Friendly-Polo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

Trades

162

lifetime

Volume

$9.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

$57

1 position

First seen

2026-02-24

last 06-29 08:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 67% +$22

Politics

7% — —

Other

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		-57	$-56	100¢	$-57	$-1	06-29 08:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776436800	2	$509	277	274	+3	open	—	04-17 14:45
btc updown 5m 1772455500	6	$436	354	349	+5	open	—	03-02 12:50
btc updown 5m 1772400000	4	$335	231	229	+2	open	—	03-01 21:24
btc updown 5m 1772400300	2	$324	176	176	+1	open	—	03-01 21:30
btc updown 5m 1772256300	2	$296	201	198	+3	open	—	02-28 05:30
btc updown 5m 1772399700	3	$287	486	197	+289	open	—	03-01 21:19
btc updown 5m 1772399400	2	$275	183	180	+3	open	—	03-01 21:13
btc updown 5m 1772455200	2	$262	213	209	+3	open	—	03-02 12:42
btc updown 5m 1772309400	2	$248	156	154	+2	open	—	02-28 20:13
btc updown 5m 1772465700	2	$244	152	150	+2	open	—	03-02 15:38
btc updown 5m 1772465400	2	$237	140	139	+1	open	—	03-02 15:34
btc updown 5m 1772307900	2	$234	137	136	+1	open	—	02-28 19:50
btc updown 5m 1772454900	3	$228	223	124	+98	open	—	03-02 12:38
btc updown 5m 1772454600	2	$225	192	189	+3	open	—	03-02 12:31
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$223	159	159	+0	open	—	03-08 12:19
btc updown 5m 1772256600	2	$217	119	119	+1	open	—	02-28 05:34
btc updown 5m 1772454300	4	$210	199	196	+3	open	—	03-02 12:29
btc updown 5m 1772256000	2	$205	106	106	+0	open	—	02-28 05:26
btc updown 5m 1772479200	2	$190	143	141	+2	open	—	03-02 19:22
btc updown 5m 1772308500	5	$184	100	100	+0	open	—	02-28 20:00
btc updown 5m 1772454000	2	$161	125	123	+2	open	—	03-02 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$145	102	102	+0	Up	+$45	05-05 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$107	128	128	+0	open	—	05-01 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$104	72	72	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 19:37
btc updown 5m 1772458200	1	$100	187	0	+187	open	—	03-02 13:30
btc updown 5m 1772465100	1	$100	194	0	+194	open	—	03-02 15:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$100	119	0	+119	open	—	02-27 10:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$100	182	0	+182	open	—	03-12 13:27
will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	1	$100	143	0	+143	open	—	02-26 17:09
btc updown 5m 1772256900	1	$100	145	0	+145	open	—	02-28 05:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 08:24:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x1415c6…
06-26 23:02:01	btc updown 5m 1782514800	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xedaaa6…
06-06 15:10:51	btc updown 5m 1780758600	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xedef62…
06-06 15:05:27	btc updown 5m 1780758300	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x3ac8fa…
06-04 18:55:42	btc updown 5m 1780599300	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x7bbd6e…
06-02 16:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xf28af5…
06-02 16:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xd2e604…
05-28 08:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x0ec1f7…
05-28 08:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	105	24¢	$25	0xa81af0…
05-28 08:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x24d778…
05-28 08:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x6509f8…
05-28 08:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x3c76e8…
05-18 15:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x387dab…
05-16 10:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x96a75a…
05-16 10:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xc702a5…
05-15 06:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xe2775a…
05-15 06:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xbeceee…
05-15 06:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	71	46¢	$33	0x64db3b…
05-15 06:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xa5a807…
05-15 06:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x94b32e…
05-14 16:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x2cc4bd…
05-13 22:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x9b923d…
05-13 06:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x1f29ed…
05-12 06:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	52	50¢	$26	0x92a0ce…
05-12 06:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x106df2…
05-12 06:07:41	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	213	28¢	$59	0x4a30d8…
05-08 08:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	64	49¢	$31	0xba4805…
05-08 08:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x62457a…
05-06 19:47:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x0c3e93…
05-06 19:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x82af44…
05-06 19:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	24	73¢	$18	0x23d08f…
05-06 19:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	48	76¢	$36	0xaef2f4…
05-06 19:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xd554c7…
05-06 19:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xa5f058…
05-05 15:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x73ca97…
05-05 15:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	41	77¢	$32	0x265530…
05-05 15:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xbf6eca…
05-05 15:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xea16be…
