Misguided-Pamphlet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 05-26 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% —

Crypto

24% — —

Politics

21% — —

Sports

3% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	5	$668	367	367	+0	open	—	04-28 12:53
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	13	$577	290	290	+0	open	—	04-25 04:00
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$505	253	253	+0	open	—	04-22 08:41
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$237	239	0	+239	open	—	03-25 11:22
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	5	$135	20,322	19,309	+1,013	open	—	04-04 18:22
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$107	82	82	+0	open	—	05-26 15:46
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$84	360	360	+0	No	+$0	04-27 08:30
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	9	$83	20,826	20,826	+0	open	—	03-25 07:02
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	6	$72	13,687	10,446	+3,241	open	—	03-24 20:32
Fluent FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	04-16 15:37
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$47	11,656	11,656	+0	No	+$0	04-24 08:30
Will Dreamcash launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-23 18:59
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?	3	$24	6,060	6,060	+0	open	—	04-16 11:41
Will Titan launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-23 18:59
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 500 519	2	$17	1,730	1,644	+86	open	—	04-17 07:58
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-23 18:58
Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	03-23 18:58
Over $100M committed to the Fluent public sale?	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	04-08 10:16
Will Ventuals launch a token by March 31 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-23 18:58
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-08 10:16
Will USD.AI launch a token on April 8?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-08 10:17
Will Rabby launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-23 18:58
Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-23 19:17
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 560 579	2	$5	1,368	1,299	+68	open	—	04-17 07:58
Will Hylo launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	03-23 19:16
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 520 539	2	$3	431	410	+21	open	—	04-17 07:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 15:46:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	82	68¢	$56	0x10f9c4…
05-25 12:49:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	82	62¢	$51	0x9b9898…
04-28 12:53:14	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	350	91¢	$318	0xbc6643…
04-28 12:52:52	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	91¢	$318	0xf33e69…
04-27 08:30:14	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	222	12¢	$26	0x05a8c6…
04-27 08:27:32	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	138	12¢	$16	0x9e9fd5…
04-26 18:05:06	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	360	12¢	$42	0xc22b32…
04-25 04:00:34	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	198	100¢	$197	0xd55d5d…
04-25 03:31:22	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7b06bf…
04-25 03:26:26	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x0a04d9…
04-25 03:03:04	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x52c891…
04-25 02:41:06	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf407fa…
04-25 02:29:18	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x359021…
04-25 02:11:12	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcdac0e…
04-25 02:09:20	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x711e7f…
04-25 01:50:56	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6e6021…
04-25 01:40:44	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd3846d…
04-25 01:35:10	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x361fa9…
04-24 08:30:56	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5,833	0¢	$12	0x9e2fbc…
04-24 08:12:52	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,833	0¢	$12	0x716b0f…
04-23 14:22:46	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5,823	0¢	$12	0x0a8da5…
04-23 14:08:44	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,823	0¢	$12	0x48f705…
04-23 10:48:24	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x5238af…
04-22 11:10:48	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	258	99¢	$257	0x761f30…
04-22 08:41:02	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	253	100¢	$253	0x7e0dee…
04-17 07:58:38	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 560 579	Yes	SELL	1,299	0¢	$3	0x7a45d2…
04-17 07:58:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 520 539	Yes	SELL	410	0¢	$2	0x59c4fb…
04-17 07:58:22	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 500 519	Yes	SELL	1,644	0¢	$8	0x036a75…
04-17 07:53:22	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 560 579	Yes	BUY	1,368	0¢	$3	0xe608ec…
04-17 07:53:14	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 520 539	Yes	BUY	431	0¢	$2	0xa2f756…
04-17 07:53:06	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 500 519	Yes	BUY	1,730	0¢	$9	0x80321d…
04-16 15:37:56	Fluent FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x09bfc9…
04-16 11:41:04	Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	635	0¢	$1	0xf7d028…
04-16 11:38:42	Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,425	0¢	$11	0x70a8aa…
04-16 11:37:12	Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,060	0¢	$12	0x51651a…
04-10 20:09:37	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa3810e…
04-08 10:46:33	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$252	0xe34a82…
04-08 10:17:47	Will USD.AI launch a token on April 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x776717…
04-08 10:17:37	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x324698…
04-08 10:17:27	Fluent FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x544e62…
04-08 10:16:45	Over $100M committed to the Fluent public sale?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe24982…
04-08 10:16:23	Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x3087db…
04-04 18:22:21	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	Yes	SELL	15,318	0¢	$46	0x480e81…
04-04 18:19:01	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	Yes	BUY	16,122	0¢	$48	0xe3b8b2…
04-04 10:24:05	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	Yes	SELL	366	0¢	$2	0x6e569f…
04-04 10:22:15	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	Yes	SELL	3,625	0¢	$18	0x067612…
04-04 10:15:33	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xafa4b0…
04-04 10:13:11	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	Yes	BUY	4,200	0¢	$21	0x1e6c86…
03-25 11:22:59	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	239	99¢	$237	0x5c5485…
03-25 07:02:17	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	SELL	336	0¢	$1	0xc44e0f…
03-24 21:50:29	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x54b27a…
03-24 20:32:17	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	Yes	SELL	3,628	0¢	$11	0x2a9134…
03-24 20:32:15	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x2fc314…
03-24 20:31:43	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	SELL	12,170	0¢	$24	0x7137bb…
03-24 20:02:43	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xbd362d…
03-24 20:02:41	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x472b17…
03-24 19:26:35	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	BUY	12,719	0¢	$25	0x1769e2…
03-24 19:26:13	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	Yes	BUY	6,874	0¢	$21	0xaa43e4…
03-24 19:08:39	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	Yes	SELL	6,268	0¢	$19	0x6d80c1…
03-24 19:07:51	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	SELL	8,076	0¢	$16	0x0ee6fc…
03-24 19:03:21	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0x7d1db7…
03-24 18:01:11	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	Yes	SELL	545	0¢	$2	0xef5306…
03-24 17:32:39	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	Yes	BUY	6,813	0¢	$20	0x3d4259…
03-24 17:32:17	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	BUY	8,106	0¢	$16	0xc6034f…
03-23 19:17:01	Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x26d8e8…
03-23 19:16:41	Will Hylo launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x3570e1…
03-23 18:59:41	Will Titan launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x50b378…
03-23 18:59:27	Will Dreamcash launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf12797…
03-23 18:58:59	Will Ventuals launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6dec21…
03-23 18:58:45	Will Rabby launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3cb63a…
03-23 18:58:27	Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x60efe4…
03-23 18:58:09	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xafaf44…