Natural-Wild — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$292

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-21 06:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 33% $-54

Other

21% — —

Sports

10% 60% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	7	$65	113	113	+0	Up	+$15	05-09 21:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$38	29	29	+0	open	—	05-21 06:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$30	90	0	+90	Down	$-30	05-10 09:29
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	3	$21	160	160	+0	open	—	05-11 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$14	27	27	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$13	34	29	+5	Up	+$1	05-09 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$12	21	21	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$10	58	0	+58	Down	$-10	05-09 21:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$10	45	0	+45	Down	$-10	05-10 09:21
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	2	$8	5	5	+0	Alexander Volkov	+$2	05-10 04:16
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$6	5	5	+0	Sean Strickland	+$4	05-10 04:48
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	2	$6	5	5	+0	Sean Brady	+$2	05-10 02:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$6	234	0	+234	Down	$-6	05-09 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-09 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-10 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$5	31	0	+31	Down	$-5	05-09 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	Down	$-5	05-10 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$5	23	0	+23	Down	$-5	05-10 09:41
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-09 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	+$7	05-09 22:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$3	14	0	+14	Up	$-3	05-09 20:51
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	1	$3	6	0	+6	No	$-3	05-10 01:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Down	$-1	05-10 09:39
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?	1	$1	500	0	+500	open	—	05-09 23:09
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	05-18 14:30
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	05-18 14:30
Will Waldo Cortes-Acosta win by KO or TKO?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	$-1	05-10 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$0	5	0	+5	Up	$-0	05-09 22:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 06:31:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	29	80¢	$23	0x268ddf…
05-18 14:30:46	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdfa202…
05-18 14:30:34	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf736ac…
05-11 19:21:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	29	53¢	$15	0x5a0ac7…
05-11 19:17:44	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	160	10¢	$16	0xe63d0d…
05-10 10:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x8741a0…
05-10 09:44:06	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0xdef086…
05-10 09:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xe08b2a…
05-10 09:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x572366…
05-10 09:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x98ab39…
05-10 09:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xa9ac20…
05-10 09:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x77a859…
05-10 09:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xff15c2…
05-10 04:48:32	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5af16b…
05-10 04:16:02	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x20f22d…
05-10 02:29:05	Will Waldo Cortes-Acosta win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x415267…
05-10 02:28:44	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x073cb2…
05-10 02:04:40	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sean Brady	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x2a9cb2…
05-10 01:32:12	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sean Brady	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xbb599c…
05-10 01:21:35	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x85846a…
05-09 23:09:07	Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x877767…
05-09 22:54:34	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0xfc6dc7…
05-09 22:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x9e998c…
05-09 22:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x681d90…
05-09 22:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7f97db…
05-09 22:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	29	25¢	$7	0x949cbf…
05-09 22:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xaa2f20…
05-09 22:30:37	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x66d7a9…
05-09 22:29:53	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x4d81e9…
05-09 22:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	21	36¢	$7	0x025947…
05-09 22:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x37a664…
05-09 22:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc7f9e3…
05-09 22:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	27	33¢	$9	0xb60c08…
05-09 22:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xb0e14e…
05-09 21:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x8f3140…
05-09 21:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x02ce6c…
05-09 21:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x6379a5…
05-09 21:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x541f38…
05-09 21:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	30	35¢	$11	0x56907d…
05-09 21:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xd613c1…
05-09 21:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x3ebaee…
05-09 21:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x300db9…
05-09 21:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x77d168…
05-09 21:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	57	35¢	$20	0x02a488…
05-09 21:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	113	22¢	$25	0xf6e341…
05-09 20:51:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x150a6e…
05-09 20:49:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	128	2¢	$3	0xc043fc…
05-09 20:49:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	106	3¢	$3	0x9b5f91…