Fitting-Baseboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$207

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-08 20:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 56% +$10

Politics

6% 0% $-7

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$30	28	23	+5	Up	+$6	05-07 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-07 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$13	21	21	+0	Down	$-1	05-07 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Up	+$5	05-07 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$9	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	8	$7	183	0	+183	open	—	05-03 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$6	20	3	+17	open	—	05-04 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-07 19:00
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$5	36	0	+36	open	—	05-07 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	$-5	05-07 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-03 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	05-03 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	05-03 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	Down	$-3	05-08 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-07 23:10
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	2	$2	68	0	+68	No	$-2	05-07 21:10
Will Trump say "China" during events with Brazilian president?	1	$1	51	0	+51	No	$-1	05-07 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	$-1	05-07 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-03 19:26
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Brazilian president?	1	$1	59	0	+59	No	$-1	05-07 20:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 20:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x32361e…
05-08 20:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x089afd…
05-07 23:34:11	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x72044d…
05-07 23:33:58	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x00feba…
05-07 23:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	21	29¢	$6	0xbb3a16…
05-07 23:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x391d7e…
05-07 23:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf35e93…
05-07 21:10:48	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x4ae801…
05-07 21:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0x2fb0b6…
05-07 21:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x226687…
05-07 21:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb0e61c…
05-07 20:06:57	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xe6e116…
05-07 20:06:50	Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Prize" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x44adc1…
05-07 20:06:43	Will Trump say "President Xi" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x5f0a0e…
05-07 20:06:38	Will Trump say "Sea" or "Water" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x5e2882…
05-07 20:06:32	Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xe0e0e7…
05-07 20:06:29	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x4fb5c4…
05-07 20:06:17	Will Trump say "China" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x31f849…
05-07 19:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x07b9ac…
05-07 19:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x954ea3…
05-07 19:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x018d75…
05-07 19:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	23	68¢	$15	0x0d6820…
05-07 19:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa23069…
05-07 19:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5abd1b…
05-07 18:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0xdff116…
05-07 18:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xef1eee…
05-07 15:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xcdbd69…
05-07 15:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x855ae1…
05-07 15:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x58fec2…
05-07 15:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xecec98…
05-07 15:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x9bf5de…
05-07 15:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x6a17a1…
05-07 15:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xab6a4b…
05-07 15:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3187c0…
05-04 17:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x79856c…
05-04 17:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x51fbe4…
05-04 17:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x1fab61…
05-04 17:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x3ea239…
05-04 17:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf89ee8…
05-04 17:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xafff75…
05-04 17:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x2264a5…
05-04 17:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2dcbc1…
05-04 16:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x933c43…
05-04 16:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x5b632d…
05-04 16:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x511d40…
05-04 16:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb409d3…
05-04 16:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x2d75a1…
05-03 20:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x70c34e…
05-03 20:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xdc549f…
05-03 20:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xafb777…
05-03 20:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x217de4…
05-03 20:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0f0b40…
05-03 20:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xba775e…
05-03 19:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x425995…
05-03 19:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xcb08d1…
05-03 19:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa59bc0…
05-03 19:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x24574c…
05-03 19:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9354e7…
05-03 19:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x743ac7…
05-03 19:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x50e76d…
05-03 19:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0xf6e812…
05-03 19:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0xe4a07b…
05-03 19:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xc97530…
05-03 19:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x90ff2b…
05-03 19:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x7dbe7b…
05-03 19:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x1314a0…
05-03 19:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x066855…
05-03 19:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x857e1f…
05-03 19:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x54e2f8…