Conventional-Refund — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$115

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

285

Trades

1,057

lifetime

Volume

$25.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-15 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% +$115

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 281 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	9	$1.5K	1,115	1,115	+0	open	—	05-04 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	8	$1.5K	1,019	1,019	+0	open	—	05-04 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	3	$1.2K	870	870	+0	Up	+$375	05-09 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	5	$921	537	537	+0	open	—	05-04 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	4	$818	539	539	+0	open	—	05-04 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	5	$779	502	502	+0	open	—	05-04 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	5	$749	553	553	+0	open	—	05-04 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	5	$709	579	579	+0	open	—	05-04 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	5	$692	420	420	+0	open	—	05-04 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	7	$672	477	477	+0	open	—	05-04 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	5	$671	396	396	+0	open	—	05-04 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$625	335	335	+0	Down	+$25	05-13 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	6	$487	645	645	+0	open	—	05-04 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	6	$487	314	314	+0	open	—	05-04 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	3	$410	439	220	+220	open	—	05-04 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$400	801	0	+801	open	—	05-14 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	4	$400	847	0	+847	Down	$-400	05-05 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$400	666	0	+666	Down	+$266	05-05 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$386	1,689	0	+1,689	Up	$-386	05-08 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$334	667	0	+667	Down	+$333	05-12 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$328	370	185	+185	open	—	05-04 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$300	1,323	0	+1,323	open	—	05-15 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	3	$300	414	0	+414	open	—	05-04 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$298	453	0	+453	open	—	04-30 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	3	$287	467	0	+467	open	—	05-04 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$269	178	178	+0	open	—	05-04 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$235	150	150	+0	open	—	05-04 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$218	595	595	+0	open	—	04-30 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$200	317	0	+317	open	—	05-04 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$200	225	0	+225	open	—	05-04 15:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 17:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	183	50¢	$91	0x7dfdee…
05-15 16:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	906	11¢	$100	0x120803…
05-15 16:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	416	48¢	$200	0x07d542…
05-14 10:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xdaf31f…
05-14 09:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	801	50¢	$400	0xb42f1b…
05-14 09:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x8fef3a…
05-14 09:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xd35462…
05-14 09:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0xbc9d7f…
05-14 09:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x4f5e71…
05-14 08:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x2f1adc…
05-14 08:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x9c6ef6…
05-14 06:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xe47e60…
05-14 06:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x5a5c3e…
05-14 06:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xbf0df3…
05-14 06:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x84e616…
05-14 06:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2e6e3b…
05-14 06:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x36c252…
05-14 06:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2234d0…
05-14 06:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x8bb125…
05-14 06:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8a14c4…
05-14 06:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa792d9…
05-14 06:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x34b10c…
05-14 05:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x5c21eb…
05-14 05:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xe0a1f6…
05-14 05:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x896e64…
05-14 05:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x4191e8…
05-14 05:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xd3b324…
05-14 05:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x95f2d1…
05-14 05:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xca7d68…
05-14 05:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x89ef75…
05-14 03:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x903088…
05-14 03:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x6a6bfe…
05-14 02:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x5ea62f…
05-14 02:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x40edb1…
05-14 02:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xd57d57…
05-14 01:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x86e0f1…
05-14 01:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xd556d5…
05-14 01:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x095654…
05-14 01:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5fb9e7…
05-14 00:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x20b953…
05-14 00:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x28a5bb…
05-14 00:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xb15f04…
05-14 00:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8822f2…
05-14 00:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x3fdcf8…
05-14 00:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x2096ef…
05-14 00:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xafc43c…
05-14 00:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xe2418b…
05-14 00:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x103eff…
05-13 23:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x7364a2…
05-13 23:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x6a54a4…
05-13 21:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xf6dd55…
05-13 21:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb04374…
05-13 21:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x14aeae…
05-13 21:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xd368a1…
05-13 21:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x992aee…
05-13 21:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x214265…
05-13 21:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xe17a03…
05-13 21:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x6d1d0e…
05-13 21:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x5f3e6a…
05-13 18:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc38eec…
05-13 18:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x79f596…
05-13 18:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x1e32d9…
05-13 18:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7fdc6c…
05-13 18:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3e2a5e…
05-13 18:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x6221e0…
05-13 18:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0xde0cb0…
05-13 18:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd638d2…
05-13 18:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x96ba8c…
05-13 16:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x14ff10…
05-13 16:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xbb098e…
05-13 15:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x7bd2b4…
05-13 15:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x53716b…
05-13 15:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xefd0c6…
05-13 15:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc8196f…
05-13 15:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xc2d9a9…
05-13 15:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x10e1f2…
05-13 15:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x4687f8…
05-13 15:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	63¢	$0	0xb53e8c…
05-13 15:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x9b8637…
05-13 15:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xa28ae9…
05-13 15:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xe9a1cf…
05-13 15:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2128d0…
05-13 15:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x112c17…
05-13 15:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x3cae8d…
05-13 15:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xab5d1e…
05-13 15:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x045c0d…
05-13 15:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$4	0xc8408d…
05-13 15:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd345f9…
05-13 15:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x241eb2…
05-13 15:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xc6181a…
05-13 15:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0xa68937…
05-13 15:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xb5c840…
05-13 15:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x99c402…
05-13 15:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x03f612…
05-13 15:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xd09c55…
05-13 15:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x3a5936…
05-13 14:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x5cb2ff…
05-13 14:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xd44918…
05-13 14:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xd1d659…
05-13 14:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x2f036e…