Fluffy-Moat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$50

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 05-25 17:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 62% +$4

Other

6% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	5	$6	8	4	+4	open	—	05-25 16:51
btc updown 15m 1770291000	4	$4	17	2	+15	open	—	02-05 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$4	6	2	+4	open	—	05-25 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$3	34	1	+33	Down	$-1	05-05 10:38
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	3	$3	7	6	+1	open	—	05-04 12:17
btc updown 15m 1770207300	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-04 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 10:19
btc updown 15m 1770206400	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	02-04 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$2	9	0	+9	Up	+$5	05-05 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-05 10:23
btc updown 15m 1770291900	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	02-05 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-25 17:00
btc updown 15m 1770210900	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	02-04 13:22
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Hamilton?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-05 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-06 10:33
btc updown 15m 1770204600	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	02-04 11:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-04 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 07:37
btc updown 15m 1770205500	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	02-04 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 07:40
btc updown 15m 1770210000	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	02-04 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-06 07:15
btc updown 15m 1770203700	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	02-04 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-06 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-06 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-05 10:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 17:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe320bc…
05-25 16:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x90d0f7…
05-25 16:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xad1118…
05-25 16:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5f2012…
05-25 16:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7d37c4…
05-25 16:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x338541…
05-25 16:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdef694…
05-25 16:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x958409…
05-25 16:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x581f25…
05-06 10:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3c2903…
05-06 10:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x75d543…
05-06 10:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xcce4e3…
05-06 10:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb7e3f0…
05-06 10:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x47b5b0…
05-06 07:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8215e6…
05-05 10:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf6f8b2…
05-05 10:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc3b365…
05-05 10:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2b9109…
05-05 10:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2a7112…
05-05 10:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbdea02…
05-05 10:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa10e92…
05-05 10:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe77d03…
05-05 10:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8ff836…
05-05 07:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc21928…
05-05 07:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbb9697…
05-05 07:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfe5f42…
05-05 07:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbbc6f6…
05-04 12:17:04	LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	T1	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2e6b6a…
05-04 12:16:40	LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	HANJIN BRION	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x064f0b…
05-04 09:47:34	Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Hamilton?	Hamilton	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5ed50d…
05-04 09:46:00	LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	HANJIN BRION	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4f3d03…
05-04 09:40:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2dbeb0…
02-05 11:46:21	btc updown 15m 1770291900	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x1c098e…
02-05 11:39:21	btc updown 15m 1770291000	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xae2bdf…
02-05 11:36:37	btc updown 15m 1770291000	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x60c719…
02-05 11:35:37	btc updown 15m 1770291000	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8f85ec…
02-05 11:31:47	btc updown 15m 1770291000	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x63d54a…
02-04 13:22:24	btc updown 15m 1770210900	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x86cf34…
02-04 13:11:44	btc updown 15m 1770210000	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x491176…
02-04 12:31:24	btc updown 15m 1770207300	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xca7bdd…
02-04 12:29:44	btc updown 15m 1770207300	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x163813…
02-04 12:09:52	btc updown 15m 1770206400	Down	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x60e9f9…
02-04 12:05:54	btc updown 15m 1770206400	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x534976…
02-04 11:47:24	btc updown 15m 1770205500	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbcf653…
02-04 11:32:22	btc updown 15m 1770204600	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9af99b…
02-04 11:25:16	btc updown 15m 1770203700	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x576a2b…