Nocturnal-Standardization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$474

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-07 03:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 1 10am et	8	$83	58	58	+0	open	—	01-01 15:51
btc updown 15m 1767276900	5	$56	1,049	49	+1,000	open	—	01-01 14:29
xrp up or down january 1 12pm et	5	$44	160	75	+85	open	—	01-01 17:28
bitcoin up or down january 1 6am et	4	$42	31	31	+0	open	—	01-01 11:41
bitcoin up or down january 1 11am et	4	$41	26	26	+0	open	—	01-01 16:38
btc updown 15m 1767276000	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	01-01 14:07
solana up or down january 1 11am et	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	01-01 16:13
btc updown 4h 1767272400	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	01-01 15:41
bitcoin up or down january 1 7am et	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	01-01 12:54
bitcoin up or down january 1 12pm et	2	$20	18	18	+0	open	—	01-01 17:11
btc updown 15m 1767291300	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	01-01 14:48
xrp up or down january 1 11am et	3	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	01-01 16:53
ethereum up or down january 1 7am et	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	01-01 13:07
btc updown 15m 1767275100	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-01 13:59
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	2	$6	8	8	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 07:39
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	4	$6	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 02:36
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	3	$5	10	5	+5	Down	+$1	05-06 07:55
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 07:15
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 06:27
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 05:46
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 06:11
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	3	$3	8	4	+4	Up	$-1	05-07 02:53
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$2	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 02:24
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-06 05:47
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-06 06:50
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-06 07:19
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-07 03:53
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-07 03:05
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Up	$-1	05-06 06:37
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Down	$-1	05-07 03:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 03:53:34	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x35170a…
05-07 03:21:36	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcb64ac…
05-07 03:05:20	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5bd5fe…
05-07 02:53:38	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9aa6df…
05-07 02:49:01	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x87485e…
05-07 02:47:18	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8bf8b1…
05-07 02:36:43	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x99fead…
05-07 02:35:28	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa26b7e…
05-07 02:33:34	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xed73f6…
05-07 02:31:30	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x90fd97…
05-07 02:24:49	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x7b86af…
05-07 02:23:41	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe809af…
05-06 07:55:56	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6224d5…
05-06 07:52:48	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x205b2a…
05-06 07:47:00	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x291562…
05-06 07:39:30	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	73¢	$5	0xce79e1…
05-06 07:34:56	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6977d6…
05-06 07:19:12	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x82dd96…
05-06 07:15:24	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2e923d…
05-06 07:01:24	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8fed41…
05-06 06:50:40	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5f948c…
05-06 06:37:18	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb7582c…
05-06 06:27:02	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0xab0ad2…
05-06 06:17:48	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf820c0…
05-06 06:11:28	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0xee62f3…
05-06 06:03:52	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xed630c…
05-06 05:47:54	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0819a1…
05-06 05:46:04	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbc538f…
05-06 05:43:50	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x90bc32…
01-01 17:28:37	xrp up or down january 1 12pm et	Down	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x8bc5fa…
01-01 17:26:33	xrp up or down january 1 12pm et	Down	SELL	52	24¢	$13	0xdd7127…
01-01 17:21:05	xrp up or down january 1 12pm et	Down	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x257a06…
01-01 17:19:05	xrp up or down january 1 12pm et	Down	SELL	23	28¢	$6	0x4a5379…
01-01 17:16:49	xrp up or down january 1 12pm et	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xa304aa…
01-01 17:11:07	bitcoin up or down january 1 12pm et	Up	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0xcfc877…
01-01 17:06:03	bitcoin up or down january 1 12pm et	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x5a2c03…
01-01 16:53:55	xrp up or down january 1 11am et	Down	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x5fcb4b…
01-01 16:53:19	xrp up or down january 1 11am et	Down	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0x26a292…
01-01 16:41:07	xrp up or down january 1 11am et	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc7604a…
01-01 16:38:17	bitcoin up or down january 1 11am et	Down	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0xf21eb9…
01-01 16:29:23	bitcoin up or down january 1 11am et	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x7f00ea…
01-01 16:17:15	bitcoin up or down january 1 11am et	Down	SELL	14	77¢	$10	0x1234bb…
01-01 16:14:23	bitcoin up or down january 1 11am et	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x9c0add…
01-01 16:13:33	solana up or down january 1 11am et	Down	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x589df8…
01-01 16:10:55	solana up or down january 1 11am et	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xec8387…
01-01 15:51:29	bitcoin up or down january 1 10am et	Up	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0x6674ab…
01-01 15:49:41	bitcoin up or down january 1 10am et	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xde2b08…
01-01 15:46:31	bitcoin up or down january 1 10am et	Up	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x699b57…
01-01 15:44:13	bitcoin up or down january 1 10am et	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x26ba6c…
01-01 15:41:51	btc updown 4h 1767272400	Up	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0xcb69a9…
01-01 15:30:13	btc updown 4h 1767272400	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x4d00e6…
01-01 15:28:29	bitcoin up or down january 1 10am et	Up	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0x902b93…
01-01 15:18:35	bitcoin up or down january 1 10am et	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xa69b75…
01-01 15:16:33	bitcoin up or down january 1 10am et	Up	SELL	17	71¢	$12	0xccba78…
01-01 15:15:03	bitcoin up or down january 1 10am et	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x0f612b…
01-01 14:48:05	btc updown 15m 1767291300	Up	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x0edbd5…
01-01 14:37:13	btc updown 15m 1767291300	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcb3fa9…
01-01 14:29:21	btc updown 15m 1767276900	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x105e12…
01-01 14:24:25	btc updown 15m 1767276900	Up	SELL	23	56¢	$13	0x528b7e…
01-01 14:20:23	btc updown 15m 1767276900	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x6afecf…
01-01 14:18:31	btc updown 15m 1767276900	Up	SELL	26	50¢	$13	0xba1ca3…
01-01 14:16:45	btc updown 15m 1767276900	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x8f6a9e…
01-01 14:07:03	btc updown 15m 1767276000	Down	SELL	14	81¢	$12	0x641a9b…
01-01 14:05:35	btc updown 15m 1767276000	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x849c46…
01-01 13:59:09	btc updown 15m 1767275100	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x391dac…
01-01 13:07:31	ethereum up or down january 1 7am et	Up	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xe73427…
01-01 12:54:21	bitcoin up or down january 1 7am et	Down	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x2e32fc…
01-01 12:47:27	bitcoin up or down january 1 7am et	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xbfc857…
01-01 11:41:01	bitcoin up or down january 1 6am et	Up	SELL	16	68¢	$11	0x28cb69…
01-01 11:39:53	bitcoin up or down january 1 6am et	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xdc2f38…
01-01 11:13:37	bitcoin up or down january 1 6am et	Up	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x46b9c2…
01-01 11:12:17	bitcoin up or down january 1 6am et	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xe0908f…