Opulent-Disarmament — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$365

Unrealized P&L

-$61

Hit rate

78.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$62

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-13 02:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Sports

69% 75% +$327

Other

30% 67% +$37

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	+28	$20	98¢	$28	+$8	05-06 20:10
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	+3,648	$78	1¢	$24	$-54	05-11 02:31
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Wolves	+96	$23	8¢	$8	$-15	05-11 02:10
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+49	$2	5¢	$2	$-0	05-10 16:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$130	371	0	+371	Spurs	$-130	05-09 04:07
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$120	255	0	+255	Timberwolves	+$135	05-11 00:44
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	2	$120	178	0	+178	OpTic Texas	+$58	05-09 19:57
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$110	333	0	+333	Timberwolves	+$223	05-05 03:39
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	1	$100	109	0	+109	Toronto KOI	+$9	05-08 21:41
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$100	114	0	+114	Thunder	+$14	05-08 01:32
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$80	92	0	+92	Knicks	+$12	05-10 20:11
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$78	3,648	0	+3,648	open	—	05-11 02:31
Knicks vs. 76ers	2	$70	151	0	+151	Knicks	+$81	05-09 00:19
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	2	$51	63	45	+19	G2 Minnesota	$-49	05-10 21:56
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$50	62	0	+62	Knicks	+$12	05-06 17:58
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	1	$50	69	0	+69	OpTic Texas	+$19	05-08 18:42
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	4	$30	135	930	-795	Spurs	$-20	05-13 02:11
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$23	96	0	+96	open	—	05-11 02:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$20	28	0	+28	open	—	05-06 20:10
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas - Game 3 Winner	1	$12	0	12	-12	OpTic Texas	$-0	05-08 23:06
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Miami Heretics (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	1	$10	11	0	+11	Miami Heretics	+$1	05-10 20:41
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	1	$2	49	0	+49	open	—	05-10 16:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 02:11:13	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	930	1¢	$5	0x5db742…
05-13 00:41:04	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x51e7cf…
05-13 00:36:40	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x12540e…
05-13 00:16:06	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xfd86de…
05-11 02:31:03	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,034	3¢	$30	0x2bf0b6…
05-11 02:10:29	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Wolves	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xa499fe…
05-11 00:44:44	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xdb740a…
05-11 00:33:17	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Wolves	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x054111…
05-11 00:20:07	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0x11a6f3…
05-11 00:19:52	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xdf08b2…
05-10 21:56:23	Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	Los Angeles Thieves	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0xcb9dac…
05-10 21:21:13	Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xecb459…
05-10 20:41:45	Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Miami Heretics (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	Miami Heretics	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x66a1e8…
05-10 20:11:53	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	92	87¢	$80	0x74dbec…
05-10 16:40:34	Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	49	5¢	$2	0xab1696…
05-10 07:12:30	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,538	1¢	$20	0x1ccf09…
05-09 19:57:08	Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	OpTic Texas	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x8ce304…
05-09 04:07:48	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0xec40b8…
05-09 04:05:17	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x343133…
05-09 00:19:22	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xa42c94…
05-08 23:06:34	Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas - Game 3 Winner	OpTic Texas	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xbeb39e…
05-08 22:11:33	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xe65dbc…
05-08 21:41:24	Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	Toronto KOI	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xa6fa8e…
05-08 18:42:57	Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	OpTic Texas	BUY	69	73¢	$50	0x816cc0…
05-08 01:32:15	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x7143b3…
05-06 20:10:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x1c9e35…
05-06 17:58:32	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x2c6786…
05-05 22:50:02	Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	OpTic Texas	BUY	102	69¢	$70	0x25f19f…
05-05 21:54:32	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	450	4¢	$18	0x7c2cb2…
05-05 03:39:54	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	133	45¢	$60	0xf67e9e…
05-05 03:35:30	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x5a0791…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	10	$202.6K	2,298	05-13 02:18
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	10	$1.25K	56	05-13 03:32
(anonymous) 0x5375…aeea	9	$270.4K	574	05-13 02:08
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	9	$22.7K	128	05-13 22:11
Genuine-Instructor 0xff12…09f9	8	$236.0K	136	05-13 02:28
Exemplary-Ship 0xe9b7…8030	8	$22.7K	425	05-13 02:28
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	8	$20.5K	304	05-13 01:36
Cuddly-Will 0x7fea…8f74	8	$16.3K	61	05-13 01:17