Probable-Pinafore — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$90

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-28 12:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 67% $-2

Other

18% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 78k on march 16	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	03-16 09:32
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 20	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	03-19 11:42
highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 8c	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	03-22 08:37
bitcoin above 60k on march 1	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-01 03:12
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on march 11	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-10 11:10
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3200 on february 6	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	02-05 12:43
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 7	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-07 07:57
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 3	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-03 08:32
ethereum above 2300 on march 14	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-14 03:32
bitcoin above 94k on january 23	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-23 08:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	1	$96	96	+96	Yes	+$0	05-07 09:40
will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on january 18	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-18 08:01
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on april 22	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-22 13:03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-26 06:36
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 380 399	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-04 03:24
bitcoin above 86k on january 13	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-13 09:35
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 48m and 52m	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-18 03:34
ethereum above 3200 on january 30	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-30 08:45
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 400 419	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-08 09:30
bitcoin above 86k on february 1	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	02-01 07:27
xrp above 1pt6 on march 26	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-26 07:46
ethereum above 1800 on april 10	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-09 11:00
will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on april 15	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-14 08:25
ethereum above 2400 on april 4	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-03 07:24
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-30 09:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	05-12 11:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 23?	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	05-23 01:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	05-28 12:21
ethereum above 1900 on march 26	1	$3	1,400	+1,400	open	—	03-26 07:45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?	1	$2	500	+500	No	$-2	05-12 11:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 12:21:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xe6b541…
05-23 01:43:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 23?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x4ebf0f…
05-12 11:29:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xfe9ef8…
05-12 11:29:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x2c1081…
05-07 09:40:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x6ba48c…
04-26 06:36:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x1bf426…
04-22 13:03:02	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on april 22	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xfbc82b…
04-18 03:34:08	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 48m and 52m	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x2b466d…
04-14 08:25:57	will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on april 15	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x4732d0…
04-09 11:00:01	ethereum above 1800 on april 10	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x2544af…
04-03 07:24:39	ethereum above 2400 on april 4	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x48be33…
03-30 09:49:10	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xd338ff…
03-26 07:46:13	xrp above 1pt6 on march 26	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x7b4295…
03-26 07:45:39	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	No	BUY	1,400	0¢	$3	0xa9f404…
03-22 08:37:49	highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 8c	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xc56c52…
03-19 11:42:31	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 20	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x1e71cd…
03-16 09:32:23	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x6534d9…
03-14 03:32:35	ethereum above 2300 on march 14	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xad6ec5…
03-10 11:10:45	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on march 11	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xe6a356…
03-07 07:57:03	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 7	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x3b4de1…
03-03 08:32:01	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 3	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xf20779…
03-01 03:12:41	bitcoin above 60k on march 1	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x1d6fc8…
02-05 12:43:25	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3200 on february 6	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x0fa4bf…
02-01 07:27:48	bitcoin above 86k on february 1	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xd6e176…
01-30 08:45:58	ethereum above 3200 on january 30	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xb76c4b…
01-23 08:49:50	bitcoin above 94k on january 23	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x9169da…
01-18 08:01:16	will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on january 18	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xb700ca…
01-13 09:35:13	bitcoin above 86k on january 13	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x39e294…
01-08 09:30:19	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 400 419	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x99f38d…
01-04 03:24:41	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 380 399	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xdf6943…