Elegant-Birth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

187

lifetime

Volume

$3.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 07-03 08:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

56% — —

Crypto

42% 100% +$0

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	104	$1.9K	24,160	22,275	+1,884	open	—	03-01 19:49
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	8	$85	2,810	2,810	+0	open	—	02-23 08:39
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	04-12 13:36
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	04-10 08:39
ethereum above 2300 on april 9	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	04-09 14:47
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	04-08 10:30
bitcoin above 74k on april 7	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	04-07 10:25
bitcoin above 76k on april 6	1	$46	47	0	+47	open	—	04-05 18:13
will bitcoin reach 73k on april 4	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-04 15:15
bitcoin above 64k on april 3	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-03 15:06
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-01 04:04
bitcoin above 72k on march 31	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	03-31 07:56
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	03-30 11:08
bitcoin above 70k on march 29	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	03-29 07:54
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	03-28 12:07
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	03-27 12:33
bitcoin above 74k on march 26	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	03-26 09:22
will bitcoin reach 77k on march 25	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	03-25 16:45
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	03-23 08:15
bitcoin above 64k on march 22	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	03-22 11:56
ethereum above 2300 on march 21	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	03-21 12:20
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$45	46	0	+46	open	—	03-20 10:11
bitcoin above 76k on march 19	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	03-19 10:20
will bitcoin reach 80k on march 18	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	03-18 15:51
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	2	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	03-12 09:58
will iran strike israel on march 10	2	$44	45	0	+45	open	—	03-13 17:32
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	2	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-24 12:48
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-24 08:04
us strikes iraq by march 7	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-11 09:19
bitcoin above 64k on june 30 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-30 12:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 08:20:25	bitcoin above 66k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa7dd30…
07-01 20:54:05	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc4f9f0…
06-30 12:14:53	bitcoin above 64k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaeb392…
06-28 08:56:16	ethereum above 1700 on june 28 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5702b6…
06-26 06:28:07	bitcoin above 66k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1a4760…
06-23 10:06:41	ethereum above 1800 on june 23 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3390fd…
06-21 11:24:16	bitcoin above 68k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xf561eb…
06-19 10:32:01	bitcoin above 66k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x777eb2…
06-18 13:14:29	bitcoin above 70k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf46da3…
06-14 11:21:30	ethereum above 1900 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x91383d…
06-14 11:06:00	ethereum above 1100 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x854375…
06-12 13:10:13	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5bfb50…
06-11 01:38:42	bitcoin above 68k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcd5e3c…
06-07 09:12:55	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb1fffb…
06-06 11:39:06	ethereum above 1800 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x07c3d5…
06-06 10:42:28	ethereum above 1800 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa042c1…
06-04 10:36:10	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b78f5…
06-03 13:55:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0708ff…
05-28 02:17:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc89bc1…
05-23 11:44:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd6590b…
05-21 12:13:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x79dea7…
05-18 14:33:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0aea7f…
05-14 09:24:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa75cfb…
05-10 10:11:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc6488b…
05-09 14:08:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4b9277…
05-07 09:54:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xabf591…
05-07 09:51:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x98f843…
05-03 08:29:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x617a94…
04-27 09:17:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a8e55…
04-26 12:29:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x10e11f…
04-24 12:48:02	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa09ba9…
04-24 12:28:32	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9bd460…
04-24 10:26:52	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc53ac2…
04-23 09:44:20	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0021b9…
04-22 13:56:40	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd67135…
04-20 13:41:10	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60c196…
04-19 14:52:02	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x18cba5…
04-19 14:49:16	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfec9a3…
04-18 13:48:26	bitcoin above 78k on april 18	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8ee366…
04-17 12:54:26	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x96dc9b…
04-15 09:48:38	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x529129…
04-14 12:50:05	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92e872…
04-13 09:43:43	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd9b6fd…
04-13 00:59:09	will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfb1753…
04-12 13:36:05	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x929ad1…
04-10 08:39:03	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x47478b…
04-09 14:47:51	ethereum above 2300 on april 9	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xb6109b…
04-08 10:30:27	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x189a5f…
04-07 10:25:39	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xd25ef5…
04-05 18:13:15	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	47	100¢	$46	0x2a17ac…
04-04 15:15:19	will bitcoin reach 73k on april 4	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xf887bc…
04-03 15:06:37	bitcoin above 64k on april 3	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x476ff7…
04-01 04:04:35	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x5e9321…
03-31 07:56:29	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xfbddc9…
03-30 11:08:34	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xa43c0b…
03-29 07:54:02	bitcoin above 70k on march 29	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x591b81…
03-28 12:07:07	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xf49957…
03-27 12:33:15	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xf20096…
03-26 09:22:35	bitcoin above 74k on march 26	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x24a76e…
03-25 16:45:09	will bitcoin reach 77k on march 25	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x7ad1f5…
03-24 08:04:35	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xddfe1b…
03-23 08:15:09	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x29a628…
03-22 11:56:23	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xa5620a…
03-21 12:20:07	ethereum above 2300 on march 21	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x4d5815…
03-20 10:11:01	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$45	0xf78f02…
03-19 10:20:21	bitcoin above 76k on march 19	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xdad001…
03-18 15:51:37	will bitcoin reach 80k on march 18	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x55fc59…
03-13 17:32:49	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0xcc2965…
03-13 17:32:49	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x413b86…
03-12 09:58:13	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2505ec…
03-12 09:56:37	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9d9356…
03-11 09:19:39	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1d16fc…
03-07 16:29:53	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa6bad1…
03-03 00:46:31	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x89ce12…
03-03 00:42:29	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x11f4ac…
03-01 19:49:31	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,011	4¢	$78	0xa31b7c…
03-01 19:49:05	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	110	4¢	$4	0xc5e4ac…
03-01 19:49:05	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0x1cf67d…
03-01 19:49:05	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	140	4¢	$5	0x17e81d…
03-01 19:49:05	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x08e9b0…
03-01 13:59:11	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,361	4¢	$97	0xc2711f…
03-01 12:51:45	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,305	4¢	$97	0xe5d941…
03-01 11:53:05	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,179	4¢	$92	0x3034f4…
03-01 11:20:43	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0x06b966…
03-01 11:20:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	53	4¢	$2	0x77380e…
03-01 11:17:57	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0xe2a044…
03-01 11:15:57	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	935	4¢	$39	0x1bbfce…
03-01 11:15:53	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x017828…
03-01 11:15:29	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	222	4¢	$9	0x66269e…
03-01 11:14:59	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	935	4¢	$39	0x073b41…
03-01 11:14:27	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	935	4¢	$39	0xc0ee44…
02-28 11:41:33	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,078	5¢	$96	0xe9c0d5…
02-28 08:37:25	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,078	5¢	$98	0x64001e…
02-27 17:37:39	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	752	4¢	$32	0xc0e6e2…
02-27 17:34:51	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x015c11…
02-27 17:34:45	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xeccf4b…
02-27 17:32:33	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	400	4¢	$17	0x0e3bc1…
02-27 17:32:31	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x2ba404…
02-27 17:32:07	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0xc80d32…
02-27 17:31:57	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x8cb07b…