Authentic-Bus-Guard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$78

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$1.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-14 05:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 58% $-78

Other

5% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$66	43	43	+0	Up	+$16	05-09 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$54	37	37	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 20:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	3	$53	941	941	+0	open	—	05-09 13:40
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$50	35	35	+0	open	—	05-14 03:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	4	$32	19	19	+0	Down	+$6	05-14 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$28	33	33	+0	Down	+$8	05-09 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	3	$28	24	24	+0	Up	+$8	05-14 05:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$25	31	0	+31	Up	+$6	05-09 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$25	33	0	+33	Down	$-25	05-09 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$25	44	0	+44	Up	$-25	05-09 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$25	30	0	+30	Down	+$5	05-09 09:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$25	30	0	+30	Up	+$5	05-09 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$21	73	0	+73	Up	$-21	05-09 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$21	25	25	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$16	106	8	+98	Up	$-4	05-09 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$16	12	12	+0	Down	+$6	05-09 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$15	32	0	+32	Up	$-15	05-14 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-13 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$13	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$12	23	23	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$12	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$12	24	0	+24	Down	$-12	05-09 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 12:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 05:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x6ae082…
05-14 05:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0xa48e2c…
05-14 05:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x27fab7…
05-14 05:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x176c14…
05-14 05:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4d35f5…
05-14 05:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd72046…
05-14 05:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x01188a…
05-14 05:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x1878a3…
05-14 05:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x34f07a…
05-14 05:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x5e9b5c…
05-14 05:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x4392dc…
05-14 05:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	24	74¢	$18	0xe6b7f7…
05-14 05:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xac39e4…
05-14 05:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x670a99…
05-14 05:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9798ef…
05-14 05:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xf18491…
05-14 05:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x79d016…
05-14 05:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xc57828…
05-14 05:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x43a802…
05-14 04:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x613b1d…
05-14 04:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5c3950…
05-14 04:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x39515b…
05-14 03:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x08c2b2…
05-14 03:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd5caf9…
05-14 03:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x321e0a…
05-14 03:31:32	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	35	70¢	$25	0xa1f726…
05-14 03:24:08	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x6a7778…
05-13 18:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa12d38…
05-13 18:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x37d058…
05-13 18:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x7c778b…
05-13 18:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x32ee44…
05-13 18:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xfe63bb…
05-13 18:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x5a06de…
05-13 18:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2fe73a…
05-13 18:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x52084a…
05-13 18:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc77a7f…
05-13 18:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2a3796…
05-10 10:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x5578c2…
05-10 10:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0xb40306…
05-10 10:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x51395d…
05-09 21:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xdda114…
05-09 21:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8b422f…
05-09 20:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x791224…
05-09 20:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xd67b9a…
05-09 20:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe763e3…
05-09 20:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	37	77¢	$29	0x21cdb9…
05-09 20:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x74988b…
05-09 20:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4468e8…
05-09 20:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xf9231d…
05-09 20:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x6baae5…
05-09 20:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0xbe3feb…
05-09 20:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc3631e…
05-09 20:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	23	33¢	$7	0xd20cc7…
05-09 20:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x6014c8…
05-09 20:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x10961c…
05-09 20:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xffab97…
05-09 20:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1ec3f9…
05-09 20:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x21cbfc…
05-09 20:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x01ca92…
05-09 19:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	47¢	$7	0x2a4107…
05-09 19:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd0b718…
05-09 14:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7c549d…
05-09 14:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x453975…
05-09 14:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0x9023ee…
05-09 14:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0x23b24b…
05-09 14:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x3378f6…
05-09 14:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x493c7f…
05-09 14:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe34101…
05-09 14:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	13	44¢	$6	0x70674a…
05-09 14:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xab5e0c…
05-09 14:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0x64a197…
05-09 14:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x350af0…
05-09 14:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x916efb…
05-09 14:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xbeb577…
05-09 13:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$7	0xa3ac84…
05-09 13:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7c08e9…
05-09 13:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x197b39…
05-09 13:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x770c92…
05-09 13:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x4a7cd4…
05-09 13:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1d9118…
05-09 13:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	84¢	$7	0xa24ff5…
05-09 13:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x90d6a6…
05-09 13:40:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	941	3¢	$26	0xcb4558…
05-09 13:00:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	904	3¢	$25	0x996031…
05-09 12:59:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x823428…
05-09 12:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x399417…
05-09 12:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0x20f457…
05-09 12:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0x058fdc…
05-09 12:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2e94e7…
05-09 12:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0xf7a7e4…
05-09 12:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xe0a1aa…
05-09 12:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd72f46…
05-09 11:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd0d402…
05-09 11:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x48e746…
05-09 11:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x5a1ed9…
05-09 11:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7148dc…
05-09 11:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2fbda3…
05-09 11:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xeb767e…
05-09 11:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0xd1db23…
05-09 11:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x39be45…