Buoyant-Simple — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$117

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$422

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 06-07 13:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

50% 0% $-117

Politics

47% — —

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	10	$117	3,407	1,112	+2,295	No	$-79	03-16 19:41
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	4	$71	4,769	269	+4,500	open	—	02-18 15:24
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$55	136	0	+136	open	—	02-28 06:37
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$41	1,483	200	+1,283	open	—	02-18 15:24
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$33	1,660	0	+1,660	No	$-33	03-24 06:45
World Championships: Slovenia vs. Italy	2	$27	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 20:15
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	1	$25	34	0	+34	open	—	02-27 18:04
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	4	$19	13	13	+0	open	—	05-26 20:42
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$10	149	0	+149	open	—	03-09 11:09
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	2	$7	37	0	+37	open	—	06-07 13:36
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	1	$6	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	02-03 07:03
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	1	$5	398	0	+398	No	$-5	04-17 07:29
mwoh usa slo 2026 02 20	1	$4	29	0	+29	open	—	02-20 18:15
xrp updown 15m 1771504200	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	02-19 12:30
eth updown 15m 1771503300	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	02-19 12:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 13:36:25	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xf0515f…
06-06 19:47:31	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x118303…
05-26 20:42:39	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Switzerland	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x2111d1…
05-26 20:40:36	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Switzerland	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xcfcd55…
05-26 20:40:28	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Switzerland	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x5e6ed4…
05-26 07:44:02	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Switzerland	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x5874f4…
05-25 20:15:56	World Championships: Slovenia vs. Italy	Slovenia	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0x505828…
05-25 15:25:24	World Championships: Slovenia vs. Italy	Slovenia	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x227129…
04-17 07:29:50	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	398	1¢	$5	0x78cb81…
03-24 06:45:03	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	412	2¢	$7	0xbe3732…
03-19 05:30:49	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	323	2¢	$7	0xc82b48…
03-16 19:41:03	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0x2a2c8c…
03-16 06:47:05	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	925	2¢	$19	0x63b21e…
03-16 06:46:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1,112	2¢	$19	0x119fd4…
03-10 09:50:13	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	318	2¢	$7	0x816d65…
03-09 21:05:41	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$7	0x1513ed…
03-09 11:09:11	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	149	7¢	$10	0xed7469…
03-08 08:38:57	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	382	3¢	$10	0xbc4659…
03-05 19:57:23	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xd951e5…
03-05 09:15:43	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	449	4¢	$17	0x7e291a…
03-05 07:17:31	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	656	3¢	$21	0x07617e…
03-05 06:29:45	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	323	3¢	$10	0xf3ee8a…
03-05 05:36:01	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	484	3¢	$15	0x48c422…
02-28 06:37:57	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x142da0…
02-28 06:22:27	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd72f95…
02-28 06:20:51	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x10059a…
02-28 06:20:19	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xacd310…
02-28 06:19:41	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4e420a…
02-27 18:13:49	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x72ea6b…
02-27 18:04:05	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x3d8064…
02-20 18:15:38	mwoh usa slo 2026 02 20	Slovakia	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x6fdb4e…
02-19 12:30:48	xrp updown 15m 1771504200	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc32a1d…
02-19 12:25:54	eth updown 15m 1771503300	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3ad509…
02-18 15:24:48	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	269	3¢	$9	0x103da4…
02-18 15:24:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	200	6¢	$11	0x45ef6f…
02-03 11:12:18	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,308	1¢	$17	0x74c0a7…
02-03 11:00:56	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,154	1¢	$15	0x836b36…
02-03 07:03:50	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$6	0xe2a45d…
02-03 07:02:52	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,308	1¢	$30	0x45a9a0…
02-03 07:02:20	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	1,483	2¢	$30	0xd96821…