05-05 15:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xc02889…
05-05 15:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x2fbd48…
05-05 15:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x4f03d2…
05-05 15:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	102	93¢	$95	0x342782…
05-05 15:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x80b972…
05-05 15:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x6b2049…
05-03 16:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x328ade…
05-03 16:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xaf608e…
05-03 16:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xee83f2…
05-03 16:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xff672f…
05-01 08:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	128	45¢	$57	0x5cc84c…
05-01 08:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0x40d6a1…
05-01 08:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xbd04e6…
05-01 08:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xd380c0…
05-01 08:15:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x2935b7…
05-01 08:12:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x4aaf20…
05-01 08:05:22	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	213	9¢	$20	0x958874…
04-17 14:48:36	btc updown 5m 1776437100	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xfc951a…
04-17 14:45:16	btc updown 5m 1776436800	Up	SELL	274	99¢	$271	0x04c312…
04-17 14:42:42	btc updown 5m 1776436800	Up	BUY	277	86¢	$238	0x1c09f5…
04-14 07:56:39	btc updown 5m 1776153300	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x4617ef…
03-21 17:25:29	btc updown 5m 1774113900	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x253dc8…
03-21 17:24:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xb4de19…
03-19 19:59:37	btc updown 5m 1773950100	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$6	0xc066e8…
03-19 19:59:37	btc updown 5m 1773950100	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x88ae4a…
03-19 19:59:37	btc updown 5m 1773950100	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x7c0bb6…
03-19 19:59:37	btc updown 5m 1773950100	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x6052c2…
03-19 19:59:37	btc updown 5m 1773950100	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x1220c0…
03-14 07:50:15	btc updown 5m 1773474300	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x69b908…
03-14 07:45:29	btc updown 5m 1773474300	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x2c96c6…
03-14 07:45:11	btc updown 5m 1773474000	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xdd3781…
03-14 07:42:07	btc updown 5m 1773474000	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x964056…
03-14 07:40:15	btc updown 5m 1773473700	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x31cd36…
03-14 07:35:35	btc updown 5m 1773473700	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xdea785…
03-12 13:27:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x495bb4…
03-08 12:19:09	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	159	77¢	$123	0x25db1c…
03-05 08:38:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	168	54¢	$90	0x08bb4e…
03-03 17:36:15	btc updown 5m 1772559300	Down	BUY	77	56¢	$43	0x1c7f70…
03-03 17:33:11	btc updown 5m 1772559000	Down	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0xd3eb4b…
03-03 17:31:39	btc updown 5m 1772559000	Down	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x59b961…
03-02 19:36:21	btc updown 5m 1772480100	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xd1c2e7…
03-02 19:26:41	btc updown 5m 1772479500	Up	SELL	34	43¢	$15	0xeca4f6…
03-02 19:25:27	btc updown 5m 1772479500	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xedc79d…
03-02 19:22:43	btc updown 5m 1772479200	Down	SELL	141	64¢	$90	0x13478b…
03-02 19:20:33	btc updown 5m 1772479200	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x63823b…
03-02 15:48:01	btc updown 5m 1772466300	Up	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xd17af4…
03-02 15:45:07	btc updown 5m 1772466000	Up	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0x600862…
03-02 15:42:03	btc updown 5m 1772466000	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x4df988…
03-02 15:38:01	btc updown 5m 1772465700	Up	SELL	150	96¢	$144	0x826726…
03-02 15:35:31	btc updown 5m 1772465700	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x96d99f…
03-02 15:34:49	btc updown 5m 1772465400	Up	SELL	139	99¢	$137	0x362099…
03-02 15:31:41	btc updown 5m 1772465400	Up	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0xe130da…
03-02 15:25:59	btc updown 5m 1772465100	Up	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0xed4d54…
03-02 14:05:19	btc updown 5m 1772460000	Down	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x643edc…
03-02 14:01:59	btc updown 5m 1772460000	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x777c84…
03-02 13:39:21	btc updown 5m 1772458500	Down	SELL	33	77¢	$26	0xc3123e…
03-02 13:35:37	btc updown 5m 1772458500	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x44e9c4…
03-02 13:30:11	btc updown 5m 1772458200	Down	BUY	187	54¢	$100	0x6669aa…
03-02 13:25:51	btc updown 5m 1772457900	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x551bf1…
03-02 13:03:23	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0xb4e2b3…
03-02 13:02:05	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x522562…
03-02 13:00:07	btc updown 5m 1772456100	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x431261…