Vigorous-Range — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

21.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$27.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$846

Open exposure

$28

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-17 08:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

98% 0% $-0

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	No		+28	$28	100¢	$28	$-0	06-17 08:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$27.0K	13,592	13,592	+0	open	—	01-07 13:16
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$170	86	86	+0	open	—	03-07 01:32
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$165	83	83	+0	open	—	04-27 08:18
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$91	46	46	+0	open	—	04-20 03:18
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	1	$85	85	0	+85	open	—	01-11 09:28
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$-0	04-19 03:47
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	03-07 07:30
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	06-17 08:36
nhl nyr tor 2026 03 25	1	$27	55	0	+55	open	—	03-25 06:34
cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	1	$24	51	0	+51	open	—	03-27 05:26
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-08 06:48
nhl tor ana 2026 03 30	1	$22	34	0	+34	open	—	03-30 03:10
cbb ucla uconn 2026 03 22	1	$22	34	0	+34	open	—	03-22 07:21
Will XRP reach $2.60 in May?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	05-23 07:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	05-05 06:37
nba ind chi 2026 04 01	1	$14	22	0	+22	open	—	04-01 06:28
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	1	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	04-08 07:49
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-08 04:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-27 02:27
nba det orl 2026 04 06	1	$8	13	0	+13	open	—	04-06 05:55
nhl buf nyr 2026 04 08	1	$8	18	0	+18	open	—	04-08 06:00
nba por sas 2026 04 08	1	$7	18	0	+18	open	—	04-08 04:01
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$7	11	0	+11	open	—	05-15 02:39
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	02-27 14:40
nba phi sas 2026 04 06	1	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	04-06 06:51
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 spo1	1	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	04-07 06:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 08:36:13	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf35777…
05-27 02:27:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x28a27e…
05-23 07:13:14	Will XRP reach $2.60 in May?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcd672a…
05-15 02:39:00	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xeb73b8…
05-05 06:37:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x61c29c…
04-27 08:18:42	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x241d16…
04-27 07:02:26	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x090945…
04-21 08:39:56	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xdc6208…
04-21 07:29:12	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x63453f…
04-20 03:18:22	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$45	0xac6192…
04-20 02:02:10	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xf41c85…
04-19 03:47:26	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xfb443a…
04-19 02:22:30	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x56e3d5…
04-08 07:49:37	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xf3d854…
04-08 06:00:25	nhl buf nyr 2026 04 08	Rangers	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x4b13be…
04-08 04:41:39	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0xa50ef7…
04-08 04:01:45	nba por sas 2026 04 08	Trail Blazers	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x907fc5…
04-07 06:57:47	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 spo1	Yes	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x648651…
04-06 06:51:51	nba phi sas 2026 04 06	76ers	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0xe889e6…
04-06 05:55:09	nba det orl 2026 04 06	Pistons	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xe713a3…
04-01 06:28:37	nba ind chi 2026 04 01	Bulls	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x234690…
03-30 03:10:18	nhl tor ana 2026 03 30	Ducks	BUY	34	64¢	$22	0x30b3c1…
03-27 05:26:57	cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	Michigan State Spartans	BUY	51	46¢	$24	0x0abdf7…
03-25 06:34:13	nhl nyr tor 2026 03 25	Maple Leafs	BUY	55	48¢	$27	0x98af7d…
03-22 07:21:01	cbb ucla uconn 2026 03 22	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	34	65¢	$22	0xb8596e…
03-08 06:48:07	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x8592cf…
03-07 07:30:01	Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xda9e6c…
03-07 01:32:31	Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0x670cf9…
02-27 14:40:53	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x022473…
02-14 09:29:31	Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$85	0xe10791…
01-11 09:28:08	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xc5d240…
01-07 13:16:01	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	13,592	99¢	$13,510	0x0b7b38…
01-07 13:14:47	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	13,592	100¢	$13,524	0x4d3d67…