Political-Parable — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$847

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-14 15:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

93% 100% +$8

Crypto

7% 33% $-30

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	13	$467	1,900	3,800	-1,900	open	—	04-27 16:28
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro	8	$136	91	91	+0	open	—	05-21 15:19
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	1	$50	57	0	+57	open	—	06-14 15:05
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$48	0	1,900	-1,900	open	—	04-27 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$25	57	0	+57	Up	$-25	05-11 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Down	+$1	05-11 03:29
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	04-27 15:07
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$16	0	1,900	-1,900	open	—	04-27 12:49
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Han Shi	1	$15	20	0	+20	Lanlana Tararudee	+$5	05-06 00:07
Bengaluru 2: Dominik Palan vs Maan Kesharwani	1	$12	15	0	+15	Dominik Palan	+$3	05-11 03:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	1	$6	26	0	+26	Down	$-6	05-06 00:20
Wuxi: Yasutaka Uchiyama vs Alastair Gray	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 01:56
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$4	0	1,900	-1,900	open	—	04-28 00:09
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$4	0	1,900	-1,900	open	—	04-28 00:00
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$3	0	1,900	-1,900	open	—	04-27 12:01
Cagliari: Lorenzo Sonego vs Mattia Bellucci	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-29 16:09
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-02 02:23
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-02 02:23
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$2	0	1,900	-1,900	open	—	04-27 04:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 15:05:51	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x1d4024…
05-21 15:19:28	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro	Shuai Zhang	SELL	91	77¢	$70	0x831f09…
05-21 15:05:00	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro	Shuai Zhang	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0xbf6e69…
05-21 15:05:00	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro	Shuai Zhang	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x74ec1b…
05-21 15:04:53	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro	Shuai Zhang	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xdfb015…
05-21 15:04:53	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro	Shuai Zhang	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xb2c78b…
05-21 15:04:53	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro	Shuai Zhang	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xae99a0…
05-21 15:04:53	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro	Shuai Zhang	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x010b48…
05-21 15:04:43	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro	Shuai Zhang	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xb637ef…
05-11 03:31:34	Bengaluru 2: Dominik Palan vs Maan Kesharwani	Dominik Palan	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x19644a…
05-11 03:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x85ae48…
05-11 03:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x9dae73…
05-06 00:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0xd8c7ee…
05-06 00:07:26	Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Han Shi	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xc4d726…
05-04 01:56:54	Wuxi: Yasutaka Uchiyama vs Alastair Gray	Alastair Gray	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb61576…
05-02 02:23:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x22f52b…
05-02 02:23:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x64f11d…
05-01 13:48:38	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3fc662…
05-01 13:43:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x67d121…
04-29 16:09:38	Cagliari: Lorenzo Sonego vs Mattia Bellucci	Lorenzo Sonego	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x704e08…
04-28 00:09:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,900	0¢	$4	0xff073a…
04-28 00:00:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,900	0¢	$4	0x816074…
04-27 16:28:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,900	6¢	$110	0xd1ee32…
04-27 16:21:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	9¢	$12	0xf016d1…
04-27 16:21:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	850	9¢	$76	0xdf69ed…
04-27 16:21:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0xbed565…
04-27 16:21:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	9¢	$13	0x67599f…
04-27 16:21:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$44	0x4c20e1…
04-27 16:19:20	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xbdcf62…
04-27 16:18:14	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf654b0…
04-27 16:16:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x0957f9…
04-27 16:15:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	9¢	$4	0x5b6eca…
04-27 16:15:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	9¢	$12	0x5ff92d…
04-27 16:08:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	9¢	$4	0x4053a8…
04-27 15:07:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe3cbe6…
04-27 12:56:40	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,900	3¢	$48	0x91125f…
04-27 12:50:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,900	10¢	$188	0x5e8aac…
04-27 12:49:16	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,900	1¢	$16	0x8cdd00…
04-27 12:01:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,900	0¢	$3	0x4b3f38…
04-27 06:16:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x691aa8…
04-27 04:58:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,900	0¢	$2	0xe06d31…