Cheerful-Factor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$101

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

623

Trades

1,130

lifetime

Volume

$2.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 08-18 22:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 60% +$101

Politics

2% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 358 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	6	$112	170	0	+170	Down	$-17	05-27 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	5	$80	122	0	+122	Down	+$11	05-27 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	8	$68	115	0	+115	Down	$-6	06-03 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$55	98	0	+98	Down	+$8	05-26 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$41	108	0	+108	Down	+$67	05-26 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	6	$35	55	0	+55	Up	$-7	06-01 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$35	51	0	+51	Down	+$4	06-03 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	34	$34	93	0	+93	Up	$-22	05-26 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	8	$31	55	0	+55	Down	$-4	05-27 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$30	60	0	+60	Down	+$30	06-03 08:53
btc updown 5m 1780679100	2	$30	30	30	+0	Down	$-0	06-05 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	27	$27	58	0	+58	Down	+$18	05-26 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$25	51	0	+51	Down	+$3	05-29 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	5	$22	39	0	+39	Up	+$0	06-03 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	3	$21	23	0	+23	Down	$-0	05-27 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$20	35	0	+35	Down	+$15	06-03 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$20	30	0	+30	Down	$-4	05-29 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	05-29 14:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	1	$20	74	0	+74	open	—	08-18 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$18	40	0	+40	Down	+$2	05-29 15:22
will ukraine re enter obratne or temyrivka by december 31	1	$18	32	0	+32	open	—	08-18 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	3	$17	42	0	+42	Down	+$25	05-26 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	4	$17	20	0	+20	Up	+$1	05-27 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$16	17	2	+15	Up	$-0	05-27 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$16	29	0	+29	Up	$-16	05-26 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$16	17	0	+17	Up	+$1	05-27 10:44
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	1	$15	150	0	+150	open	—	08-18 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$15	30	0	+30	Up	+$15	05-29 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$15	30	0	+30	Up	$-15	05-26 13:53
btc updown 5m 1780766100	1	$15	27	0	+27	Up	+$12	06-06 17:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 22:48:03	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in august 2026 20260731154202609	Yes	BUY	32	8¢	$3	0xbb24eb…
08-18 15:32:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x9fc61f…
08-18 14:26:30	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xfef871…
08-18 14:03:07	will ukraine re enter obratne or temyrivka by december 31	Yes	BUY	32	55¢	$18	0xbafed8…
08-18 14:00:00	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in august 2026 20260731154202609	Yes	BUY	93	8¢	$7	0x7b714e…
06-06 18:47:39	btc updown 5m 1780771500	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xff079b…
06-06 17:44:12	btc updown 5m 1780767600	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb7ee90…
06-06 17:31:19	btc updown 5m 1780767300	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x4a1698…
06-06 17:30:51	btc updown 5m 1780767300	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xf433a4…
06-06 17:29:49	btc updown 5m 1780767300	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xcc23db…
06-06 17:28:57	btc updown 5m 1780767300	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x4dad2c…
06-06 17:26:43	btc updown 5m 1780766700	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xbfb94a…
06-06 17:25:12	btc updown 5m 1780766700	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x130882…
06-06 17:21:27	btc updown 5m 1780766400	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x6b30a0…
06-06 17:21:04	btc updown 5m 1780766400	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x22146b…
06-06 17:15:31	btc updown 5m 1780766100	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x3bdd9d…
06-06 17:05:51	btc updown 5m 1780765500	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xd0885b…
06-06 17:03:51	btc updown 5m 1780765200	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x66795e…
06-06 17:03:33	btc updown 5m 1780765200	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xde1fd9…
06-05 22:06:24	btc updown 5m 1780698300	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x4ce9f9…
06-05 22:06:21	btc updown 5m 1780698300	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xeb0588…
06-05 21:58:54	btc updown 5m 1780696800	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x73d89b…
06-05 21:58:12	btc updown 5m 1780696800	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x932dc9…
06-05 21:55:16	btc updown 5m 1780698300	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x462172…
06-05 21:55:15	btc updown 5m 1780698300	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x60b2f8…
06-05 20:25:22	btc updown 5m 1780691100	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x77912d…
06-05 20:25:06	btc updown 5m 1780691100	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6a218c…
06-05 19:10:21	btc updown 5m 1780686600	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc98ef1…
06-05 19:10:04	btc updown 5m 1780686600	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xede0fa…
06-05 19:10:04	btc updown 5m 1780686600	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xd87198…
06-05 18:54:57	btc updown 5m 1780685700	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb4f3a4…
06-05 18:53:51	btc updown 5m 1780685700	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd545de…
06-05 18:50:13	btc updown 5m 1780685400	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdb05b6…
06-05 18:50:03	btc updown 5m 1780685400	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xf5ec27…
06-05 18:50:03	btc updown 5m 1780685400	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5cc566…
06-05 18:45:06	btc updown 5m 1780685100	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xcb5f62…
06-05 18:44:27	btc updown 5m 1780685100	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x06a14a…
06-05 18:40:54	btc updown 5m 1780684800	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe5550b…
06-05 18:40:54	btc updown 5m 1780684800	Up	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xbb5374…
06-05 18:40:04	btc updown 5m 1780684800	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x02777e…
06-05 17:04:42	btc updown 5m 1780679100	Down	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0x70ff04…
06-05 17:02:21	btc updown 5m 1780679100	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x31b2d5…
06-05 16:41:24	btc updown 5m 1780677600	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x3507fd…
06-05 16:36:03	btc updown 5m 1780677300	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xf25728…
06-05 05:35:27	btc updown 5m 1780637700	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1f88ab…
06-04 15:11:57	btc updown 5m 1780585800	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xbeab60…
06-04 14:52:07	btc updown 5m 1780584600	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x595c9d…
06-04 14:46:09	btc updown 5m 1780584300	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe9ece5…
06-04 14:35:49	btc updown 5m 1780583700	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x442282…
06-03 17:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xdba5dd…
06-03 17:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xdceaa3…
06-03 17:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xf49440…
06-03 16:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xd94eea…
06-03 16:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x7aed79…
06-03 16:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9903b6…
06-03 15:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb0219c…
06-03 14:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xba5972…
06-03 10:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x7b3d2a…
06-03 10:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8feec7…
06-03 10:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x8764f3…
06-03 10:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd8dd44…
06-03 10:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x040390…
06-03 10:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x719a3d…
06-03 10:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x674801…
06-03 10:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x30e830…
06-03 09:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xd171ec…
06-03 09:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x65e42a…
06-03 09:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x6680a4…
06-03 09:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x8df124…
06-03 08:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xf501e4…
06-03 08:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	77¢	$14	0xef1d88…
06-03 08:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x30b006…
06-03 08:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x4ae1e3…
06-03 08:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5da50c…
06-03 08:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0b1fd1…
06-03 08:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xca601b…
06-03 08:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xb4f9f0…
06-03 08:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf11566…
06-03 08:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x984ce5…
06-03 08:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x43f825…
06-03 08:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb435f7…
06-03 08:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x37a6c9…
06-03 08:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x486dc0…
06-03 07:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc753eb…
06-03 07:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5dd3db…
06-03 07:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa0a275…
06-03 07:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xecc63c…
06-03 07:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2b396b…
06-03 07:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x4b0352…
06-03 07:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x175d22…
06-03 07:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x75322a…
06-03 07:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf77c55…
06-03 07:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x0f9898…
06-03 07:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x03c908…
06-03 07:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6e1a6e…
06-03 07:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xea4a11…
06-03 07:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x0f0ff8…
06-03 07:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe8da08…
06-03 07:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x57187c…
06-03 07:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x4bf56f…