Cautious-Disaster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$75

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.5%

Resolved

121

Trades

228

lifetime

Volume

$2.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-12 13:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 40% $-75

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	3	$160	308	0	+308	Up	+$148	05-12 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$102	154	154	+0	Down	$-58	05-12 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	6	$57	45	45	+0	Up	+$17	05-12 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$51	75	75	+0	Up	$-29	05-11 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$40	75	0	+75	Up	+$35	05-12 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$37	38	38	+0	Up	$-3	05-12 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$30	38	38	+0	Down	$-10	05-12 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$27	40	40	+0	Down	$-13	05-12 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$26	37	37	+0	Down	$-14	05-12 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$26	54	54	+0	Down	$-14	05-12 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$26	39	39	+0	Down	$-14	05-12 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	4	$26	39	39	+0	Down	$-14	05-12 05:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	5	$26	36	36	+0	Down	$-14	05-12 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$25	39	39	+0	Down	$-14	05-12 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$25	38	38	+0	Down	$-15	05-11 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$25	38	38	+0	Down	$-15	05-12 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$25	41	41	+0	Down	$-15	05-12 05:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$25	38	38	+0	Down	$-15	05-12 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	5	$25	38	38	+0	Down	$-15	05-12 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$25	39	39	+0	Down	$-15	05-12 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$25	38	38	+0	Down	$-15	05-12 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$25	38	38	+0	Down	$-15	05-12 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$25	41	41	+0	Up	$-15	05-12 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$25	41	41	+0	Down	$-15	05-12 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$25	39	39	+0	Up	$-15	05-12 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$25	39	39	+0	Down	$-15	05-12 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$25	38	38	+0	Down	$-15	05-12 04:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$25	38	38	+0	Down	$-15	05-12 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$24	37	37	+0	Up	$-16	05-12 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$24	40	40	+0	Down	$-16	05-12 09:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 13:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x0ddbca…
05-12 13:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xbc7bb3…
05-12 13:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3b871a…
05-12 13:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x4e2195…
05-12 13:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	39	15¢	$6	0x45cdc9…
05-12 13:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x00d941…
05-12 13:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	22	7¢	$2	0x22e867…
05-12 13:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x92b9d2…
05-12 13:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0x599a25…
05-12 13:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x4d0647…
05-12 13:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xb54cc5…
05-12 13:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x20d603…
05-12 13:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x15c285…
05-12 12:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x404b67…
05-12 12:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	38	13¢	$5	0x956e1f…
05-12 12:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xbe711a…
05-12 12:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x1a0b06…
05-12 12:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x42ad83…
05-12 12:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x29625c…
05-12 12:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	41	12¢	$5	0x26ef1d…
05-12 12:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x91c087…
05-12 12:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x8856ad…
05-12 12:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	21	58¢	$12	0x847737…
05-12 12:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xeece23…
05-12 12:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x886e44…
05-12 11:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xb1f846…
05-12 11:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x5acf99…
05-12 11:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xea91a3…
05-12 11:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1378b0…
05-12 11:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xdff7ac…
05-12 11:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x1e9075…
05-12 11:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	38	13¢	$5	0x1bffb2…
05-12 11:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xb8995f…
05-12 11:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	38	14¢	$5	0x52ee15…
05-12 11:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xd58910…
05-12 11:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	19	13¢	$2	0x2a1818…
05-12 11:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x68afd7…
05-12 10:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x6033ea…
05-12 10:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	36	6¢	$2	0x2a8996…
05-12 10:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x7d8147…
05-12 10:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	37	9¢	$3	0x9a5485…
05-12 10:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xcc6c24…
05-12 10:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	36	16¢	$6	0x7df3c8…
05-12 10:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x9ce483…
05-12 10:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x169790…
05-12 10:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc69bc9…
05-12 10:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x34c53d…
05-12 10:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	37	12¢	$4	0x857aa7…
05-12 10:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x94ee75…
05-12 10:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0x1ad890…
05-12 10:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xd9b2c9…
05-12 10:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x20bf89…
05-12 09:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x9fd5f8…
05-12 09:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0x774da6…
05-12 09:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x718c35…
05-12 09:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaf48b6…
05-12 09:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	39	15¢	$6	0xc0740e…
05-12 09:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x241d6a…
05-12 09:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	38	25¢	$10	0xb1de97…
05-12 09:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xc8a5f7…
05-12 09:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	39	12¢	$5	0x4f1f2e…
05-12 09:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x27fc05…
05-12 09:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	38	8¢	$3	0xcfa27e…
05-12 09:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xa26375…
05-12 09:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2c3931…
05-12 09:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x84e2f9…
05-12 09:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x32ec6d…
05-12 09:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x02744a…
05-12 09:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x0d2ba4…
05-12 09:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x33ff62…
05-12 09:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	39	10¢	$4	0x38dbac…
05-12 09:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x830b10…
05-12 09:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x035575…
05-12 09:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	38	12¢	$5	0xbdf49e…
05-12 09:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xa25e59…
05-12 09:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	54	11¢	$6	0xeadf74…
05-12 09:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x808a4c…
05-12 08:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x977e48…
05-12 08:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	39	13¢	$5	0xdf553f…
05-12 08:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x3b3ee7…
05-12 08:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x1d2ce8…
05-12 08:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x127614…
05-12 08:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe3281b…
05-12 08:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0d016b…
05-12 08:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x34ccf9…
05-12 07:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xcd3aa8…
05-12 07:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	38	14¢	$5	0xf221bc…
05-12 07:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0xd3cb04…
05-12 07:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2a58da…
05-12 07:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf602c3…
05-12 07:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7fc58e…
05-12 07:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	39	15¢	$6	0x2ecec7…
05-12 07:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xba0590…
05-12 07:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xf42fd1…
05-12 07:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0x2d36e6…
05-12 07:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x7946a4…
05-12 07:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdb0a3c…
05-12 07:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x74ec84…
05-12 07:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xee401e…
05-12 07:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	37	9¢	$3	0xc9a198…