Little-Virtue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$277

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-07 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

42% — —

Politics

40% — —

Sports

18% 50% $-76

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$2.7K	1,415	1,415	+0	open	—	02-13 12:05
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$1.5K	1,528	0	+1,528	open	—	03-09 06:16
netanyahu out by march 31 854	14	$1.5K	1,542	0	+1,542	open	—	03-16 08:05
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$1.5K	1,536	0	+1,536	open	—	01-14 12:12
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$1.5K	1,509	0	+1,509	open	—	03-05 06:45
will silver si hit low 65 by end of february 598 917 186 187 154 235 433 943	1	$1.4K	1,459	0	+1,459	open	—	02-23 06:42
cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	1	$1.4K	1,401	0	+1,401	open	—	01-05 07:31
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$1.3K	1,402	0	+1,402	open	—	02-14 12:25
nhl chi sj 2026 04 06	5	$220	579	0	+579	open	—	04-06 03:49
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1	$153	225	0	+225	open	—	04-08 01:55
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	1	$148	9,079	0	+9,079	open	—	02-03 12:37
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	3	$123	202	0	+202	Timberwolves	$-123	05-05 03:38
nhl nyr tb 2026 04 15	1	$120	227	0	+227	open	—	04-15 06:08
Lightning vs. Canadiens	1	$118	227	0	+227	open	—	04-24 06:17
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$114	284	0	+284	open	—	05-01 04:38
nba nyk atl 2026 04 06	1	$107	206	0	+206	open	—	04-06 02:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	1	$105	206	0	+206	open	—	04-06 17:26
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	1	$104	190	0	+190	open	—	04-10 07:58
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$103	194	0	+194	open	—	05-29 02:30
will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	1	$103	177	0	+177	open	—	06-05 05:55
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	1	$85	166	0	+166	open	—	05-14 02:43
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$74	121	0	+121	Cavaliers	+$47	05-08 07:44
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$61	120	0	+120	open	—	06-08 06:02
mlb sf kc 2026 07 20	1	$55	115	0	+115	open	—	07-20 08:08
mlb hou sd 2026 08 07	2	$52	109	0	+109	open	—	08-07 05:35
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$48	68	0	+68	open	—	05-19 02:16
will mrbeasts next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 437	1	$33	2,355	0	+2,355	open	—	01-08 04:10
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	03-16 03:49
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	03-16 03:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 05:35:33	mlb hou sd 2026 08 07	Houston Astros	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x2ec3bb…
08-07 05:11:54	mlb hou sd 2026 08 07	Houston Astros	BUY	57	48¢	$27	0xee749a…
07-20 08:08:04	mlb sf kc 2026 07 20	San Francisco Giants	BUY	115	48¢	$55	0xca3025…
06-08 06:02:25	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	120	51¢	$61	0x767751…
06-05 05:55:15	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	177	58¢	$103	0x08c2ea…
05-29 02:30:10	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	194	53¢	$103	0x424058…
05-19 02:16:52	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	68	70¢	$48	0x08b241…
05-14 02:43:04	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	166	51¢	$85	0xd7fbf4…
05-08 07:44:28	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	121	61¢	$74	0x2afa63…
05-05 03:38:40	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	118	61¢	$72	0xfa9ded…
05-05 03:38:40	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	78	61¢	$48	0xcb2a18…
05-05 03:38:40	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1161d9…
05-01 04:38:02	UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)	Robert Bryczek	BUY	284	40¢	$114	0x177b4f…
04-24 06:17:00	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Lightning	BUY	227	52¢	$118	0x5fa202…
04-15 06:08:34	nhl nyr tb 2026 04 15	Lightning	BUY	227	53¢	$120	0xe6b93c…
04-10 07:58:35	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	BUY	190	55¢	$104	0x596878…
04-08 01:55:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	225	68¢	$153	0xc4210c…
04-06 17:26:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	206	51¢	$105	0x199e20…
04-06 03:49:47	nhl chi sj 2026 04 06	Blackhawks	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xe51334…
04-06 03:49:47	nhl chi sj 2026 04 06	Blackhawks	BUY	38	38¢	$14	0x5c5a4a…
04-06 03:49:45	nhl chi sj 2026 04 06	Blackhawks	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xde47e0…
04-06 03:49:45	nhl chi sj 2026 04 06	Blackhawks	BUY	495	38¢	$188	0xadc472…
04-06 03:49:45	nhl chi sj 2026 04 06	Blackhawks	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x8ef799…
04-06 02:10:31	nba nyk atl 2026 04 06	Hawks	BUY	206	52¢	$107	0x44ff95…
03-16 08:05:25	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	476	97¢	$462	0x1b497f…
03-16 08:05:21	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x3bc868…
03-16 08:05:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfff88f…
03-16 08:04:37	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6eb451…
03-16 08:04:25	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xf49b4f…
03-16 08:04:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xd5b6a2…
03-16 08:03:23	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	667	97¢	$647	0x9adb65…
03-16 08:03:17	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xbbffee…
03-16 08:03:13	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x94f58d…
03-16 08:03:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xe73004…
03-16 08:03:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x8fe3af…
03-16 08:03:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x7ae920…
03-16 08:03:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x5fafbc…
03-16 08:03:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x597723…
03-16 03:50:09	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x3507e9…
03-16 03:49:31	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x5cbb87…
03-09 06:16:23	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1,259	98¢	$1,234	0xa84cc5…
03-09 06:14:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2e1126…
03-09 06:14:25	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	135	98¢	$132	0x990cae…
03-09 06:12:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0xea83d0…
03-05 06:45:33	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1,509	97¢	$1,459	0x140ddb…
02-23 06:42:26	will silver si hit low 65 by end of february 598 917 186 187 154 235 433 943	No	BUY	1,459	96¢	$1,403	0x81e797…
02-14 12:25:29	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	1,402	95¢	$1,332	0xdb2d33…
02-13 12:05:59	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,415	94¢	$1,332	0x9ffd01…
02-03 12:58:08	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,415	98¢	$1,389	0x316170…
02-03 12:37:12	will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	Yes	BUY	9,079	2¢	$148	0xaf0af3…
01-14 12:12:52	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,536	95¢	$1,466	0x6672a3…
01-08 04:10:31	will mrbeasts next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 437	Yes	BUY	2,355	1¢	$33	0x46accb…
01-05 07:31:17	cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	No	BUY	1,401	98¢	$1,369	0xb33a44…