Unlawful-Bowtie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-29 09:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 50% $-2

Other

32% — —

Politics

11% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on march 1	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	03-01 07:06
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 280 299	1	$109	109	+109	open	—	02-02 03:31
bitcoin above 76k on march 4	1	$107	107	+107	open	—	03-04 08:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 27?	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	04-26 08:42
bitcoin above 68k on april 22	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	04-21 08:35
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 240plus	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	04-15 07:53
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	04-30 03:19
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 400 419	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	04-08 02:26
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	03-31 08:05
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 25	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	03-25 10:23
military action against iran ends on march 19 2026	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	03-18 07:54
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 300 319	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	02-11 07:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	1	$104	104	+104	Yes	+$0	05-08 08:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	05-25 09:32
ethereum above 3400 on january 13	1	$88	88	+88	open	—	01-13 09:50
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 400 419	1	$88	88	+88	open	—	01-08 03:51
bitcoin above 86k on january 4	1	$88	88	+88	open	—	01-04 02:16
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 9	1	$55	55	+55	open	—	03-09 09:21
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	1	$52	52	+52	open	—	03-09 09:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	1	$51	51	+51	open	—	05-21 02:31
nba hou det 2026 01 23 spread home 4pt5	1	$21	42	+42	open	—	01-23 06:31
will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$2	2	+2	open	—	02-11 07:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	1	$2	1,080	+1,080	No	$-2	05-08 08:28
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 360 379	1	$1	700	+700	open	—	03-04 08:15
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	1	$1	700	+700	open	—	03-18 07:50
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 380 399	1	$1	700	+700	open	—	03-04 08:13
will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	02-11 07:47
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 380 399	1	$1	509	+509	open	—	01-04 01:48
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	1	$1	500	+500	open	—	05-29 09:54
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	500	+500	open	—	05-29 09:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 09:54:54	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9f5107…
05-29 09:54:45	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x8015d3…
05-25 09:32:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x0e1b10…
05-21 02:31:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xdd75ac…
05-08 08:30:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x4173e2…
05-08 08:28:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,080	0¢	$2	0x9a642e…
04-30 03:19:24	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xf9e349…
04-26 08:42:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xc49681…
04-21 08:35:40	bitcoin above 68k on april 22	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x3b2a0e…
04-15 07:53:06	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 240plus	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x2f6af1…
04-08 02:26:23	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 400 419	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xb81054…
03-31 08:05:31	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x9e61fb…
03-25 10:23:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 25	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xf6cb7c…
03-18 07:54:19	military action against iran ends on march 19 2026	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x2c8ebd…
03-18 07:50:37	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0xe5d5a1…
03-09 09:21:05	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 9	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x1dfaf3…
03-09 09:20:51	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x831ce1…
03-04 08:21:15	bitcoin above 76k on march 4	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x98622f…
03-04 08:15:05	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 360 379	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x656eac…
03-04 08:13:27	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 380 399	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0xbc2cfa…
03-01 07:06:37	will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on march 1	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xc24988…
02-11 07:47:23	will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe55478…
02-11 07:47:11	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa34447…
02-11 07:46:57	will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdae302…
02-11 07:22:49	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 300 319	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xd0fe7e…
02-02 03:31:06	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 280 299	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xcddf68…
01-23 06:31:04	nba hou det 2026 01 23 spread home 4pt5	Rockets	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0xc3e2e6…
01-13 09:50:21	ethereum above 3400 on january 13	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xb829e3…
01-08 03:51:49	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 400 419	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x2f1e14…
01-04 02:16:01	bitcoin above 86k on january 4	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x8f12b4…
01-04 01:48:03	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 380 399	Yes	BUY	509	0¢	$1	0x8bad4b…