Hot-Mathematics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

Trades

488

lifetime

Volume

$659

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-20 19:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 50% $-13

Sports

11% 38% $-5

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	05-03 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$24	46	12	+33	open	—	05-03 03:30
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	2	$12	7	7	+0	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$2	05-07 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-01 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	3	$9	19	0	+19	open	—	05-03 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	8	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	05-18 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$7	17	0	+17	open	—	05-03 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	6	$7	19	0	+19	open	—	05-03 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$7	9	9	+0	open	—	05-20 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$6	7	4	+4	open	—	05-03 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	5	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-18 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$6	8	0	+8	Up	$-6	05-08 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	3	$6	19	0	+19	open	—	05-02 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	3	$6	18	0	+18	open	—	05-02 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-30 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	05-03 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	05-03 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	4	$6	18	18	+0	open	—	05-20 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	5	$6	5	4	+1	Down	+$1	05-06 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	5	$5	6	4	+2	open	—	05-20 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	5	$5	6	4	+2	Down	$-1	05-06 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	5	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	05-18 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$5	7	3	+4	Down	+$1	05-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$5	6	2	+4	Up	$-1	05-06 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-29 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$5	167	0	+167	open	—	05-03 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-18 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-18 19:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 19:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0bcb9d…
05-20 19:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6fc1fc…
05-20 19:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x920eb0…
05-20 19:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2c93c1…
05-20 19:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x6b6a3a…
05-20 19:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x11e511…
05-20 19:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x855175…
05-20 19:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe8cfab…
05-20 19:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xee2219…
05-20 19:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x4f5495…
05-20 19:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x77634a…
05-20 19:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5766f4…
05-20 19:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x5b75b0…
05-20 19:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe600ee…
05-20 19:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x551832…
05-20 01:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x26d19a…
05-20 01:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0x811c15…
05-20 01:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfa8ebf…
05-20 00:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x661a14…
05-20 00:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa8f6bb…
05-20 00:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x95df00…
05-20 00:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x34fa85…
05-20 00:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x682384…
05-20 00:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x6c2ad7…
05-20 00:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x4ff257…
05-20 00:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9c9ede…
05-20 00:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x8f764b…
05-20 00:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9e1e6b…
05-20 00:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x9dcf83…
05-20 00:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x058ce2…
05-20 00:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0x318c0f…
05-20 00:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x41f545…
05-20 00:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x02feaa…
05-20 00:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x55185b…
05-20 00:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0x85c4b5…
05-20 00:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa8441f…
05-20 00:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x680428…
05-20 00:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1f4e45…
05-20 00:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x54cc80…
05-20 00:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb3a0fc…
05-20 00:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x2c00e0…
05-20 00:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcdda09…
05-20 00:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0xcf6fdd…
05-20 00:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xca4009…
05-20 00:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x77aedf…
05-18 23:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x077c07…
05-18 23:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x75a36d…
05-18 23:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x51d576…
05-18 23:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x86c3b6…
05-18 23:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xaf1dec…
05-18 23:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x081db2…
05-18 23:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x490a02…
05-18 23:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xe327af…
05-18 23:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xae4af8…
05-18 23:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x14feb0…
05-18 23:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x7509c5…
05-18 23:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x23aadc…
05-18 23:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x04595e…
05-18 23:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x026afe…
05-18 23:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc4a8bf…
05-18 22:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x8b0650…
05-18 22:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc3b3a5…
05-18 22:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0x4153b4…
05-18 22:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x13c6ab…
05-18 22:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe5b358…
05-18 22:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd123f6…
05-18 22:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfabf8c…
05-18 22:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x03dcc2…
05-18 22:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xce0c10…
05-18 22:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x2ff576…
05-18 22:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x587d7e…
05-18 22:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x01bd6f…
05-18 22:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xcba887…
05-18 22:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x94bad9…
05-18 20:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa7a590…
05-18 20:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9592bf…
05-18 20:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xa0b962…
05-18 20:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc22042…
05-18 20:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xd19de2…
05-18 20:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xaa054a…
05-18 20:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xfca00e…
05-18 20:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xb6038c…
05-18 20:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2e5813…
05-18 20:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x20d710…
05-18 20:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd653c5…
05-18 20:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xf2baad…
05-18 20:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb7cb01…
05-18 20:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x9f981e…
05-18 20:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x59cd74…
05-18 20:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xed52a0…
05-18 19:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x69e088…
05-18 19:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x6880a1…
05-18 19:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4e4678…
05-18 19:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x75efac…
05-18 19:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x43dfe6…
05-18 19:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4d0d41…
05-18 19:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xa62126…
05-18 19:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd3dc15…
05-18 19:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc58ba9…
05-18 19:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xe84d17…