Quintessential-Instruction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

50.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$58

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-23 17:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

55% 0% $-2

Politics

45% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+11	$7	92¢	$10	+$4	06-23 17:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$7	11	0	+11	open	—	06-23 17:08
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	06-20 18:52
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	01-03 22:14
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	2	$2	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	03-01 01:32
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	$-2	05-04 21:48
will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	03-01 01:33
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 21:52
will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	03-01 01:30
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-01 01:25
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 31 134 583	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	01-03 22:19
will russia capture rodynske by march 31	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-01 01:24
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-01 01:29
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by march 31 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	03-01 01:21
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	1	$1	38	0	+38	open	—	01-03 22:15
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-01 01:23
Will the US strike Somalia next?	1	$1	16	0	+16	open	—	03-01 01:26
will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	03-01 01:30
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 6pt5	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	06-20 18:52
will saudi arabia strike yemen by january 31 173	1	$1	15	0	+15	open	—	01-03 22:19
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-01 01:23
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	03-01 01:30
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-03 22:18
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	03-01 01:23
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	03-01 01:30
us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by march 7	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-01 01:22
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-01 01:25
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	1	$1	13	0	+13	open	—	06-23 17:04
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-01 01:25
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	1	$1	17	0	+17	open	—	03-01 01:30
us forces seize another oil tanker by march 7	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-01 01:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 17:08:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x4377cc…
06-23 17:04:46	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xe9f0d9…
06-23 16:57:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x59b4e6…
06-20 18:52:40	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4a0749…
06-20 18:52:19	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x18f4eb…
06-20 18:14:50	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 spread home 5pt5	Netherlands	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x9172f2…
06-20 17:32:25	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x183458…
06-11 11:34:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x2cc45a…
05-04 21:57:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x50f690…
05-04 21:52:40	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfa37b8…
05-04 21:52:28	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x98033d…
05-04 21:48:06	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x859466…
03-01 01:33:45	will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa31024…
03-01 01:32:49	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xc7a5bc…
03-01 01:30:39	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x695d50…
03-01 01:30:27	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x99fd24…
03-01 01:30:17	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcc4cc1…
03-01 01:30:13	will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd9b517…
03-01 01:30:09	will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdbe186…
03-01 01:30:07	will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd5491f…
03-01 01:30:03	will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4b5b55…
03-01 01:29:43	will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0b8d5b…
03-01 01:29:39	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6d7776…
03-01 01:26:53	Will the US strike Somalia next?	No	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x9df7f2…
03-01 01:26:49	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x2474f5…
03-01 01:25:35	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe0a196…
03-01 01:25:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xafeb35…
03-01 01:25:25	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdedad2…
03-01 01:24:17	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb1ef9d…
03-01 01:23:31	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x838ea3…
03-01 01:23:19	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb6114f…
03-01 01:23:15	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x600dec…
03-01 01:23:03	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x15f861…
03-01 01:22:49	us forces seize another oil tanker by march 7	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x68489b…
03-01 01:22:39	us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by march 7	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x839861…
03-01 01:22:17	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1a4b49…
03-01 01:21:37	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x077222…
01-28 12:48:13	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd59ab3…
01-03 22:20:15	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x272e25…
01-03 22:19:51	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5282a8…
01-03 22:19:47	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2dcf5f…
01-03 22:19:33	trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 31 134 583	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcfdbd7…
01-03 22:19:25	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3fcf23…
01-03 22:19:09	will saudi arabia strike yemen by january 31 173	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x287e6b…
01-03 22:18:41	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3e82df…
01-03 22:15:43	nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	No	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x48ac62…
01-03 22:14:51	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd7476e…