Educated-Bead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 05-21 12:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

60% 100% +$2

Politics

18% — —

Crypto

18% 100% +$0

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	4	$1.1K	700	700	+0	open	—	02-10 10:43
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$407	220	220	+0	open	—	02-10 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	4	$133	163	88	+75	open	—	05-21 12:08
nba den mem 2026 01 25	1	$100	114	0	+114	open	—	03-18 12:57
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	1	$100	122	0	+122	open	—	05-19 11:01
btc updown 5m 1773405300	2	$58	100	100	+0	open	—	03-13 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	3	$56	107	0	+107	open	—	05-21 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$50	85	0	+85	open	—	05-21 12:15
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	1	$35	59	0	+59	open	—	04-30 13:22
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	1	$30	39	0	+39	open	—	04-11 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$23	48	48	+0	open	—	05-21 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	4	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	04-29 04:52
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 400 419	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	01-30 13:20
btc updown 5m 1773659700	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	03-16 11:19
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 65 89	1	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	01-28 11:44
btc updown 5m 1774257000	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-23 09:15
btc updown 5m 1773660600	2	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	03-16 11:32
cricipl roy sun 2026 03 28	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-28 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-12 06:02
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 11:36
btc updown 5m 1773657600	2	$4	8	7	+0	open	—	03-16 10:44
btc updown 5m 1773657000	2	$4	106	0	+106	open	—	03-16 10:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 11:23
btc updown 5m 1773660900	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	03-16 11:39
btc updown 5m 1773657300	2	$3	12	12	+0	open	—	03-16 10:39
btc updown 5m 1773660000	2	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	03-16 11:24
btc updown 5m 1774080600	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	03-21 08:10
btc updown 5m 1773657900	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	03-16 10:46
Zagreb: Nerman Fatic vs Elmer Moeller	1	$2	2	0	+2	Elmer Moeller	+$0	05-13 08:01
Bengaluru 2: Maximus Jones vs Amit Vales	1	$2	3	0	+3	Maximus Jones	+$1	05-13 08:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 12:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x40ba8a…
05-21 12:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x6d1eb1…
05-21 12:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x737e0b…
05-21 12:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0x0d4323…
05-21 12:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb3e4ee…
05-21 12:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x151fd7…
05-21 12:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	88	92¢	$81	0x1bd948…
05-21 12:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xb395e9…
05-21 12:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xc038db…
05-21 12:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	38	10¢	$4	0xf60cfd…
05-21 12:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf48b00…
05-21 12:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x924365…
05-19 11:01:12	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	BNK FEARX	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x353f43…
05-16 11:39:21	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x52a891…
05-16 11:38:39	Dota 2: PlayTime vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xc28d8c…
05-16 11:38:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3f4c74…
05-16 11:38:08	Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Ignacio Buse vs Niels McDonald	Ignacio Buse	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7ce338…
05-16 11:37:54	Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Taro Daniel	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x114441…
05-16 11:36:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x088e0a…
05-14 11:26:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xcb70b9…
05-14 11:26:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x2edff5…
05-14 11:25:37	LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x92b9b7…
05-14 11:25:05	Bordeaux: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tallon Griekspoor	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xeedf77…
05-14 11:23:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x2dd3e9…
05-13 08:02:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xafb447…
05-13 08:01:52	LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xbc50e3…
05-13 08:01:38	Zagreb: Nerman Fatic vs Elmer Moeller	Elmer Moeller	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xecfb2d…
05-13 08:01:26	Bengaluru 2: Maximus Jones vs Amit Vales	Maximus Jones	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x3329f4…
05-12 06:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7955fe…
04-30 13:22:52	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0x0898a8…
04-29 04:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0xbf975c…
04-29 04:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x0100a5…
04-29 04:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0xf3cb6d…
04-29 04:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x274be6…
04-11 10:17:51	cricipl pun sun 2026 04 11	Punjab Kings	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa61dae…
04-11 08:53:51	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	No	BUY	39	78¢	$30	0xa329bd…
03-28 11:31:41	cricipl roy sun 2026 03 28	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x798a3c…
03-23 09:15:11	btc updown 5m 1774257000	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf1a4bd…
03-23 09:13:59	btc updown 5m 1774257000	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x7ad711…
03-21 08:10:53	btc updown 5m 1774080600	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x91de0b…
03-18 12:57:15	nba den mem 2026 01 25	Nuggets	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x118c62…
03-17 08:40:21	btc updown 5m 1773736800	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa25024…
03-16 11:39:47	btc updown 5m 1773660900	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x5eb0f7…
03-16 11:38:23	btc updown 5m 1773660900	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x59687d…
03-16 11:32:57	btc updown 5m 1773660600	Up	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x636a80…
03-16 11:30:53	btc updown 5m 1773660600	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xd032c0…
03-16 11:24:13	btc updown 5m 1773660000	Up	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x26c6b6…
03-16 11:20:41	btc updown 5m 1773660000	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xfb4574…
03-16 11:19:09	btc updown 5m 1773659700	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x515919…
03-16 11:18:29	btc updown 5m 1773659700	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa069f8…
03-16 11:18:29	btc updown 5m 1773659700	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3eac0e…
03-16 10:46:25	btc updown 5m 1773657900	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0c7f75…
03-16 10:44:55	btc updown 5m 1773657600	Down	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x0b391e…
03-16 10:41:03	btc updown 5m 1773657600	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x7c607e…
03-16 10:39:23	btc updown 5m 1773657300	Up	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x1fbd23…
03-16 10:36:19	btc updown 5m 1773657300	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x674fa5…
03-16 10:34:21	btc updown 5m 1773657000	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf52cd8…
03-16 10:31:39	btc updown 5m 1773657000	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb5af5c…
03-13 12:39:53	btc updown 5m 1773405300	Up	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0x756ce4…
03-13 12:38:47	btc updown 5m 1773405300	Up	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x5b2065…
02-10 10:43:31	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	No	SELL	300	79¢	$237	0x82cc0e…
02-10 10:42:55	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	No	BUY	300	82¢	$245	0x8b11e6…
02-10 10:41:37	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	No	SELL	400	80¢	$320	0x8044fa…
02-10 10:39:47	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	No	BUY	400	82¢	$329	0x4ff813…
02-10 10:34:09	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	SELL	220	94¢	$207	0x63464d…
02-09 16:44:01	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x8e6c53…
01-30 13:20:54	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 400 419	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x3fde90…
01-28 11:44:35	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 65 89	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x4930c2…
01-22 08:35:56	btc updown 15m 1769070600	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x3eb134…