Whispered-Fear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$190

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-29 02:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 72% +$5

Other

7% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	17	$27	23	23	+0	Up	$-1	05-13 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	7	$15	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	7	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	7	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	05-18 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	6	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	6	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	5	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-19 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	4	$7	15	15	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	4	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	5	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 20:39
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-14 19:12
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	2	$5	9	9	+0	open	—	06-29 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 12:42
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 btts	1	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	06-11 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$4	4	2	+1	Up	+$1	05-11 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$4	3	2	+1	Up	+$1	05-12 12:19
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	06-16 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	3	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-18 07:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	05-13 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 18:28
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	06-14 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-2	05-12 06:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 02:07:23	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Japan	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0xa5be34…
06-28 23:53:19	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Japan	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x3002eb…
06-16 13:26:44	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xc63c14…
06-14 19:12:36	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbf2d7a…
06-14 19:12:15	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xce28c1…
06-11 15:45:01	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xa130b0…
05-19 07:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x21cdf8…
05-19 07:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd4c9c5…
05-19 07:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa57096…
05-19 07:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7a7eb2…
05-19 07:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x21c2e2…
05-18 07:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x15547f…
05-18 07:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x041584…
05-18 07:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd328ad…
05-18 06:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xcd5361…
05-18 06:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcaabe7…
05-18 06:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb87552…
05-18 06:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x52b316…
05-18 06:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9fbae2…
05-18 06:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd4b177…
05-18 06:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf60d30…
05-14 13:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x10329d…
05-14 13:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf986a9…
05-14 13:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5d71bd…
05-14 13:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x971505…
05-14 13:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe0a999…
05-14 13:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xeb5724…
05-14 13:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x951f98…
05-13 12:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xbc35e5…
05-13 12:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0e65de…
05-13 12:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa14570…
05-13 12:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x5d22f6…
05-13 12:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xaea39e…
05-13 12:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x936dc4…
05-13 12:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb1bbb3…
05-13 12:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x532cd0…
05-13 12:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4a9a37…
05-13 12:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x445882…
05-13 12:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xa6dd7e…
05-13 12:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3853f2…
05-13 12:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x89d0fb…
05-13 12:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x691122…
05-13 12:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x931a7a…
05-13 12:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0xfd79b5…
05-13 12:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa7d477…
05-13 12:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x12aceb…
05-13 12:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x81b67a…
05-13 12:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xad7f4f…
05-13 12:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x343193…
05-13 12:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7b6ebf…
05-13 12:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6ea13e…
05-12 16:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xbfbe22…
05-12 16:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x251167…
05-12 16:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xae16c6…
05-12 16:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6913e7…
05-12 16:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x692ff6…
05-12 16:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xde80f4…
05-12 16:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x671226…
05-12 13:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd8c6bc…
05-12 12:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x958183…
05-12 12:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd2684e…
05-12 12:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x424c7b…
05-12 12:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe7d32c…
05-12 12:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb088d8…
05-12 12:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x899716…
05-12 12:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xefaa52…
05-12 12:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa5a9d4…
05-12 10:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x6de3b1…
05-12 10:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x49dd19…
05-12 10:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa8d530…
05-12 10:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x67ef89…
05-12 10:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa8b449…
05-12 10:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb751e8…
05-12 10:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x42dc5d…
05-12 10:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x739301…
05-12 10:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0ae799…
05-12 10:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0bef59…
05-12 08:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xac8012…
05-12 08:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x35c640…
05-12 06:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa40577…
05-12 06:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x954cdf…
05-12 06:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd1c26d…
05-12 06:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe00a34…
05-12 06:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0xe3566a…
05-12 06:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x58ce6e…
05-11 20:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd28380…
05-11 20:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2ac548…
05-11 20:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x8803a4…
05-11 20:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x32557c…
05-11 20:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2c7290…
05-11 20:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4c7eda…
05-11 19:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x135c29…
05-11 19:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x602deb…
05-11 19:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5b3fab…
05-11 19:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x796098…
05-11 19:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb52037…
05-11 19:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9c3148…
05-11 19:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xedd247…
05-11 19:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x56f3bc…
05-11 18:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x135427…