 18:51
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	2	$17	251	251	+0	No	-$8	09-30 20:29
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?	2	$16	209	209	+0	No	-$14	10-15 13:13
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	1	$15	45	0	+45	Yes	+$30	07-12 15:55
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$15	21	0	+21	Yes	+$6	07-21 14:54
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	1	$13	32	0	+32	Yes	-$13	07-17 18:54
will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	2	$12	13	13	+0	No	-$10	07-23 20:28
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$11	1,333	1,333	+0	open	—	10-13 16:09
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$10	627	0	+627	No	-$10	07-17 18:52
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$5	1,250	0	+1,250	Yes	-$5	03-10 16:44
will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	1	$5	298	0	+298	No	-$5	07-25 08:30
will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	1	$5	80	0	+80	No	-$5	07-25 08:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:30 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	-$5	03-10 16:30
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	10-13 16:09
will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	1	$4	369	0	+369	No	-$4	07-25 08:31
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 27, 2026?	1	$1	200	0	+200	No	-$1	07-21 14:52
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 22, 2026?	1	$1	396	0	+396	No	-$1	07-21 14:52
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 29, 2026?	1	$1	75	0	+75	No	-$1	07-21 14:53
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	1	$1	30	0	+30	No	-$1	07-21 14:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 13:13:41	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	209	1¢	$1	0x959a61…
10-13 16:10:21	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	285	3¢	$9	0x5cb11b…
10-13 16:09:54	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x11ffca…
10-13 16:09:34	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,333	1¢	$7	0x26821c…
10-13 15:43:13	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x5b05f0…
10-13 15:41:15	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	7¢	$15	0x3c52d0…
10-13 15:39:31	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	465	4¢	$17	0xf4fe08…
10-13 15:16:56	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	465	6¢	$30	0xcaac2a…
09-30 20:38:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,333	0¢	$4	0xe9c98d…
09-30 20:29:48	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	251	2¢	$5	0xce5e65…
09-19 09:43:56	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	251	5¢	$13	0x04ef90…
09-19 09:43:26	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,397	2¢	$88	0x1f7089…
08-04 04:43:27	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x9c79a4…
07-25 08:31:45	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	Yes	BUY	369	1¢	$4	0xe69a8f…
07-25 08:30:57	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0x3326fe…
07-25 08:30:42	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	298	2¢	$5	0x09813e…
07-23 20:28:37	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xf885ba…
07-23 20:28:30	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	SELL	40	34¢	$14	0x959c0a…
07-23 16:31:51	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xf194ff…
07-21 14:54:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x428062…
07-21 14:53:21	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3dedbf…
07-21 14:53:13	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xcb65f3…
07-21 14:53:06	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0xbec04f…
07-21 14:52:58	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x3c4e1a…
07-21 14:52:52	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xf32950…
07-21 14:52:30	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x70f0af…
07-21 14:52:21	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x4b3106…
07-21 14:52:13	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	396	0¢	$1	0x463f57…
07-21 14:47:39	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x45b391…
07-17 18:54:45	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0xcbbb88…
07-17 18:52:16	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	627	2¢	$10	0x1c97a5…
07-17 18:51:16	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,857	1¢	$20	0xfdbbf9…
07-12 16:03:53	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,732	2¢	$27	0x534617…
07-12 15:55:59	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x9e6d42…
07-01 14:19:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	248	7¢	$17	0x24449a…
06-26 19:24:38	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,910	1¢	$52	0xf6c4e6…
06-19 14:05:23	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	2¢	$2	0xfc3cdb…
06-19 14:05:05	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x62f542…
06-19 13:52:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	248	26¢	$64	0x2edebe…
06-19 13:51:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	SELL	98	71¢	$70	0x4cca45…
06-15 18:14:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178	No	BUY	98	40¢	$39	0x96f428…
06-15 18:08:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xec8c2d…
06-15 18:06:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x8fcbc2…
06-15 18:01:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x4eae54…
06-15 18:00:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	6,536	3¢	$226	0x36cc52…
06-15 17:34:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5,868	4¢	$223	0xb88ef6…
06-15 12:54:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	561	11¢	$61	0xe68a4f…
06-15 12:46:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	107	11¢	$11	0x3e9521…
03-10 16:44:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x15b27d…
03-10 16:30:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xff4b1c…